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Recent March local elections underscored centrist weakness, with far-right National Rally and left-wing gains boosting opposition momentum, while budget talks for 2026 have reignited dissolution threats from Macron, though he has ruled out new snap elections. Low presidential approval ratings persist, but impeachment remains a high constitutional bar, and no-confidence votes have not toppled recent minority governments. Trader consensus reflects Macron's track record of navigating crises to serve his full term ending May 2027, with key upcoming risks including parliamentary confidence votes and fiscal deadlines that could escalate deadlock.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T04:32:22.406Z"}},{"id":"16423","ticker":"uk-election-called-by","slug":"uk-election-called-by","title":"UK election called by...?","description":"This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-01-06T13:23:37.947481Z","creationDate":"2025-01-06T13:23:37.947478Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":6205.05229,"volume":743199.986605,"openInterest":6438.374274000001,"createdAt":"2025-01-06T13:06:31.446876Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:22:35.494409Z","competitive":0.8402683480996491,"volume24hr":83.752752,"volume1wk":8574.271539,"volume1mo":30755.267211,"volume1yr":165768.96014,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":6205.05229,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":14,"markets":[{"id":"517548","question":"Will the next UK election be called by March 31?","conditionId":"0x6c3493304224c9c89a846a14c67a0510deb1cc5aa69159973f06940d5c6a4fa9","slug":"will-the-next-uk-election-be-called-by-march-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-01-06T13:22:48.474019Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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No verifiable military clashes, incursions, or escalations have occurred in the past 30 days or year, with relations showing signs of easing via an Indian delegation visit in early April 2026. Persistent irritants include China's renaming of Arunachal Pradesh sites—elevated in a recent Pentagon report to core interests akin to Taiwan—and India's firm rejections, yet mutual nuclear deterrence, economic interdependence, and ongoing corps commander talks underpin trader caution against near-term conflict. Scheduled border negotiations could further shape dynamics.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T05:04:21.342Z"}},{"id":"17549","ticker":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025","slug":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025","title":"NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to \"Yes\" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"170793.703881","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-01-31T00:57:35.244062Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-15T23:22:37.117875Z","closedTime":"2026-01-01 09:34:35+00","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2025","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xf2750f2f14842fd14ba29c420ccc8620a9701d6becc940ec6045b1ede9fe1797","umaEndDate":"2026-01-01T09:34:35Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":170793.703881,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-01-31","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":5518.398004000001,"volume1mo":11715.728285,"volume1yr":170793.70388100002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"103909253011351322759892776638669457027523901655815490042130382730360706229706\", \"40643730425995007653653846322257326466291751148478865541862332040512398068473\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":5518.398004000001,"volume1moClob":11715.728285,"volume1yrClob":170793.70388100002,"volumeClob":170793.703881,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-01-31T23:38:55Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.014,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"610236","question":"NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0x6beb95a01147de25b24d3ffae7a43551f392da4235a62f058515c3e99d7af199","slug":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-june-30-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"33702.85885","startDate":"2025-09-23T21:16:41.959938Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025-ed2fIguRcJLj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025-ed2fIguRcJLj.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Opposition from Conservatives and Reform UK leaders demands his departure, amplified by polls indicating 64% of voters—including 46% of 2024 Labour backers—want him gone immediately, amid Labour's support slumping to 14-19%. Internal dissent escalates with MP suspensions like Karl Turner's over jury trial reforms. 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The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAn official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.\n\nThe April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting 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Recent U.S.-mediated peace negotiations, including February Geneva talks and April reports of tentative progress, have stalled over Russia's demands for formal recognition of annexed regions like Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia, which Kyiv deems temporarily occupied. Ukrainian forces liberated up to 435 square kilometers in the south by early March, shifting battlefield dynamics amid Russia's spring offensive. No verified developments indicate Ukrainian recognition; upcoming diplomacy emphasizes ceasefires without land surrender, though escalation risks persist.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T05:17:11.903Z"}},{"id":"18558","ticker":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","slug":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","title":"Ukraine election called by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. 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Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-02-14T19:30:42.775652Z","creationDate":"2025-02-14T19:30:42.775649Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":15253.64624,"volume":1479881.3827489992,"openInterest":23933.842613,"createdAt":"2025-02-13T19:39:15.966366Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:22:25.775088Z","competitive":0.8387275747835716,"volume24hr":281.190626,"volume1wk":63454.05991100001,"volume1mo":193867.705932,"volume1yr":1210795.060279001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":15253.64624,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":37,"markets":[{"id":"523343","question":"Ukraine election called in 2025?","conditionId":"0xf3d74c153a35436ff82a5f78200104975c5841140ace763f2954adb340cca511","slug":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-02-14T19:28:26.116Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"982716.694339","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-02-13T19:39:17.849008Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T23:15:57.010175Z","closedTime":"2026-01-01 09:11:37+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2025","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xa094043bf8108d863998270c7f412507cd34679fa71dfb0bdd8e064ce1a92eb6","umaEndDate":"2026-01-01T09:11:37Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":982716.694339,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-02-14","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":51836.18834100001,"volume1mo":165783.746216,"volume1yr":982716.6943390013,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22255463452594162709449800579658835371746668793825841462318307382376621533755\", \"57160884655103428512814247631012981773015723019889832549493437551469480061242\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":51836.18834100001,"volume1moClob":165783.746216,"volume1yrClob":982716.6943390013,"volumeClob":982716.694339,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-02-14T19:27:16Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.009,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.034,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"610380","question":"Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0x707125b175feb87a7d28c1e3b0e8e834f11c0dff65edac8c4fe5d1e12bf8fc33","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-june-30-2026-392","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"15253.64104","startDate":"2025-09-23T23:18:41.037Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0615\", \"0.9385\"]","volume":"228078.3659399998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-23T22:49:20.966682Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:19:44.838986Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xcd56a2aab3432e062ad2520816476d101047d74039cb6b06eb80997243459e58","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":228078.3659399998,"liquidityNum":15253.64104,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-09-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":280.09738,"volume1wk":11617.871570000003,"volume1mo":28083.95971600001,"volume1yr":228078.36593999976,"clobTokenIds":"[\"46392352440640691691403913163796829338832584619874037984805155658143745393622\", \"38746974225100760605049476871091018825176822620072388068043468416649080453478\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":280.09738,"volume1wkClob":11617.871570000003,"volume1moClob":28083.95971600001,"volume1yrClob":228078.36593999976,"volumeClob":228078.3659399998,"liquidityClob":15253.64104,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-23T23:18:19Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8387275747835716,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"48776","conditionId":"0x707125b175feb87a7d28c1e3b0e8e834f11c0dff65edac8c4fe5d1e12bf8fc33","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2025-12-09","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.023,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0135,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0385,"lastTradePrice":0.074,"bestBid":0.05,"bestAsk":0.073,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-23T23:17:51.796018Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"734115","question":"Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xdab71ad1d7d7661435f2556eb8e29473d322d9d8af2705a9732c4872629de090","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-march-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-01T12:39:26.304555Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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European allies are accelerating \"NATO minus U.S.\" contingency plans, including fallback command structures, while a congressional bill proposes forced withdrawal in 30 days—though Article 13 requires one year's notice and Senate approval poses hurdles. No other members signal departure, with Hungary and Turkey voicing skepticism but committing to stay. Upcoming NATO summits, Hormuz diplomatic talks, and congressional debates could sway alliance cohesion and market odds.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T04:32:56.499Z"}},{"id":"18576","ticker":"ukraine-election-held-in-2025","slug":"ukraine-election-held-in-2025","title":"Ukraine election held by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Doug LaMalfa's death in January, leaves Speaker Mike Johnson vulnerable to a motion to vacate from even a handful of hardliners, echoing the ouster of his predecessor. Recent frustrations among Freedom Caucus members and MAGA influencers stem from delays in advancing priorities like the SAVE America Act for election security, amid GOP divisions on spending bills and DHS policies. Johnson has backed expulsion resolutions for members facing ethics probes, such as Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick over alleged FEMA fund misuse, but attendance issues plague the conference as 2026 midterms approach. No motion to vacate has materialized in the past month, though primary challenges and midterm risks loom.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T04:19:51.858Z"}},{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1635642.69148,"volume":21214384.903885562,"openInterest":732667.140197,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:25:13.656399Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":106532.49554899998,"volume1wk":287932.43353700003,"volume1mo":1994347.1606390155,"volume1yr":21214384.903886665,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1635642.69148,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":815,"markets":[{"id":"540816","question":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x9c1a953fe92c8357f1b646ba25d983aa83e90c525992db14fb726fa895cb5763","slug":"russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"54346.5359","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:00.174Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if  if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]","volume":"1559925.6271439793","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:03:10.397014Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:19:56.698659Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x74dcd73f29877722e217723e10f2e8f9a888976f7cfc796234b75a3d3214d1c8","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1559925.6271439793,"liquidityNum":54346.5359,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":23668.280322999988,"volume1wk":77396.47606600006,"volume1mo":171049.50676199663,"volume1yr":1559925.6271439584,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8501497159083948713316135768103773293754490207922884688769443031624417212426\", \"2527312495175492857904889758552137141356236738032676480522356889996545113869\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":23668.280322999988,"volume1wkClob":77396.47606600006,"volume1moClob":171049.50676199663,"volume1yrClob":1559925.6271439584,"volumeClob":1559925.6271439793,"liquidityClob":54346.5359,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:37Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9987764987889834,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"22695","conditionId":"0x9c1a953fe92c8357f1b646ba25d983aa83e90c525992db14fb726fa895cb5763","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2025-05-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.53,"bestBid":0.53,"bestAsk":0.54,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.719613Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"540817","question":"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be","slug":"new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"35283.3853","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.61\", \"0.39\"]","volume":"698444.1344570012","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:04:43.762151Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:21:50.91512Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Rihanna Album","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb6fd5ea8c21f01471ad673950edd4a1645698946906abb27597e3f3de7bd70f1","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":698444.1344570012,"liquidityNum":35283.3853,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1027.6534310000002,"volume1wk":7078.993318000001,"volume1mo":35257.41908699995,"volume1yr":698444.1344569998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"98022490269692409998126496127597032490334070080325855126491859374983463996227\", \"53831553061883006530739877284105938919721408776239639687877978808906551086026\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1027.6534310000002,"volume1wkClob":7078.993318000001,"volume1moClob":35257.41908699995,"volume1yrClob":698444.1344569998,"volumeClob":698444.1344570012,"liquidityClob":35283.3853,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9880446596186148,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"22694","conditionId":"0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2025-05-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"},{"id":"34706","conditionId":"0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2025-05-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":0.015,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.025,"lastTradePrice":0.62,"bestBid":0.6,"bestAsk":0.62,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"34745.0987","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]","volume":"726917.8785649824","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:06:24.136443Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:19:31.82156Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Playboi Carti Album ","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x6ec4702f0a5bb188f0dd498647641f2aa13a871953a7f15fa3413939ad68144c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":726917.8785649824,"liquidityNum":34745.0987,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":638.8014789999987,"volume1wk":4555.949227000047,"volume1mo":34138.44424799976,"volume1yr":726917.8785649991,"clobTokenIds":"[\"88275040060084773376557187972215267513049848642895776801789297917961077894224\", \"94376205816022955542979635542279932967359915765455578534002478996104754801969\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":638.8014789999987,"volume1wkClob":4555.949227000047,"volume1moClob":34138.44424799976,"volume1yrClob":726917.8785649991,"volumeClob":726917.8785649824,"liquidityClob":34745.0987,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9987764987889834,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"125493","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","assetAddress":"0x2791bca1f2de4661ed88a30c99a7a9449aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-04-04","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.03,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.05,"lastTradePrice":0.54,"bestBid":0.52,"bestAsk":0.55,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"787564.1692","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]","volume":"11096955.04958197","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:08:16.157823Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:20:53.830027Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Jesus Christ returns","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x9e84e9020884d3e603df981dc049bed477b64acfc623a739a7c51fed8de6cc5c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":11096955.04958197,"liquidityNum":787564.1692,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":66112.352397,"volume1wk":126347.78631699992,"volume1mo":1017947.412933021,"volume1yr":11096955.049582856,"clobTokenIds":"[\"90435811253665578014957380826505992530054077692143838383981805324273750424057\", \"92388629082681805622801622703528982922543286352927708208755887536971583436902\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":66112.352397,"volume1wkClob":126347.78631699992,"volume1moClob":1017947.412933021,"volume1yrClob":11096955.049582856,"volumeClob":11096955.04958197,"liquidityClob":787564.1692,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"22692","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2025-05-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.48,"bestBid":0.48,"bestAsk":0.49,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.72195Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"540820","question":"Trump out as President before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","slug":"trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"63189.6617","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.107Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.515\", \"0.485\"]","volume":"592816.5501790097","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:15:30.618414Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:20:53.223575Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Trump out as President ","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xedea9101297fbb648d3a2ac06b936f801919660e9514a7ff7fe6c17c40cd8fed","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":592816.5501790097,"liquidityNum":63189.6617,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":550.577567,"volume1wk":9027.765110999995,"volume1mo":49355.402446,"volume1yr":592816.550179011,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108999723207897941876452935557011604067917389120996960199512481363958770540884\", \"64533579809297525579033609963634939501013332859992608996100633472507000251907\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":550.577567,"volume1wkClob":9027.765110999995,"volume1moClob":49355.402446,"volume1yrClob":592816.550179011,"volumeClob":592816.5501790097,"liquidityClob":63189.6617,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"22691","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2025-05-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.52,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.726154Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"540843","question":"Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","slug":"will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"78711.9119","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.6Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.515\", \"0.485\"]","volume":"1790530.1674880602","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:22:02.679893Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:19:34.448314Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"China invades Taiwan ","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x68ac8b4c60870980ae87c3a1da8730f46755c5e66c715032fc6c90b53f2ec4ec","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1790530.1674880602,"liquidityNum":78711.9119,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3283.044702999999,"volume1wk":14121.576364999995,"volume1mo":301012.5021820009,"volume1yr":1790530.1674880509,"clobTokenIds":"[\"21695138873211375451055566770107682325494206727818897067665810321709249824909\", \"17516427576383382756368467656206258206490015951115433065318503962238754362428\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3283.044702999999,"volume1wkClob":14121.576364999995,"volume1moClob":301012.5021820009,"volume1yrClob":1790530.1674880509,"volumeClob":1790530.1674880602,"liquidityClob":78711.9119,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"22690","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2025-05-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.52,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.723394Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"540844","question":"Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-1m-before-gta-vi-872","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"511059.1275","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.361Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final \"High\" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]","volume":"4000531.8558155596","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:24:45.04244Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:21:52.287941Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Bitcoin hits $1m","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x7e4ff7b7fdfe7d1fbc6c0e2a7626ae4fc8d62f3848a5e601d511a51bdfa51f09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":4000531.8558155596,"liquidityNum":511059.1275,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":7942.588648000003,"volume1wk":34481.29401899998,"volume1mo":313412.2973429972,"volume1yr":4000531.8558157906,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105267568073659068217311993901927962476298440625043565106676088842803600775810\", \"91863162118308663069733924043159186005106558783397508844234610341221325526200\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":7942.588648000003,"volume1wkClob":34481.29401899998,"volume1moClob":313412.2973429972,"volume1yrClob":4000531.8558157906,"volumeClob":4000531.8558155596,"liquidityClob":511059.1275,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"22689","conditionId":"0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2025-05-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.006,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0065,"lastTradePrice":0.494,"bestBid":0.494,"bestAsk":0.496,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"573647","question":"Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"46368.7366","startDate":"2025-08-07T14:21:34.535Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.7\", \"0.3\"]","volume":"623504.8096799988","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0xF572b3B4BE2c67837A206F660cA7b51F0D7e585F","createdAt":"2025-08-07T14:03:41.38976Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:07:01.699007Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"GPT-6 released","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x9c4c41b0d3e1a61764250a0f6f53a26e073df17fe4d892699283fae2fa94eabb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":623504.8096799988,"liquidityNum":46368.7366,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3088.837236,"volume1wk":10089.688487000005,"volume1mo":17113.86363600001,"volume1yr":623504.80968,"clobTokenIds":"[\"71552623345730992280501476931299615437386807576519105089437764117985071980606\", \"48266425622404486484896353767723266081505997963592758694068789352158715350186\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3088.837236,"volume1wkClob":10089.688487000005,"volume1moClob":17113.86363600001,"volume1yrClob":623504.80968,"volumeClob":623504.8096799988,"liquidityClob":46368.7366,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:21:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9615384615384615,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"31091","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2025-08-07","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":0.05,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.11,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.07,"lastTradePrice":0.69,"bestBid":0.69,"bestAsk":0.71,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:20:42.400176Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1117522","question":"Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","slug":"will-drake-release-iceman-before-gta-vi","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"24311.13524","startDate":"2026-01-06T00:20:15.433097Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Drake officially releases Iceman before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nIceman refers to the upcoming studio album by Drake of that title, which has been promoted through videos released with the titles “Iceman Episode (1-4)”, and the singles “What Did I Miss”, “Which One”, and “Dog House.”\n\nOfficially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nThe full Iceman studio album must be released in order to resolve this market. Further singles or Iceman video episodes will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. A consensus of credible reporting that a released album is the Iceman project may be used if Drake releases the album under a different name.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.8535\", \"0.1465\"]","volume":"124796.00467700016","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-05T23:40:27.656833Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:20:53.838935Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Drake releases Iceman","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0xa1c2c3e248f048170f13cfd40bbf64d1d62b01416239fbd00840f60a0fe6bda2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":124796.00467700016,"liquidityNum":24311.13524,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-06","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":252.533467,"volume1wk":4866.288328999999,"volume1mo":55041.279453999974,"volume1yr":124796.00467700021,"clobTokenIds":"[\"40694415003591202786878279287884766002429923551809555441858630935269489320071\", \"31737648224640860538361785861700072557227859645060732743904381890720199497279\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":252.533467,"volume1wkClob":4866.288328999999,"volume1moClob":55041.279453999974,"volume1yrClob":124796.00467700021,"volumeClob":124796.00467700016,"liquidityClob":24311.13524,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-06T00:19:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8889187170502832,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"93638","conditionId":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-05","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.075,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0195,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.013,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0755,"lastTradePrice":0.814,"bestBid":0.816,"bestAsk":0.891,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-06T00:19:21.850657Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null}],"tags":[{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100215","label":"All","slug":"all","forceShow":false,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:23:54.340488Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102109","label":"GTA VI","slug":"gta-vi","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-06T18:59:54.453812Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:58.598479Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","eventCreators":[{"id":"35","creatorName":"Complex","creatorHandle":"Complex","creatorUrl":"https://www.instagram.com/complex/?dub_id=uufP7v9XO0yJTJxj#","creatorImage":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1616533296770416655/AumWVpWu_400x400.jpg","createdAt":"2025-06-17T16:52:15.706551Z"}],"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Drake releasing Iceman before GTA VI's confirmed November 19, 2026 US launch, pricing Yes shares at 90¢ for an implied 86-90% probability, driven by the rapper's recent studio activity and history of surprise drops amid fan anticipation for the long-teased project. GTA VI stays on track post its second delay announced November 2025, with Rockstar dismissing April hacker threats as non-material and fueling Trailer 3 speculation around May via GTA Online roadmap hints. High-volume bets ($21M total) also price Rihanna and Playboi Carti albums above 50%, GPT-6 rollout at 70%, while geopolitics like Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and Bitcoin $1M hover near even odds; all face July 31 cutoff for 50-50 resolution if unresolved. Marketing ramp-up this summer could indirectly affirm the timeline.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T05:16:02.938Z"}},{"id":"23792","ticker":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","title":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269386Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269383Z","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":72357.54799,"volume":13641714.578962047,"openInterest":198663.281157,"createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:34.884115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:22:28.259638Z","competitive":0.8086151475045429,"volume24hr":17851.137746,"volume1wk":164578.9234979995,"volume1mo":942259.1659110005,"volume1yr":13641714.57896197,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":72357.54799,"commentCount":29,"markets":[{"id":"540881","question":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","conditionId":"0xcccb7e7613a087c132b69cbf3a02bece3fdcb824c1da54ae79acc8d4a562d902","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"72357.9105","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:26.233Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. 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No verified reports, earnings calls from parent Take-Two Interactive, or leaks in the past six months suggest acceleration, with the studio's website and newswire affirming the late-year window amid ongoing development. Realistic upsets remain slim: an unprecedented early access beta or surprise digital drop, though Rockstar's history offers no precedent, keeping \"Yes\" shares a high-risk contrarian play ahead of potential trailer 3 or pre-order announcements.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T05:15:41.720Z"}},{"id":"24383","ticker":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","slug":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","title":"Harvey Weinstein prison time?","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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Initial hype for a screenless, audio-first gadget like earbuds or a smart speaker in H2 2026 has faded amid compute shortages, exec departures including robotics lead Caitlin Kalinowski, and a pivot to enterprise AI tools like Frontier and upcoming \"Spud\" model. No official announcements have materialized, with recent focus on GPT-5.4 and safety initiatives; watch for DevDay events or filings that could signal progress or further delays in this competitive AI wearables landscape.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-18T23:20:03.513Z"}},{"id":"25036","ticker":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by","title":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?","description":"This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:22:27.724651Z","creationDate":"2025-05-22T21:22:27.724648Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":96922.1308,"volume":5868808.954900005,"openInterest":306230.510122,"createdAt":"2025-05-22T21:05:50.676357Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:22:39.73267Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":7369.607915,"volume1wk":316793.455879,"volume1mo":2030515.849133,"volume1yr":4903008.002977001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":96922.1308,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":419,"markets":[{"id":"546805","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?","conditionId":"0x5fa63a3f820801f6bab4f95a9fc4453c004ab1881b6be2c2cb26c812f7efb997","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-august-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-08-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:21:03.317115Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"820505.02216","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-22T21:06:55.225812Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.114772Z","closedTime":"2025-09-01 06:28:52+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x4ea006a4454c2dc79c9738e820ff965175fc2c8845d358a0384a03c2533a5bcf","umaEndDate":"2025-09-01T06:28:52Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":820505.02216,"endDateIso":"2025-08-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":53283.02003999999,"volume1mo":472014.95997800014,"volume1yr":820505.0221599991,"clobTokenIds":"[\"52764520351434119047034479962184961804730800614485355573059721230866709386316\", \"50939339576833016698573110949129257192038949921900247130555235008970489450900\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":53283.02003999999,"volume1moClob":472014.95997800014,"volume1yrClob":820505.0221599991,"volumeClob":820505.02216,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-22T21:20:34Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0145,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.051,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-22T21:19:57.13184Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"546806","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?","conditionId":"0x1df6862b69a47872e75864cac21b9ae9ea0cb552884d38aea9170c5fe5321bc6","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-266-839-138","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:21:03.57Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. 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If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"701057.717926","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"0x39A73aAeed8871C1D36016eAc519Aa625726e59F","createdAt":"2025-07-07T03:32:12.542705Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.015004Z","closedTime":"2025-11-01 06:29:10+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"October 31","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb33562b43a7fb9bc0621bb509adbf1629e1ab5268c0381f420843f3ec6139a01","umaEndDate":"2025-11-01T06:29:10Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":701057.717926,"endDateIso":"2025-10-31","startDateIso":"2025-07-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":41283.20729600001,"volume1mo":230393.0779559998,"volume1yr":701057.7179259998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"57509386515638203409676353122070128915263312270689905975542272900147217912507\", \"56204317272716953593028494650753841280461771658055690484625859869098941695564\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":41283.20729600001,"volume1moClob":230393.0779559998,"volume1yrClob":701057.7179259998,"volumeClob":701057.717926,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-07T04:00:50Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0275,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0645,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-07T04:00:12.638623Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"575194","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?","conditionId":"0x8f7c60f27f0b885531538bad8e3cf66f74e2ecdb084f9f3662043d69127bfc8c","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-september-30-111","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-08-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-08-12T17:13:05.395865Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"163807.773962","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"0x00A284A28628922529c2088924E5Ad0A739dA66d","createdAt":"2025-08-12T17:00:50.147184Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.121552Z","closedTime":"2025-10-01 06:14:45+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xe87c96013e0837dc32d6962f3ef0c59dba229da671ac9be20bc41e758e03617c","umaEndDate":"2025-10-01T06:14:45Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":163807.773962,"endDateIso":"2025-08-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":13236.180385,"volume1mo":99637.15513099995,"volume1yr":163807.77396199995,"clobTokenIds":"[\"114381589136409215143279241982285449157407779193398667940575043679964367420662\", \"7226328177805702284817831455077713195078779803101002290052645015901358643638\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":13236.180385,"volume1moClob":99637.15513099995,"volume1yrClob":163807.77396199995,"volumeClob":163807.773962,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-12T17:12:45Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"36244","conditionId":"0x8f7c60f27f0b885531538bad8e3cf66f74e2ecdb084f9f3662043d69127bfc8c","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2025-09-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.008,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1645,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-12T17:12:15.382866Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"642526","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?","conditionId":"0xd6b3dba9eefc9b556c3bb0f140e7d530759e70ed1283caeb162c31df477c1e1a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-november-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-10-21T19:29:11.125714Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by November 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"229509.128995","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-21T13:45:37.581566Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.062849Z","closedTime":"2025-12-01 07:33:40+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"November 30","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x8f07e517a304c886955497ce5e7a791f5dd80ec5484c0f1ef59e5166d8401f98","umaEndDate":"2025-12-01T07:33:40Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":229509.128995,"endDateIso":"2025-10-31","startDateIso":"2025-10-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":21704.066098,"volume1mo":166077.9794079999,"volume1yr":229509.1289949998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"26340281514116361739177694696142465392610507254614159065410861117730143622187\", \"77445434236199640828285894610915168465113925137412738738677921101339333881186\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":21704.066098,"volume1moClob":166077.9794079999,"volume1yrClob":229509.1289949998,"volumeClob":229509.128995,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-21T19:28:49Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.004,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0035,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.031,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2705,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-21T19:28:22.128044Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"898678","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?","conditionId":"0xa65fe234ac3808801290874c631e55bcfee30e437c78239808729a89d9f2de22","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-january-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-09T00:38:09.352Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by January 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"496558.346575","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-09T00:01:55.362849Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.076803Z","closedTime":"2026-02-01 08:00:46+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"January 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xcae03d68faf92abe5d7b9f83c772caf7ee3a4c5de9b36898b61e0c4e58149984","umaEndDate":"2026-02-01T08:00:46Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":496558.346575,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":67052.53479200003,"volume1mo":379685.8219830001,"volume1yr":496558.3465750002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"37281046158137671889895383499164526727881692321679587626659940834369685019496\", \"11132544244839265378732084165256379227175677028258955804895976429843086532411\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":67052.53479200003,"volume1moClob":379685.8219830001,"volume1yrClob":496558.3465750002,"volumeClob":496558.346575,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-09T00:37:47Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.003,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0945,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2195,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-09T00:37:17.372882Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677361","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?","conditionId":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-march-31-872-578","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:23:45.868Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by March 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"965800.9519230045","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:26:22.455602Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:29.992716Z","closedTime":"2026-04-01 06:22:17+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"March 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x960b8fe78b127652ed8e5b0f895137f7d30226dea710d57a1313d3d93a1d5cb0","umaEndDate":"2026-04-01T06:22:17Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":965800.9519230045,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"94521268801533640253484626268475643884882213091508756864952897781498391313602\", \"63761293627321054794056701530662561252253979399794304476663814039986928052742\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":965800.9519230045,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:24Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.045,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.48,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:22:55.343944Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677366","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-2026-936-942-271-276-578","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"63379.1066","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:24:05.994Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.805\", \"0.195\"]","volume":"341274.89586200035","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:27:09.238172Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:21:42.288513Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"10","questionID":"0xb4756d4c88a97988c3aa438fcec0b0b77634e7cfc85f4cbfe3db83572c976aae","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":341274.89586200035,"liquidityNum":63379.1066,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3915.331841,"volume1wk":12004.407928999997,"volume1mo":73794.60859200002,"volume1yr":341274.895862,"clobTokenIds":"[\"83552904656813968939383082097054433404653657244784709614448703928529504455469\", \"47029152085101973226255505664149277121974669906212969183902148537312535402801\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3915.331841,"volume1wkClob":12004.407928999997,"volume1moClob":73794.60859200002,"volume1yrClob":341274.895862,"volumeClob":341274.89586200035,"liquidityClob":63379.1066,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9148921570869833,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"45841","conditionId":"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2025-11-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.04,"lastTradePrice":0.81,"bestBid":0.8,"bestAsk":0.81,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:15.444123Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"956942","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?","conditionId":"0x5f33f46fa571836f090ef8f3e62caee237f8f73c36a711e757a6f71bf8ef9c6a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-february-28","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-17T20:53:32.04Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by February 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"486173.461815","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-17T20:51:51.563238Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.001394Z","closedTime":"2026-03-01 07:26:23+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"February 28, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0xbe5e1a505622dc16b022e647aaf4d449fac6135286abd159a0e761efdf2faebe","umaEndDate":"2026-03-01T07:26:23Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":486173.461815,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-17","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":38520.792045,"volume1mo":176247.5126260001,"volume1yr":486173.4618150009,"clobTokenIds":"[\"3464795463763108108909057219187376740735691886447931192725079515654033695019\", \"96229871085374132303116376471322311695842738677806841162553339355812305824040\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":38520.792045,"volume1moClob":176247.5126260001,"volume1yrClob":486173.4618150009,"volumeClob":486173.461815,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-17T20:53:09Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.018,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.3315,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-17T20:52:40.03807Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1397260","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?","conditionId":"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-june-30-382-954","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"24386.6121","startDate":"2026-02-19T12:24:20.546Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"196682.90229400006","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-19T12:19:32.163641Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:19:55.138533Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x9477316f1c03d7b60a44c6de7ea6c5d2d6fedbaf947e1f8ae451e840be053f5a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":196682.90229400006,"liquidityNum":24386.6121,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2026-02-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":831.7360769999999,"volume1wk":11523.595273000003,"volume1mo":101783.23341399999,"volume1yr":196682.9022939999,"clobTokenIds":"[\"92557339599379991257792137259949406096653890374419429974555855496093508422916\", \"43321630833125241017427912676100747595457556487829359498141771278458547970943\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":831.7360769999999,"volume1wkClob":11523.595273000003,"volume1moClob":101783.23341399999,"volume1yrClob":196682.9022939999,"volumeClob":196682.90229400006,"liquidityClob":24386.6121,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:23:14Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"83679","conditionId":"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-02-20","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.155,"lastTradePrice":0.5,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:21:59.737659Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1397301","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?","conditionId":"0x19f4555bdaf83d0d433f62013c005a73de4787ed737550f81a6d265fa28d976c","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-april-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"9166.4221","startDate":"2026-02-19T12:52:38.015309Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by April 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]","volume":"160381.50921900012","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-19T12:49:37.685922Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:21:46.940735Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"April 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0xe399f5f86f0a33219c28e6b780ebb419c8dc2392b48ceeeed825884d53617fc4","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":160381.50921900012,"liquidityNum":9166.4221,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2026-02-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2622.539997,"volume1wk":10581.477178999998,"volume1mo":81761.53233400002,"volume1yr":160381.50921899994,"clobTokenIds":"[\"91598277451888833943457869299081344513189737907823485218592748863763321112699\", \"53831658761992660262271167425488866803302305236549476786294052519241195037228\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2622.539997,"volume1wkClob":10581.477178999998,"volume1moClob":81761.53233400002,"volume1yrClob":160381.50921899994,"volumeClob":160381.50921900012,"liquidityClob":9166.4221,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:51:32Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8470089994706194,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"83664","conditionId":"0x19f4555bdaf83d0d433f62013c005a73de4787ed737550f81a6d265fa28d976c","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-02-20","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.03,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.02,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2,"lastTradePrice":0.06,"bestBid":0.06,"bestAsk":0.09,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:50:20.355087Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null}],"tags":[{"id":"96","label":"Ukraine","slug":"ukraine","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:11:46.161003Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101970","label":"World","slug":"world","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100265","label":"Geopolitics","slug":"geopolitics","forceShow":true,"createdAt":"2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102475","label":"Russia Capture","slug":"russia-capture","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-07T21:17:05.925606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:11:46.156489Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102486","label":"Ukraine Map","slug":"ukraine-map","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-12T21:44:08.906337Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.187435Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Russian forces have intensified assaults on Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast as part of their spring 2026 offensive, targeting the city as a gateway in Ukraine's eastern fortress belt protecting Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka, but Ukrainian defenses continue holding the frontline after nearly a year of failed advances. On April 7, Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi confirmed repulsion of enemy attempts with heavy Russian losses, while President Zelenskyy stated Moscow lacks resources to capture it by late April despite stated goals. Recent days feature minor Russian tactical gains on eastern outskirts amid urban combat and mutual drone strikes, but no verified seizure. Traders assess slow progress against attrition risks and potential escalations in the coming weeks.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T05:16:26.612Z"}},{"id":"25391","ticker":"spain-snap-election-called-by","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-by","title":"Spain snap election called by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:29.141223Z","creationDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:29.14122Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":15481.8443,"volume":138978.97558799997,"openInterest":16239.511344999999,"createdAt":"2025-05-28T17:17:11.280439Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:22:30.313815Z","competitive":0.8439530762089628,"volume24hr":118.849966,"volume1wk":7098.210139999998,"volume1mo":25973.788594999998,"volume1yr":138978.97558799994,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":15481.8443,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":1,"markets":[{"id":"547957","question":"Spain snap election called in 2025?","conditionId":"0x90146e4df214d10dc20b7f60ff0ce966bfa09546978a4a4059d06f3cd6ddf577","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:02.886Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]","volume":"45480.67356399996","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-22T15:42:59.06638Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:21:44.968526Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x281e67a95c130130a06a7047bbb59aaaf24733887d36ddc5cf436ad7dc6c4d0e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":45480.67356399996,"liquidityNum":15481.8443,"startDateIso":"2025-10-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":118.849966,"volume1wk":2584.7391399999997,"volume1mo":12278.202073999999,"volume1yr":45480.67356399998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22727676348515372003751667928661129938953357934816532759741382381194930135311\", \"113257680533063586788985346494216055424581457988687762525815116425152066513696\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":118.849966,"volume1wkClob":2584.7391399999997,"volume1moClob":12278.202073999999,"volume1yrClob":45480.67356399998,"volumeClob":45480.67356399996,"liquidityClob":15481.8443,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-22T15:44:18Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8439530762089628,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"90084","conditionId":"0xb935ba8bc67b99825f2d7e4759d5d619f9c2beea0b799cc6f444d48c8cdf6149","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-03-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.065,"lastTradePrice":0.06,"bestBid":0.06,"bestAsk":0.08,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-22T15:43:50.11555Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null}],"series":[{"id":"11293","ticker":"spain-snap-election","slug":"spain-snap-election","title":"Spain Snap Election","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-05T16:06:40.345104Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-19T05:23:03.448942Z","volume24hr":142.900596,"volume":154168.42195099997,"liquidity":31341.132,"commentCount":44,"requiresTranslation":false}],"tags":[{"id":"366","label":"world affairs","slug":"world-affairs","publishedAt":"2023-11-02 22:05:44.425+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T22:05:44.48Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:47:56.524437Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101970","label":"World","slug":"world","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"144","label":"Elections","slug":"elections","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:24:31.008+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:24:31.198Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:22:31.696566Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1597","label":"Global Elections","slug":"global-elections","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-03-07 20:44:01.258+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-03-07T20:41:56.773Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:08:23.096987Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"spain-snap-election","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"**Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez grapples with persistent instability from recent regional election defeats, including a second PSOE loss in February 2026, amid escalating corruption probes targeting party allies and his wife. PP opposition leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo has repeatedly forecasted snap elections this year, citing judicial pressures and budget impasses with coalition partners like Sumar and Catalan parties as catalysts for a no-confidence vote or parliamentary dissolution. Traders weigh Sánchez's firm denials of early polls against fragile coalition dynamics and upcoming fiscal deadlines, with the next general election constitutionally due no later than August 2027.**","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T02:50:12.112Z"}},{"id":"25410","ticker":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by","slug":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by","title":"US x Russia military clash by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. 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Russia's largest drone and missile barrage of 2026 on April 15-16 killed dozens in Ukraine, prompting intensified Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries and military sites, yet both sides have avoided NATO territory. US aid pauses amid debates from figures like JD Vance have strained Ukraine's defenses, while President Trump's signals on NATO Article 5 reliability fuel alliance fallback planning. Russian warnings to Baltic states and Finland underscore rhetoric, but diplomatic channels and mutual deterrence hold. Upcoming Ukraine Defence Contact Group meetings could influence aid flows and escalation paths.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-19T04:17:56.428Z"}}]