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Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections produced multiple prime ministerial changes and no-confidence threats through late 2025, prompting opposition calls for early resignation that Macron rejected while emphasizing institutional stability. The 2026 budget ultimately passed in early 2026 after concessions, reducing immediate deadlock risks, though the minority government remains vulnerable to further procedural defeats. 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Under the current fixed-term rules, Parliament runs until at least mid-2029 unless the prime minister advises dissolution sooner, giving the government flexibility to wait for improved conditions. Traders see little near-term catalyst, with market-implied probabilities remaining low for any call in 2026. Key variables include national polling trends, economic data releases, and potential leadership challenges within Labour that could shift timing. 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No major incidents have occurred in recent months, though routine patrols and local frictions persist amid broader Indo-Pacific strategic competition.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-30T23:16:43.795Z"}},{"id":"17549","ticker":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025","slug":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025","title":"NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in January and February produced no movement on territorial issues, with Russia demanding acknowledgment of its annexations and Ukraine insisting on restoration to 1991 borders. Negotiations have remained stalled since late February amid competing diplomatic priorities, though a brief U.S.-mediated ceasefire occurred in May with a prisoner exchange. Ukrainian forces have reported limited counteroffensive gains since February amid Russian logistical strains, while domestic political consensus against concessions persists and any shift would likely require a referendum. These dynamics underscore the significant barriers to formal recognition in the near term absent major battlefield shifts or new diplomatic breakthroughs.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-30T23:31:08.225Z"}},{"id":"18558","ticker":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","slug":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","title":"Ukraine election called by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-02-14T19:30:42.775652Z","creationDate":"2025-02-14T19:30:42.775649Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":31970.56795,"volume":1539768.919195999,"openInterest":30093.881897,"createdAt":"2025-02-13T19:39:15.966366Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:57:57.673769Z","competitive":0.9071117561683599,"volume24hr":179.95,"volume1wk":52721.80398300001,"volume1mo":206933.740412,"volume1yr":1258345.979903001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":31970.56795,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":36,"markets":[{"id":"523343","question":"Ukraine election called in 2025?","conditionId":"0xf3d74c153a35436ff82a5f78200104975c5841140ace763f2954adb340cca511","slug":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-02-14T19:28:26.116Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"982716.694339","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-02-13T19:39:17.849008Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T23:15:57.010175Z","closedTime":"2026-01-01 09:11:37+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2025","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xa094043bf8108d863998270c7f412507cd34679fa71dfb0bdd8e064ce1a92eb6","umaEndDate":"2026-01-01T09:11:37Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":982716.694339,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-02-14","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":51836.18834100001,"volume1mo":165783.746216,"volume1yr":982716.6943390013,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22255463452594162709449800579658835371746668793825841462318307382376621533755\", \"57160884655103428512814247631012981773015723019889832549493437551469480061242\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":51836.18834100001,"volume1moClob":165783.746216,"volume1yrClob":982716.6943390013,"volumeClob":982716.694339,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-02-14T19:27:16Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.009,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.034,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"610380","question":"Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0x707125b175feb87a7d28c1e3b0e8e834f11c0dff65edac8c4fe5d1e12bf8fc33","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-june-30-2026-392","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"13935.2788","startDate":"2025-09-23T23:18:41.037Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.027\", \"0.973\"]","volume":"275629.2855639996","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-23T22:49:20.966682Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:02:08.864139Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xcd56a2aab3432e062ad2520816476d101047d74039cb6b06eb80997243459e58","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":275629.2855639996,"liquidityNum":13935.2788,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-09-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":179.95,"volume1wk":885.6156420000001,"volume1mo":41149.99419600001,"volume1yr":275629.2855639997,"clobTokenIds":"[\"46392352440640691691403913163796829338832584619874037984805155658143745393622\", \"38746974225100760605049476871091018825176822620072388068043468416649080453478\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":179.95,"volume1wkClob":885.6156420000001,"volume1moClob":41149.99419600001,"volume1yrClob":275629.2855639997,"volumeClob":275629.2855639996,"liquidityClob":13935.2788,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-23T23:18:19Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8171743907352036,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"48776","conditionId":"0x707125b175feb87a7d28c1e3b0e8e834f11c0dff65edac8c4fe5d1e12bf8fc33","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2025-12-09","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.012,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.016,"lastTradePrice":0.021,"bestBid":0.021,"bestAsk":0.033,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-23T23:17:51.796018Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"734115","question":"Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xdab71ad1d7d7661435f2556eb8e29473d322d9d8af2705a9732c4872629de090","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-march-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-01T12:39:26.304555Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-02-13T23:08:41.618074Z","creationDate":"2025-02-13T23:08:41.618072Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":48838.2749,"volume":1136742.3215380008,"openInterest":114519.699639,"createdAt":"2025-02-13T22:27:42.74491Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:57:57.760166Z","competitive":0.8454827442256171,"volume1wk":4019.526555,"volume1mo":16194.359761000002,"volume1yr":277041.2724220001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":48838.2749,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":26,"markets":[{"id":"523413","question":"Will any country leave NATO in 2025?","conditionId":"0x1b74c3efe140a09049e0eb6b6a2112e00fa4d199cdc718c1a58af1abf6d9e49d","slug":"will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-02-13T23:07:31.891Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nA country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". 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Persistent online rumors trace primarily to a December 2025 Bill Simmons podcast comment referencing Kelce “having a kid” with Swift, alongside fan analysis of her public appearances, outfit choices, and perceived changes in appearance since their August 2025 engagement. Credible reporting consistently debunks viral claims, including recent videos and posts suggesting hidden bumps or rushed timelines. A widely discussed summer 2026 wedding adds public interest and potential announcement windows, yet all discussion remains unsubstantiated rumor. Traders should monitor for any direct statements from the couple or their representatives, as entertainment outcomes hinge on confirmed public actions rather than speculation.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-30T23:46:22.822Z"}},{"id":"22527","ticker":"mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by","slug":"mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by","title":"Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Recent legislative activity, including passage of housing affordability measures and reauthorization of key surveillance authorities in April and May 2026, has demonstrated his ability to advance priorities despite internal party divisions. GOP frustrations over procedural management surfaced in early May, yet no formal challenge to his speakership has emerged. Traders are assessing risks tied to the November 2026 midterms, where shifts in House control would determine whether Johnson retains the gavel into the next Congress. The market reflects consensus on the slim margin for error and the absence of imminent leadership upheaval.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-30T23:47:20.549Z"}},{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":765887.84822,"volume":22500551.313771345,"openInterest":783206.5776099999,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:00:52.435224Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":11918.95834,"volume1wk":251517.20969099944,"volume1mo":888604.3175500049,"volume1yr":19280825.32382476,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":765887.84822,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":880,"markets":[{"id":"540816","question":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x9c1a953fe92c8357f1b646ba25d983aa83e90c525992db14fb726fa895cb5763","slug":"russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:00.174Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if  if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"1\", \"0\"]","volume":"1676301.745145051","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:03:10.397014Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-10T04:32:40.557657Z","closedTime":"2026-05-09 04:29:49+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x74dcd73f29877722e217723e10f2e8f9a888976f7cfc796234b75a3d3214d1c8","umaEndDate":"2026-05-09T04:29:49Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":1676301.745145051,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"gameStartTime":"2026-05-08 20:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"8501497159083948713316135768103773293754490207922884688769443031624417212426\", \"2527312495175492857904889758552137141356236738032676480522356889996545113869\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":1676301.745145051,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:37Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.54,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.275,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.05,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.29,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.265,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.4,"lastTradePrice":0.54,"bestAsk":0.54,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.719613Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540817","question":"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be","slug":"new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"20892.3759","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]","volume":"781387.9105079981","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:04:43.762151Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:55:28.581151Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Rihanna Album","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb6fd5ea8c21f01471ad673950edd4a1645698946906abb27597e3f3de7bd70f1","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":781387.9105079981,"liquidityNum":20892.3759,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2831.317777999999,"volume1wk":37937.174204000046,"volume1mo":76146.94377999996,"volume1yr":593985.5363700022,"clobTokenIds":"[\"98022490269692409998126496127597032490334070080325855126491859374983463996227\", \"53831553061883006530739877284105938919721408776239639687877978808906551086026\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2831.317777999999,"volume1wkClob":37937.174204000046,"volume1moClob":76146.94377999996,"volume1yrClob":593985.5363700022,"volumeClob":781387.9105079981,"liquidityClob":20892.3759,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9996001599360256,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.03,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.19,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.53,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"14905.466","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"737347.3727169466","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:06:24.136443Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:55:31.517848Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Playboi Carti Album ","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x6ec4702f0a5bb188f0dd498647641f2aa13a871953a7f15fa3413939ad68144c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":737347.3727169466,"liquidityNum":14905.466,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":68.808876,"volume1wk":1955.71453,"volume1mo":5388.758438999998,"volume1yr":178344.5857610014,"clobTokenIds":"[\"88275040060084773376557187972215267513049848642895776801789297917961077894224\", \"94376205816022955542979635542279932967359915765455578534002478996104754801969\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":68.808876,"volume1wkClob":1955.71453,"volume1moClob":5388.758438999998,"volume1yrClob":178344.5857610014,"volumeClob":737347.3727169466,"liquidityClob":14905.466,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"384670","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.02,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.025,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.07,"lastTradePrice":0.53,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"401634.4238","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]","volume":"11501351.174513752","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:08:16.157823Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:03:12.934045Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Jesus Christ returns","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x9e84e9020884d3e603df981dc049bed477b64acfc623a739a7c51fed8de6cc5c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":11501351.174513752,"liquidityNum":401634.4238,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2912.318636,"volume1wk":40938.41606600004,"volume1mo":335719.06703300285,"volume1yr":11028318.401940908,"clobTokenIds":"[\"90435811253665578014957380826505992530054077692143838383981805324273750424057\", \"92388629082681805622801622703528982922543286352927708208755887536971583436902\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2912.318636,"volume1wkClob":40938.41606600004,"volume1moClob":335719.06703300285,"volume1yrClob":11028318.401940908,"volumeClob":11501351.174513752,"liquidityClob":401634.4238,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.36,"lastTradePrice":0.49,"bestBid":0.48,"bestAsk":0.49,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.72195Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540820","question":"Trump out as President before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","slug":"trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"29993.2128","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.107Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"660549.0570680078","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:15:30.618414Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:56:30.294264Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Trump out as President ","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xedea9101297fbb648d3a2ac06b936f801919660e9514a7ff7fe6c17c40cd8fed","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":660549.0570680078,"liquidityNum":29993.2128,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":462.87293999999997,"volume1wk":4211.259926999998,"volume1mo":32380.904224000027,"volume1yr":636919.1309770104,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108999723207897941876452935557011604067917389120996960199512481363958770540884\", \"64533579809297525579033609963634939501013332859992608996100633472507000251907\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":462.87293999999997,"volume1wkClob":4211.259926999998,"volume1moClob":32380.904224000027,"volume1yrClob":636919.1309770104,"volumeClob":660549.0570680078,"liquidityClob":29993.2128,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"350879","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.36,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.726154Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540843","question":"Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","slug":"will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716-644","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"39144.6043","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.6Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.51\", \"0.49\"]","volume":"1847166.4302810624","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:22:02.679893Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:02:08.248022Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"China invades Taiwan ","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x68ac8b4c60870980ae87c3a1da8730f46755c5e66c715032fc6c90b53f2ec4ec","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1847166.4302810624,"liquidityNum":39144.6043,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":614.63,"volume1wk":7348.330260000001,"volume1mo":41571.45664500004,"volume1yr":1819429.6118390507,"clobTokenIds":"[\"21695138873211375451055566770107682325494206727818897067665810321709249824909\", \"17516427576383382756368467656206258206490015951115433065318503962238754362428\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":614.63,"volume1wkClob":7348.330260000001,"volume1moClob":41571.45664500004,"volume1yrClob":1819429.6118390507,"volumeClob":1847166.4302810624,"liquidityClob":39144.6043,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999000099990001,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.005,"oneYearPriceChange":0.32,"lastTradePrice":0.5,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.52,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.723394Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540844","question":"Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-1m-before-gta-vi-872-424","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"200386.31393","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.361Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final \"High\" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.4925\", \"0.5075\"]","volume":"4441191.670810529","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:24:45.04244Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:04:51.751695Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Bitcoin hits $1m","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0x7e4ff7b7fdfe7d1fbc6c0e2a7626ae4fc8d62f3848a5e601d511a51bdfa51f09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":4441191.670810529,"liquidityNum":200386.31393,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5020.938617,"volume1wk":151598.5626669994,"volume1mo":369628.344596002,"volume1yr":4353440.06850079,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105267568073659068217311993901927962476298440625043565106676088842803600775810\", \"91863162118308663069733924043159186005106558783397508844234610341221325526200\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5020.938617,"volume1wkClob":151598.5626669994,"volume1moClob":369628.344596002,"volume1yrClob":4353440.06850079,"volumeClob":4441191.670810529,"liquidityClob":200386.31393,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999437531638845,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.004,"oneYearPriceChange":0.3675,"lastTradePrice":0.492,"bestBid":0.492,"bestAsk":0.493,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"573647","question":"Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"34137.0406","startDate":"2025-08-07T14:21:34.535Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nTo qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.53\", \"0.47\"]","volume":"656218.9626829983","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0xF572b3B4BE2c67837A206F660cA7b51F0D7e585F","createdAt":"2025-08-07T14:03:41.38976Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:56:32.47562Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"GPT-6 released","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x9c4c41b0d3e1a61764250a0f6f53a26e073df17fe4d892699283fae2fa94eabb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":656218.9626829983,"liquidityNum":34137.0406,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":101.07776799999999,"volume1wk":3443.0605530000007,"volume1mo":13481.277080000003,"volume1yr":656218.9626829999,"clobTokenIds":"[\"71552623345730992280501476931299615437386807576519105089437764117985071980606\", \"48266425622404486484896353767723266081505997963592758694068789352158715350186\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":101.07776799999999,"volume1wkClob":3443.0605530000007,"volume1moClob":13481.277080000003,"volume1yrClob":656218.9626829999,"volumeClob":656218.9626829983,"liquidityClob":34137.0406,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:21:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9991008092716555,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"374592","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-18","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.02,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.05,"lastTradePrice":0.52,"bestBid":0.52,"bestAsk":0.54,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:20:42.400176Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"1117522","question":"Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","slug":"will-drake-release-iceman-before-gta-vi-355","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2026-01-06T00:20:15.433Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Drake officially releases Iceman before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nIceman refers to the upcoming studio album by Drake of that title, which has been promoted through videos released with the titles “Iceman Episode (1-4)”, and the singles “What Did I Miss”, “Which One”, and “Dog House.”\n\nOfficially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nThe full Iceman studio album must be released in order to resolve this market. Further singles or Iceman video episodes will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. A consensus of credible reporting that a released album is the Iceman project may be used if Drake releases the album under a different name.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"1\", \"0\"]","volume":"184867.9642920002","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-05T23:40:27.656833Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-21T21:05:23.45614Z","closedTime":"2026-05-15 09:40:31+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Drake releases Iceman","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0xa1c2c3e248f048170f13cfd40bbf64d1d62b01416239fbd00840f60a0fe6bda2","umaEndDate":"2026-05-15T09:40:31Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":184867.9642920002,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-06","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"40694415003591202786878279287884766002429923551809555441858630935269489320071\", \"31737648224640860538361785861700072557227859645060732743904381890720199497279\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":184867.9642920002,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-06T00:19:53Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0055,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.012,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.1095,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.999,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-06T00:19:21.850657Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"2325588","question":"Another pandemic before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x71b1cc47f4cfe66e7aefa3705f1e55845a398e61788566463ee73a00f57ab59e","slug":"another-pandemic-before-gta-vi","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"25567.9642","startDate":"2026-05-21T21:10:08.125Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and Grand Theft Auto VI's officially release in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for another pandemic's occurrence will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"14274.032027999998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-21T21:05:21.441527Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:02:29.48918Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Another Pandemic","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0xa23844eaec64d4fdf101e21f16237e21013353ebbf55649d2f4160d4c64f41c4","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":14274.032027999998,"liquidityNum":25567.9642,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"73519690123669857152453405885723415686475855163989537762769966905300245435421\", \"62146921459129643983706019071835400268748047142556153578498180948195146798405\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":14274.032027999998,"liquidityClob":25567.9642,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-21T21:09:12Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"385793","conditionId":"0x71b1cc47f4cfe66e7aefa3705f1e55845a398e61788566463ee73a00f57ab59e","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-05-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-21T21:08:06.760762Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}}],"tags":[{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100215","label":"All","slug":"all","forceShow":false,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:23:54.340488Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102109","label":"GTA VI","slug":"gta-vi","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-06T18:59:54.453812Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:58.598479Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","eventCreators":[{"id":"35","creatorName":"Complex","creatorHandle":"Complex","creatorUrl":"https://www.instagram.com/complex/?dub_id=uufP7v9XO0yJTJxj#","creatorImage":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1616533296770416655/AumWVpWu_400x400.jpg","createdAt":"2025-06-17T16:52:15.706551Z"}],"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Rockstar Games' repeated delays have extended GTA VI's release to November 19, 2026, widening the window for unrelated cultural and industry milestones to unfold beforehand. Take-Two Interactive's recent earnings tied record fiscal projections directly to that date, signaling firm internal confidence after shifts from an original 2025 target through a brief May 2026 slot. This extended timeline amplifies trader focus on high-visibility events such as major album drops, AI model launches, and geopolitical resolutions, with market-implied odds reflecting the added runway and historical patterns of Rockstar's polish-over-haste approach. Upcoming catalysts include Take-Two's next earnings update and potential new marketing reveals that could either reinforce or challenge the current schedule.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-31T00:00:52.048Z"}},{"id":"23792","ticker":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","title":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269386Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269383Z","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":46100.70066,"volume":15227408.754636008,"openInterest":377561.332741,"createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:34.884115Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:57:50.571691Z","competitive":0.8003199679231757,"volume24hr":4546.702864000001,"volume1wk":436187.87435699964,"volume1mo":1313442.677699999,"volume1yr":15203920.235574001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":46100.70066,"commentCount":35,"markets":[{"id":"540881","question":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","conditionId":"0xcccb7e7613a087c132b69cbf3a02bece3fdcb824c1da54ae79acc8d4a562d902","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"46200.69614","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:26.233Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]","volume":"15227408.754636008","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:35.469183Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:04:24.310594Z","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xd8d82bd063da64aea9f8a0c10f7e0b1510d15cefb2468bccc94c0572336095a2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":15227408.754636008,"liquidityNum":46200.69614,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":4380.127864,"volume1wk":435990.51135699963,"volume1mo":1313442.677699999,"volume1yr":15203920.235574001,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8441400852834915183759801017793514978104486628517653995211751018945988243154\", \"109289569086508934142323222102974769075074494425163878721602922903101062859033\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":4380.127864,"volume1wkClob":435990.51135699963,"volume1moClob":1313442.677699999,"volume1yrClob":15203920.235574001,"volumeClob":15227408.754636008,"liquidityClob":46200.69614,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T17:00:01Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.7195,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T16:59:24.952285Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}}],"tags":[{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102109","label":"GTA VI","slug":"gta-vi","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-06T18:59:54.453812Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:58.598479Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"198","label":"Breaking News","slug":"breaking-news","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:34:44.43+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:34:44.447Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:30.073845Z","forceHide":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Rockstar Games' official November 6, 2025 announcement delaying Grand Theft Auto VI from May 26, 2026 to November 19, 2026, combined with Take-Two Interactive's repeated earnings call confirmations, has locked in trader consensus that the title will miss any pre-June 2026 window. Multiple prior shifts from the original Fall 2025 target underscore the studio's emphasis on polish over rushed timelines, aligning with industry norms for ambitious open-world titles. With the game now less than six months from its confirmed date and no credible signals of an earlier surprise drop, the 100% implied probability reflects overwhelming evidence from primary sources. An unforeseen early release remains theoretically possible but would contradict all verified statements and historical patterns.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-30T23:30:48.632Z"}},{"id":"24383","ticker":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","slug":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","title":"Harvey Weinstein prison time?","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091151Z","creationDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091148Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":15628.03063,"volume":1057494.4293060016,"openInterest":60609.216718,"createdAt":"2025-05-12T22:26:22.013988Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:57:44.023467Z","competitive":0.9433739770288437,"volume24hr":2204.895481,"volume1wk":16600.505317,"volume1mo":139306.84914000003,"volume1yr":908814.9658469998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":15628.03063,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","commentCount":22,"markets":[{"id":"544092","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-no-prison-time","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"2210.61831","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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Recent acceleration of an AI-agent smartphone project targeting 2027 mass production adds competitive pressure amid ongoing prototype refinement and regulatory considerations for new hardware categories.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-30T22:16:55.097Z"}},{"id":"25036","ticker":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by","title":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?","description":"This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:22:27.724651Z","creationDate":"2025-05-22T21:22:27.724648Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":85899.51283,"volume":6333004.231086006,"openInterest":364363.02420000004,"createdAt":"2025-05-22T21:05:50.676357Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:01:42.672679Z","competitive":0.9858044164037855,"volume24hr":11185.869247,"volume1wk":354167.398785,"volume1mo":2092109.2303819999,"volume1yr":5143382.407498,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":85899.51283,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":439,"markets":[{"id":"546805","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?","conditionId":"0x5fa63a3f820801f6bab4f95a9fc4453c004ab1881b6be2c2cb26c812f7efb997","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-august-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-08-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:21:03.317115Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"820505.02216","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-22T21:06:55.225812Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.114772Z","closedTime":"2025-09-01 06:28:52+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x4ea006a4454c2dc79c9738e820ff965175fc2c8845d358a0384a03c2533a5bcf","umaEndDate":"2025-09-01T06:28:52Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":820505.02216,"endDateIso":"2025-08-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":53283.02003999999,"volume1mo":472014.95997800014,"volume1yr":820505.0221599991,"clobTokenIds":"[\"52764520351434119047034479962184961804730800614485355573059721230866709386316\", \"50939339576833016698573110949129257192038949921900247130555235008970489450900\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":53283.02003999999,"volume1moClob":472014.95997800014,"volume1yrClob":820505.0221599991,"volumeClob":820505.02216,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-22T21:20:34Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0145,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.051,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-22T21:19:57.13184Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"546806","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?","conditionId":"0x1df6862b69a47872e75864cac21b9ae9ea0cb552884d38aea9170c5fe5321bc6","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-266-839-138","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:21:03.57Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"1307057.244169","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-22T21:11:26.543541Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.058462Z","closedTime":"2026-01-01 09:14:39+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":" December 31","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x11c7ebe54b3bc4dd87a0adb979a2532f3cb96fa870d41c0c105892f760ea3fde","umaEndDate":"2026-01-01T09:14:39Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":1307057.244169,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":47604.17484199999,"volume1mo":249119.967711,"volume1yr":1307057.2441690012,"clobTokenIds":"[\"58798923314292213706108095296759377158063350000880445982478753522386393910973\", \"16759809660065614657316136762877254422251604138946045908613588571784925013992\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":47604.17484199999,"volume1moClob":249119.967711,"volume1yrClob":1307057.2441690012,"volumeClob":1307057.244169,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-22T21:20:36Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.018,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2175,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-22T21:19:57.12882Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"560560","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?","conditionId":"0x19848149723bbd00545b98f45aa239864d8afd2194fec522af4dd2cb222f9766","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-october-31-788","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-07-07T04:01:13.354Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by October 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. 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If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"163807.773962","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"0x00A284A28628922529c2088924E5Ad0A739dA66d","createdAt":"2025-08-12T17:00:50.147184Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.121552Z","closedTime":"2025-10-01 06:14:45+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xe87c96013e0837dc32d6962f3ef0c59dba229da671ac9be20bc41e758e03617c","umaEndDate":"2025-10-01T06:14:45Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":163807.773962,"endDateIso":"2025-08-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":13236.180385,"volume1mo":99637.15513099995,"volume1yr":163807.77396199995,"clobTokenIds":"[\"114381589136409215143279241982285449157407779193398667940575043679964367420662\", \"7226328177805702284817831455077713195078779803101002290052645015901358643638\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":13236.180385,"volume1moClob":99637.15513099995,"volume1yrClob":163807.77396199995,"volumeClob":163807.773962,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-12T17:12:45Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.008,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1645,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-12T17:12:15.382866Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"642526","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?","conditionId":"0xd6b3dba9eefc9b556c3bb0f140e7d530759e70ed1283caeb162c31df477c1e1a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-november-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-10-21T19:29:11.125714Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by November 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"229509.128995","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-21T13:45:37.581566Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.062849Z","closedTime":"2025-12-01 07:33:40+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"November 30","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x8f07e517a304c886955497ce5e7a791f5dd80ec5484c0f1ef59e5166d8401f98","umaEndDate":"2025-12-01T07:33:40Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":229509.128995,"endDateIso":"2025-10-31","startDateIso":"2025-10-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":21704.066098,"volume1mo":166077.9794079999,"volume1yr":229509.1289949998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"26340281514116361739177694696142465392610507254614159065410861117730143622187\", \"77445434236199640828285894610915168465113925137412738738677921101339333881186\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":21704.066098,"volume1moClob":166077.9794079999,"volume1yrClob":229509.1289949998,"volumeClob":229509.128995,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-21T19:28:49Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.004,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0035,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.031,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2705,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-21T19:28:22.128044Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"898678","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?","conditionId":"0xa65fe234ac3808801290874c631e55bcfee30e437c78239808729a89d9f2de22","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-january-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-09T00:38:09.352Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by January 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"496558.346575","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-09T00:01:55.362849Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.076803Z","closedTime":"2026-02-01 08:00:46+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"January 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xcae03d68faf92abe5d7b9f83c772caf7ee3a4c5de9b36898b61e0c4e58149984","umaEndDate":"2026-02-01T08:00:46Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":496558.346575,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":67052.53479200003,"volume1mo":379685.8219830001,"volume1yr":496558.3465750002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"37281046158137671889895383499164526727881692321679587626659940834369685019496\", \"11132544244839265378732084165256379227175677028258955804895976429843086532411\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":67052.53479200003,"volume1moClob":379685.8219830001,"volume1yrClob":496558.3465750002,"volumeClob":496558.346575,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-09T00:37:47Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.003,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0945,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2195,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-09T00:37:17.372882Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677361","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?","conditionId":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-march-31-872-578","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:23:45.868Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by March 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"965800.9519230045","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:26:22.455602Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:29.992716Z","closedTime":"2026-04-01 06:22:17+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"March 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x960b8fe78b127652ed8e5b0f895137f7d30226dea710d57a1313d3d93a1d5cb0","umaEndDate":"2026-04-01T06:22:17Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":965800.9519230045,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"94521268801533640253484626268475643884882213091508756864952897781498391313602\", \"63761293627321054794056701530662561252253979399794304476663814039986928052742\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":965800.9519230045,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:24Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.045,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.48,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:22:55.343944Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677366","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-2026-936-942-271-276-578-687","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"49532.7518","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:24:05.994Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.755\", \"0.245\"]","volume":"495237.6310630008","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:27:09.238172Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:55:56.312261Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"11","questionID":"0xb4756d4c88a97988c3aa438fcec0b0b77634e7cfc85f4cbfe3db83572c976aae","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":495237.6310630008,"liquidityNum":49532.7518,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3523.4044149999995,"volume1wk":22264.976365,"volume1mo":125587.491633,"volume1yr":495237.6310630007,"clobTokenIds":"[\"83552904656813968939383082097054433404653657244784709614448703928529504455469\", \"47029152085101973226255505664149277121974669906212969183902148537312535402801\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3523.4044149999995,"volume1wkClob":22264.976365,"volume1moClob":125587.491633,"volume1yrClob":495237.6310630007,"volumeClob":495237.6310630008,"liquidityClob":49532.7518,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.938945095185559,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"291707","conditionId":"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-04-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":40,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.04,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.02,"lastTradePrice":0.78,"bestBid":0.75,"bestAsk":0.76,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:15.444123Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"956942","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?","conditionId":"0x5f33f46fa571836f090ef8f3e62caee237f8f73c36a711e757a6f71bf8ef9c6a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-february-28","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-17T20:53:32.04Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by February 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"486173.461815","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-17T20:51:51.563238Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.001394Z","closedTime":"2026-03-01 07:26:23+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"February 28, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0xbe5e1a505622dc16b022e647aaf4d449fac6135286abd159a0e761efdf2faebe","umaEndDate":"2026-03-01T07:26:23Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":486173.461815,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-17","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":38520.792045,"volume1mo":176247.5126260001,"volume1yr":486173.4618150009,"clobTokenIds":"[\"3464795463763108108909057219187376740735691886447931192725079515654033695019\", \"96229871085374132303116376471322311695842738677806841162553339355812305824040\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":38520.792045,"volume1moClob":176247.5126260001,"volume1yrClob":486173.4618150009,"volumeClob":486173.461815,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-17T20:53:09Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.018,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.3315,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-17T20:52:40.03807Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1397260","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?","conditionId":"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-june-30-382-954-769","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"11625.71996","startDate":"2026-02-19T12:24:20.546Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.238\", \"0.762\"]","volume":"353592.0488820008","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-19T12:19:32.163641Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:54:59.991834Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"10","questionID":"0x9477316f1c03d7b60a44c6de7ea6c5d2d6fedbaf947e1f8ae451e840be053f5a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":353592.0488820008,"liquidityNum":11625.71996,"endDateIso":"2026-06-30","startDateIso":"2026-02-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":4144.977976,"volume1wk":24458.12313400001,"volume1mo":114721.97388299978,"volume1yr":353592.0488819987,"clobTokenIds":"[\"92557339599379991257792137259949406096653890374419429974555855496093508422916\", \"43321630833125241017427912676100747595457556487829359498141771278458547970943\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":4144.977976,"volume1wkClob":24458.12313400001,"volume1moClob":114721.97388299978,"volume1yrClob":353592.0488819987,"volumeClob":353592.0488820008,"liquidityClob":11625.71996,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:23:14Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.935765325028728,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"277501","conditionId":"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-04-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":40,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.026,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0515,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0025,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1185,"lastTradePrice":0.252,"bestBid":0.225,"bestAsk":0.251,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:21:59.737659Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1397301","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?","conditionId":"0x19f4555bdaf83d0d433f62013c005a73de4787ed737550f81a6d265fa28d976c","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-april-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-04-30T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2026-02-19T12:52:38.015Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by April 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"223820.87166499996","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-19T12:49:37.685922Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-02T06:14:04.117098Z","closedTime":"2026-05-01 06:55:42+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"April 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0xe399f5f86f0a33219c28e6b780ebb419c8dc2392b48ceeeed825884d53617fc4","umaEndDate":"2026-05-01T06:55:42Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":223820.87166499996,"endDateIso":"2026-04-30","startDateIso":"2026-02-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"91598277451888833943457869299081344513189737907823485218592748863763321112699\", \"53831658761992660262271167425488866803302305236549476786294052519241195037228\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":223820.87166499996,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:51:32Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.067,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1795,"lastTradePrice":0.009,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:50:20.355087Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2047653","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?","conditionId":"0xc13c31b0e5d48e978cc5c66318659ecab10e9882543e87a5f4eea5a5f889bdc2","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-may-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"7799.39375","startDate":"2026-04-21T22:11:39.521371Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]","volume":"64449.40995000003","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-21T22:07:27.001781Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:04:00.413451Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"May 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x735290e65b0f6e19ec03b2db9e34cf0f4d9a569a76145023663481386f85b4cb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":64449.40995000003,"liquidityNum":7799.39375,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2026-04-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2562.376363,"volume1wk":12627.778220000004,"volume1mo":53188.66807199999,"volume1yr":64449.40995,"clobTokenIds":"[\"29809011696982220732063546542308622474802854943333188643218359463829709235487\", \"25648885101397690756283800036871749844131890020935661811158571426964687277506\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2562.376363,"volume1wkClob":12627.778220000004,"volume1moClob":53188.66807199999,"volume1yrClob":64449.40995,"volumeClob":64449.40995000003,"liquidityClob":7799.39375,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-21T22:10:36Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8281708955488092,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"291697","conditionId":"0xc13c31b0e5d48e978cc5c66318659ecab10e9882543e87a5f4eea5a5f889bdc2","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-04-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":40,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.009,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0125,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0265,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1505,"lastTradePrice":0.042,"bestBid":0.04,"bestAsk":0.049,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-21T22:09:22.720893Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2159718","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?","conditionId":"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-september-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"16701.1374","startDate":"2026-05-04T20:45:49.43525Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.62\", \"0.38\"]","volume":"25567.062001000006","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-04T20:42:57.818734Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:59:44.779716Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"11","questionID":"0x6bbdd2110eb729279f3bc5a99ae1489aef85cfcd27e31c4f6cacb3f5c492f3fd","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":25567.062001000006,"liquidityNum":16701.1374,"endDateIso":"2026-09-30","startDateIso":"2026-05-04","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":996.9081480000001,"volume1wk":12264.985567999998,"volume1mo":25567.06200100001,"volume1yr":25567.06200100001,"clobTokenIds":"[\"55628874182306186050631811887515133881663823417535899038376461448048315313936\", \"63712527751974257201038440220031691363508120012860375402898424160848105925111\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":996.9081480000001,"volume1wkClob":12264.985567999998,"volume1moClob":25567.06200100001,"volume1yrClob":25567.06200100001,"volumeClob":25567.062001000006,"liquidityClob":16701.1374,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-04T20:44:46Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9858044164037855,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"309744","conditionId":"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-05-04","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":40,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.095,"lastTradePrice":0.63,"bestBid":0.61,"bestAsk":0.63,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-04T20:43:27.503491Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null}],"tags":[{"id":"96","label":"Ukraine","slug":"ukraine","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:11:46.161003Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101970","label":"World","slug":"world","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100265","label":"Geopolitics","slug":"geopolitics","forceShow":true,"createdAt":"2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102475","label":"Russia Capture","slug":"russia-capture","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-07T21:17:05.925606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:11:46.156489Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102486","label":"Ukraine Map","slug":"ukraine-map","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-12T21:44:08.906337Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.187435Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Russian forces continue incremental advances around Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast through small-unit infiltration tactics and assaults on surrounding settlements such as Berestok, Ivanopillya, and Stepanivka, while Ukrainian troops conduct counterattacks and strikes that limit consolidation inside the city itself. As of late May 2026, confirmed Russian control remains confined to limited eastern and southern outskirts and scattered positions, with no verified seizure of the urban center despite its designation as a 2026 priority objective. The slow tempo reflects attritional fighting, Ukrainian defensive depth in the fortress belt, and challenges in massing forces for encirclement amid ongoing drone and artillery exchanges. Traders assessing capture timelines weigh these battlefield dynamics against potential escalations in assault intensity or shifts in Ukrainian reinforcements.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-30T23:46:07.790Z"}},{"id":"25391","ticker":"spain-snap-election-called-by","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-by","title":"Spain snap election called by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:29.141223Z","creationDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:29.14122Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":13849.11012,"volume":167914.88290599993,"openInterest":21943.751132,"createdAt":"2025-05-28T17:17:11.280439Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-31T00:02:12.018227Z","competitive":0.852171834485221,"volume24hr":57.881491,"volume1wk":11573.523517999998,"volume1mo":36348.929668000004,"volume1yr":167914.88290599993,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":13849.11012,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"markets":[{"id":"547957","question":"Spain snap election called in 2025?","conditionId":"0x90146e4df214d10dc20b7f60ff0ce966bfa09546978a4a4059d06f3cd6ddf577","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:02.886Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"93498.302024","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-28T17:17:12.888354Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-28T13:33:33.33929Z","closedTime":"2026-01-01 10:17:17+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2025","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xcdb4dcef247a51f3d1853304a7a11c2b42dffc51ba1056c56d4f49a685ce7fb0","umaEndDate":"2026-01-01T10:17:17Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":93498.302024,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-28","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":4513.470999999999,"volume1mo":13695.586521000001,"volume1yr":93498.30202399998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"6902174611736159145776657108337759402988986526678504248271295670198397738390\", \"10360574034610259365825582633190111659383248210003248977260045000073129477814\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":4513.470999999999,"volume1moClob":13695.586521000001,"volume1yrClob":93498.30202399998,"volumeClob":93498.302024,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-28T18:37:38Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.007,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0505,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-28T18:36:17.419964Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"644510","question":"Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0xb935ba8bc67b99825f2d7e4759d5d619f9c2beea0b799cc6f444d48c8cdf6149","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-by-june-30-2026","resolutionSource":"","liquidity":"13878.25934","startDate":"2025-10-22T15:44:39.980441Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0835\", \"0.9165\"]","volume":"74416.58088199992","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-22T15:42:59.06638Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:55:32.773294Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x281e67a95c130130a06a7047bbb59aaaf24733887d36ddc5cf436ad7dc6c4d0e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":74416.58088199992,"liquidityNum":13878.25934,"startDateIso":"2025-10-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":57.881491,"volume1wk":7060.0525179999995,"volume1mo":22653.343147,"volume1yr":74416.58088199997,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22727676348515372003751667928661129938953357934816532759741382381194930135311\", \"113257680533063586788985346494216055424581457988687762525815116425152066513696\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":57.881491,"volume1wkClob":7060.0525179999995,"volume1moClob":22653.343147,"volume1yrClob":74416.58088199997,"volumeClob":74416.58088199992,"liquidityClob":13878.25934,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-22T15:44:18Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.852171834485221,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"90084","conditionId":"0xb935ba8bc67b99825f2d7e4759d5d619f9c2beea0b799cc6f444d48c8cdf6149","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-03-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.033,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0365,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0205,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0085,"lastTradePrice":0.1,"bestBid":0.067,"bestAsk":0.1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-22T15:43:50.11555Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}}],"series":[{"id":"11293","ticker":"spain-snap-election","slug":"spain-snap-election","title":"Spain Snap Election","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-05T16:06:40.345104Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-30T23:58:27.322022Z","volume24hr":67.881491,"volume":193272.58776899992,"liquidity":16082.18362,"commentCount":45,"requiresTranslation":false}],"tags":[{"id":"366","label":"world affairs","slug":"world-affairs","publishedAt":"2023-11-02 22:05:44.425+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T22:05:44.48Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:47:56.524437Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101970","label":"World","slug":"world","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"144","label":"Elections","slug":"elections","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:24:31.008+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:24:31.198Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:22:31.696566Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1597","label":"Global Elections","slug":"global-elections","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-03-07 20:44:01.258+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-03-07T20:41:56.773Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:08:23.096987Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"spain-snap-election","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Spain's governing PSOE coalition under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from multiple corruption investigations targeting party officials, the prime minister's family members, and close associates, including a recent police search of PSOE headquarters. Sánchez has repeatedly stated the administration will serve its full term through the scheduled 2027 general election, citing economic stability and foreign policy priorities despite the absence of a national budget since 2023 and a fragile parliamentary majority reliant on regional parties such as Junts. Recent regional contests in Andalusia, Aragon, and other areas have shown gains for the opposition Partido Popular and shifts toward the right, yet smaller parties have declined to support a no-confidence motion that could empower the far-right Vox. These dynamics, combined with the prime minister's explicit rejection of early dissolution of the Cortes Generales, shape trader assessments of the low probability that a snap election will be called before the end of 2026.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-31T00:02:11.654Z"}},{"id":"25410","ticker":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by","slug":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by","title":"US x Russia military clash by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. 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