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At its July 2026 meeting the FOMC held the target range at 3.50–3.75%, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike; June core PCE inflation remained near 3.3–3.4% while headline readings exceeded 3.5%, reflecting energy price pressures and supply-side factors. Strong GDP growth, solid job gains, and stable unemployment have reinforced the case for patience, shifting futures pricing toward potential rate increases rather than easing. Traders are therefore assigning negligible odds to even a single 25-basis-point cut, with upcoming September data releases and the next FOMC statement likely to set the tone for any near-term policy adjustments.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-03T07:45:54.564Z"},"version":"v1"}