{"id":"504099","ticker":"iran-ceasefire-continues-through","slug":"iran-ceasefire-continues-through","title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-20T03:28:14.372598Z","creationDate":"2026-05-20T03:28:14.372577Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":6043627.1083,"volume":54303412.33862186,"openInterest":14353403.186484002,"createdAt":"2026-05-20T01:24:58.946296Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:29:32.808235Z","competitive":0.8003199679231757,"volume24hr":4021941.075120001,"volume1wk":25215463.95350404,"volume1mo":28274595.83239405,"volume1yr":28274595.83239405,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":6043627.1083,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":947,"markets":[{"id":"2308194","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?","conditionId":"0x276a14b8bc1bc374bebd16407761d530528a05097d2bc53524ba21d38842d5f3","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-20","startDate":"2026-05-20T03:23:10.465326Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  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Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"1\", \"0\"]","volume":"507173.5936950005","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-20T01:24:59.343685Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-23T06:23:26.957242Z","closedTime":"2026-05-22 06:17:41+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"May 20","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x76e93a9c03f3c7e7f341f08c42e8f250d237d09eeb981072acd5e42c37817662","umaEndDate":"2026-05-22T06:17:41Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":507173.5936950005,"startDateIso":"2026-05-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"15398441368046781746896197847827526608323224921081539132532994837992185448989\", \"105714822627627056670037828185602425495996640507959543887948958720491127802557\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":507173.5936950005,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:22:15Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.001,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.999,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:20:28.681766Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2308198","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?","conditionId":"0x656ee3fe28d2f23b12f3e5616161274a1456dc5e355fd97d3ad1d07c7c972f48","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-27-496","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-20T03:23:28.584Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"1241991.2771669987","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-20T01:25:00.762038Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-27T01:48:29.172594Z","closedTime":"2026-05-26 01:34:10+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"May 27","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x96a29b61e9b641fed544c96579bf558878d7e98ff3ca87337d6d4c414a47597f","umaEndDate":"2026-05-26T01:34:10Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":1241991.2771669987,"startDateIso":"2026-05-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"45543282019034060802984057965824792338565642650902006229319531221910318949897\", \"44316666390443689274223129391729436785703505542309041774644090281492398391929\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":1241991.2771669987,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:22:32Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"380414","conditionId":"0x656ee3fe28d2f23b12f3e5616161274a1456dc5e355fd97d3ad1d07c7c972f48","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":300,"startDate":"2026-05-20","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.004,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.917,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0235,"lastTradePrice":0.007,"bestBid":0.001,"bestAsk":0.005,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:20:28.695987Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2308200","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?","conditionId":"0x46c09232d356fdbe5e4e543ce1a4e90c84a6e3bd4668a24852fd25563e36b32a","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-31-654-633","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-20T03:22:39.524Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"2166168.0901229987","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-20T01:25:01.067756Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-27T01:48:55.691613Z","closedTime":"2026-05-26 01:30:40+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"May 31","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x7677980003321b36d08a7d4f08394f95d40896b842b6f461da93eab56bf8e4e4","umaEndDate":"2026-05-26T01:30:40Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":2166168.0901229987,"startDateIso":"2026-05-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"6798652236717106822146830689866173152460946584820952015996016647949363011517\", \"98229450218965904077819542620851909313146877475620823382687376889253616234380\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":2166168.0901229987,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:21:43Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"380413","conditionId":"0x46c09232d356fdbe5e4e543ce1a4e90c84a6e3bd4668a24852fd25563e36b32a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":400,"startDate":"2026-05-20","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.005,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.8395,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestBid":0.003,"bestAsk":0.008,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:20:28.678819Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2308204","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?","conditionId":"0x5c630cce90873c62161bdd6994b02f9c8e3203a858f578456b7bfae936cc04c8","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-july-31-157-645","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-20T03:22:51.62Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"144584.49579100017","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-20T01:25:02.33024Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-27T01:38:20.722985Z","closedTime":"2026-05-26 01:28:27+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31","groupItemThreshold":"13","questionID":"0x6d0e9e4d5454383b1b7b74707ed5065ba1d4035a197dd913eb414df73eec4d68","umaEndDate":"2026-05-26T01:28:27Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":144584.49579100017,"startDateIso":"2026-05-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"70762825194445170806696524728361956024778702245430463700200806964171097893209\", \"31763956490313531771682517032699765028922040015198424083117393576859509833443\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":144584.49579100017,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:21:55Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"399597","conditionId":"0x5c630cce90873c62161bdd6994b02f9c8e3203a858f578456b7bfae936cc04c8","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-26","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.013,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.6205,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.004,"lastTradePrice":0.012,"bestBid":0.003,"bestAsk":0.016,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:20:28.693231Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2308205","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?","conditionId":"0xa025157628d2824a12bb4b3aa8476cbe1ffebfb7d983d9fc7dfaf906381084f8","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-december-31-395-943","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-20T03:22:36.389Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"363367.9782249999","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-20T01:25:02.656114Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-27T01:38:16.975727Z","closedTime":"2026-05-26 01:27:20+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"14","questionID":"0x2b1a52d63ebfd35b9fc2c894e1766e0d067406984b3bca15bfa9e484a68977a0","umaEndDate":"2026-05-26T01:27:20Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":363367.9782249999,"startDateIso":"2026-05-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"9321848051180067162998979381729271701604545978564574168749956587031393306859\", \"645878524797034105122694990445752559776294379635293598249285743334881658536\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":363367.9782249999,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:21:38Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.576,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestBid":0.004,"bestAsk":0.014,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-20T03:20:28.675975Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2308195","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?","conditionId":"0x393fb0be5ca5832188657b34ad914c8f24a3ea6dfca233d1b996aba14399b48f","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-21","startDate":"2026-05-20T03:22:36.649574Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. 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Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. 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Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. 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Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. 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Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. 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Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. 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Both sides have accused each other of violations, including recent US strikes on Iranian missile sites and vessels near Hormuz in late May and Iranian efforts to reconstitute missile capabilities during the truce. The current arrangement remains conditional on compliance with maritime access and nuclear-related concessions, with intermittent military actions testing the truce since its initial two-week term. Ongoing diplomatic engagement focuses on de-escalation amid these enforcement challenges.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-31T00:15:46.245Z"}}