{"id":"403557","ticker":"next-prime-minister-of-italy","slug":"next-prime-minister-of-italy","title":"Next Prime Minister of Italy?","description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. 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Her government’s parliamentary majority has provided unusual stability since 2022 despite a March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reforms that prompted ministerial adjustments. Elly Schlein, leader of the main opposition Democratic Party, trails as the primary alternative amid fragmented center-left polling. Lower-priced contenders such as Giuseppe Conte and Roberto Vannacci reflect weaker party standings in current surveys, while figures like Mario Draghi appear limited by lack of active party momentum or recent electoral tests. Trader pricing incorporates these polling trends and coalition dynamics as the key drivers of implied probabilities.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:33:49.687Z"}}