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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.785\", \"0.215\"]","volume":"517707.204586002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-19T15:48:14.624315Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:36.966916Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb6cc06fbb46f67a90062d501b29778c2bf41b0fac19a8647039ba21e884d7f1e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":517707.204586002,"liquidityNum":1706.8056,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-11-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":9689.49,"volume1wk":24356.042355999994,"volume1mo":160653.57331400007,"volume1yr":517707.2045860004,"clobTokenIds":"[\"34626184950254225208692030156208941308358060420950772251072421141618169142241\", \"28557614648090529004584076028720900603196666949274543515794672175624115225556\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":9689.49,"volume1wkClob":24356.042355999994,"volume1moClob":160653.57331400007,"volume1yrClob":517707.2045860004,"volumeClob":517707.204586002,"liquidityClob":1706.8056,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-19T15:49:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9248768757659137,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.175,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.165,"lastTradePrice":0.78,"bestBid":0.78,"bestAsk":0.79,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-19T15:48:43.974869Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"1642124","question":"Kraken IPO by June 30, 2026?","conditionId":"","slug":"kraken-ipo-by-june-30-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-04-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"0","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. 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Current Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, a Macron loyalist appointed shortly after, survived narrow confidence challenges in October 2025 and January 2026 through concessions and procedural maneuvers. Macron has rebuffed all resignation demands, affirming his intent to serve his full term ending May 2027, as the presidency faces no direct parliamentary removal risk absent impeachment or voluntary exit. No notable domestic developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with Macron focused on foreign policy amid Hormuz Strait tensions; upcoming 2027 budget talks and presidential race could test stability but show no immediate catalysts for early departure.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T16:21:56.600Z"}},{"id":"16423","ticker":"uk-election-called-by","slug":"uk-election-called-by","title":"UK election called by...?","description":"This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-01-06T13:23:37.947481Z","creationDate":"2025-01-06T13:23:37.947478Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":576.86169,"volume":744800.736595,"openInterest":6589.6660170000005,"createdAt":"2025-01-06T13:06:31.446876Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:37:26.219812Z","competitive":0.8378016085790885,"volume24hr":56.14,"volume1wk":8242.592172,"volume1mo":28826.22421,"volume1yr":167369.71013,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":576.86169,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":14,"markets":[{"id":"517548","question":"Will the next UK election be called by March 31?","conditionId":"0x6c3493304224c9c89a846a14c67a0510deb1cc5aa69159973f06940d5c6a4fa9","slug":"will-the-next-uk-election-be-called-by-march-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-01-06T13:22:48.474019Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Recent polls show Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, surging to 21% nationally—edging out Labour at 17%, Tories at 18%, and Greens at 18%—fueling speculation of a Reform breakthrough in Labour heartlands that could force an early national vote. Starmer retains sole authority to call a general election before the August 2029 deadline, but poor local results, ongoing protests like Tommy Robinson's May 16 march, and economic pressures may accelerate timing, with opposition parties amplifying calls for immediate polls.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T16:08:55.213Z"}},{"id":"17526","ticker":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31","slug":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31","title":"China x India military clash by...?","description":"This is a market on the likelihood of a military clash between China and India occurring by December 31.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-01-30T21:29:15.866418Z","creationDate":"2025-01-30T21:29:15.866415Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":28874.3307,"volume":232136.84414499986,"openInterest":10970.90629,"createdAt":"2025-01-30T19:15:09.756401Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:37:27.706088Z","competitive":0.8824372917999515,"volume24hr":1012.567115,"volume1wk":15484.957504,"volume1mo":40945.326914000005,"volume1yr":232136.84414499946,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":28874.3307,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":15,"markets":[{"id":"521029","question":"China x India military clash by December 31?","conditionId":"0x689a77ca28cf59efae262fd37d07aa787194d52b13bbe009a223de15bf5c62af","slug":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-01-30T21:29:11.808Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Recent diplomatic engagement, including Indian Defence Minister Rajnath Singh's April 28 meeting with Chinese counterpart Dong Jun at the SCO Defence Ministers' summit in Bishkek, focused on regional security without escalation signals, reinforcing the 2024 Ladakh patrolling agreement. China's ongoing renaming of Arunachal sites prompts Indian diplomatic rebukes, while both nations accelerate border infrastructure amid unverified reports of India redeploying select forces toward Pakistan. Key risks include patrol miscalculations; watch for Wang Yi's potential May visit and BRICS diplomacy.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T16:13:09.128Z"}},{"id":"17549","ticker":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025","slug":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025","title":"NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Labour MPs, including Graham Stringer, and peers like Lord Glasman have publicly demanded his exit, while anonymous ministers deem his position untenable; rival factions now discuss leadership transition mechanics rather than viability. With net approval at -48 and Labour lagging polls, upcoming May 7 local elections loom as a potential catalyst for a formal challenge needing 20% MP nominations. 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Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"982716.694339","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-02-13T19:39:17.849008Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T23:15:57.010175Z","closedTime":"2026-01-01 09:11:37+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2025","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xa094043bf8108d863998270c7f412507cd34679fa71dfb0bdd8e064ce1a92eb6","umaEndDate":"2026-01-01T09:11:37Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":982716.694339,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-02-14","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":51836.18834100001,"volume1mo":165783.746216,"volume1yr":982716.6943390013,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22255463452594162709449800579658835371746668793825841462318307382376621533755\", \"57160884655103428512814247631012981773015723019889832549493437551469480061242\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":51836.18834100001,"volume1moClob":165783.746216,"volume1yrClob":982716.6943390013,"volumeClob":982716.694339,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-02-14T19:27:16Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.009,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.034,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"610380","question":"Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0x707125b175feb87a7d28c1e3b0e8e834f11c0dff65edac8c4fe5d1e12bf8fc33","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-june-30-2026-392","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"15295.63885","startDate":"2025-09-23T23:18:41.037Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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This rift, highlighted by Trump's April remarks calling the alliance a \"paper tiger,\" prompted NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte to dismiss exit speculation on April 18, while King Charles III urged continued U.S. commitment during his April 29 address to Congress. No member has invoked Article 13's one-year withdrawal notice, and U.S. law bars unilateral presidential action without congressional approval. Europe is developing contingency defense plans, but unity persists amid Russia-Ukraine strains; trader consensus reflects low probability due to high political and procedural barriers ahead of any 2026 NATO summit.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T16:23:02.471Z"}},{"id":"18576","ticker":"ukraine-election-held-in-2025","slug":"ukraine-election-held-in-2025","title":"Ukraine election held by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. 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No motion to vacate has been filed in the past month, bolstered by 2025 rules changes requiring broader GOP support to force a vote, but hardline conservatives continue voicing frustrations over fiscal and policy priorities. With midterms approaching in November 2026, a potential majority flip could end his tenure regardless, while upcoming floor votes on appropriations and FISA renewal pose tests to his leadership stability.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T15:58:21.677Z"}},{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":775082.83871,"volume":21478818.863262568,"openInterest":727077.4227059999,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:37:46.1606Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":36907.30067099998,"volume1wk":184612.79913800003,"volume1mo":1734848.5220000215,"volume1yr":21478818.863263648,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":775082.83871,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":822,"markets":[{"id":"540816","question":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x9c1a953fe92c8357f1b646ba25d983aa83e90c525992db14fb726fa895cb5763","slug":"russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"66690.9306","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:00.174Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if  if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]","volume":"1625997.142190054","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:03:10.397014Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:06.257151Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x74dcd73f29877722e217723e10f2e8f9a888976f7cfc796234b75a3d3214d1c8","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1625997.142190054,"liquidityNum":66690.9306,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":4452.097985999999,"volume1wk":42198.49556699988,"volume1mo":219326.87463800018,"volume1yr":1625997.142189955,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8501497159083948713316135768103773293754490207922884688769443031624417212426\", \"2527312495175492857904889758552137141356236738032676480522356889996545113869\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":4452.097985999999,"volume1wkClob":42198.49556699988,"volume1moClob":219326.87463800018,"volume1yrClob":1625997.142189955,"volumeClob":1625997.142190054,"liquidityClob":66690.9306,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:37Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9987764987889834,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.54,"bestBid":0.53,"bestAsk":0.54,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.719613Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540817","question":"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be","slug":"new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"25828.9919","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]","volume":"705120.6595930014","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:04:43.762151Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:36:30.237543Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Rihanna Album","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb6fd5ea8c21f01471ad673950edd4a1645698946906abb27597e3f3de7bd70f1","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":705120.6595930014,"liquidityNum":25828.9919,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1779.502167,"volume1wk":4479.482687000002,"volume1mo":28787.992750000005,"volume1yr":705120.659593,"clobTokenIds":"[\"98022490269692409998126496127597032490334070080325855126491859374983463996227\", \"53831553061883006530739877284105938919721408776239639687877978808906551086026\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1779.502167,"volume1wkClob":4479.482687000002,"volume1moClob":28787.992750000005,"volume1yrClob":705120.659593,"volumeClob":705120.6595930014,"liquidityClob":25828.9919,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9928268261808434,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.07,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.015,"lastTradePrice":0.58,"bestBid":0.58,"bestAsk":0.59,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"21641.5229","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]","volume":"731859.5503169477","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:06:24.136443Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:04.744435Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Playboi Carti Album ","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x6ec4702f0a5bb188f0dd498647641f2aa13a871953a7f15fa3413939ad68144c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":731859.5503169477,"liquidityNum":21641.5229,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":257.433456,"volume1wk":3528.7825199999966,"volume1mo":20753.951621999982,"volume1yr":731859.5503170012,"clobTokenIds":"[\"88275040060084773376557187972215267513049848642895776801789297917961077894224\", \"94376205816022955542979635542279932967359915765455578534002478996104754801969\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":257.433456,"volume1wkClob":3528.7825199999966,"volume1moClob":20753.951621999982,"volume1yrClob":731859.5503170012,"volumeClob":731859.5503169477,"liquidityClob":21641.5229,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9996001599360256,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.075,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.06,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.53,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"367456.4881","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]","volume":"11152800.33303096","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:08:16.157823Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:36:56.66906Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Jesus Christ returns","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x9e84e9020884d3e603df981dc049bed477b64acfc623a739a7c51fed8de6cc5c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":11152800.33303096,"liquidityNum":367456.4881,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":9498.447880000002,"volume1wk":36217.14528499996,"volume1mo":806406.8046290226,"volume1yr":11152800.33303185,"clobTokenIds":"[\"90435811253665578014957380826505992530054077692143838383981805324273750424057\", \"92388629082681805622801622703528982922543286352927708208755887536971583436902\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":9498.447880000002,"volume1wkClob":36217.14528499996,"volume1moClob":806406.8046290226,"volume1yrClob":11152800.33303185,"volumeClob":11152800.33303096,"liquidityClob":367456.4881,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.48,"bestBid":0.48,"bestAsk":0.49,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.72195Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540820","question":"Trump out as President before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","slug":"trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"70415.8689","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.107Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.515\", \"0.485\"]","volume":"627446.3512160091","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:15:30.618414Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:36:53.249697Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Trump out as President ","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xedea9101297fbb648d3a2ac06b936f801919660e9514a7ff7fe6c17c40cd8fed","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":627446.3512160091,"liquidityNum":70415.8689,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5322.591898,"volume1wk":28383.993150000006,"volume1mo":66038.20824,"volume1yr":627446.3512160116,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108999723207897941876452935557011604067917389120996960199512481363958770540884\", \"64533579809297525579033609963634939501013332859992608996100633472507000251907\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5322.591898,"volume1wkClob":28383.993150000006,"volume1moClob":66038.20824,"volume1yrClob":627446.3512160116,"volumeClob":627446.3512160091,"liquidityClob":70415.8689,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.02,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.52,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.726154Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540843","question":"Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","slug":"will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"32920.4044","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.6Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"1803965.4420700618","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:22:02.679893Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:40:00.291512Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"China invades Taiwan ","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x68ac8b4c60870980ae87c3a1da8730f46755c5e66c715032fc6c90b53f2ec4ec","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1803965.4420700618,"liquidityNum":32920.4044,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":958.7694020000002,"volume1wk":7806.351390999998,"volume1mo":285568.4045819991,"volume1yr":1803965.442070051,"clobTokenIds":"[\"21695138873211375451055566770107682325494206727818897067665810321709249824909\", \"17516427576383382756368467656206258206490015951115433065318503962238754362428\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":958.7694020000002,"volume1wkClob":7806.351390999998,"volume1moClob":285568.4045819991,"volume1yrClob":1803965.442070051,"volumeClob":1803965.4420700618,"liquidityClob":32920.4044,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.5,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.723394Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540844","question":"Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-1m-before-gta-vi-872","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"130154.68495","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.361Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final \"High\" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.491\", \"0.509\"]","volume":"4068630.748532537","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:24:45.04244Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:26.687775Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Bitcoin hits $1m","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x7e4ff7b7fdfe7d1fbc6c0e2a7626ae4fc8d62f3848a5e601d511a51bdfa51f09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":4068630.748532537,"liquidityNum":130154.68495,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":13982.45437899998,"volume1wk":55637.93824800019,"volume1mo":268407.73734899965,"volume1yr":4068630.7485327804,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105267568073659068217311993901927962476298440625043565106676088842803600775810\", \"91863162118308663069733924043159186005106558783397508844234610341221325526200\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":13982.45437899998,"volume1wkClob":55637.93824800019,"volume1moClob":268407.73734899965,"volume1yrClob":4068630.7485327804,"volumeClob":4068630.748532537,"liquidityClob":130154.68495,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999190065604686,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0015,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.004,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0015,"lastTradePrice":0.492,"bestBid":0.49,"bestAsk":0.492,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"573647","question":"Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"39715.308","startDate":"2025-08-07T14:21:34.535Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nTo qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.655\", \"0.345\"]","volume":"628778.6817549984","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0xF572b3B4BE2c67837A206F660cA7b51F0D7e585F","createdAt":"2025-08-07T14:03:41.38976Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-28T11:04:35.881206Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"GPT-6 released","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x9c4c41b0d3e1a61764250a0f6f53a26e073df17fe4d892699283fae2fa94eabb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":628778.6817549984,"liquidityNum":39715.308,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":459.41638100000006,"volume1wk":3082.1870200000008,"volume1mo":18515.124879000014,"volume1yr":628778.681755,"clobTokenIds":"[\"71552623345730992280501476931299615437386807576519105089437764117985071980606\", \"48266425622404486484896353767723266081505997963592758694068789352158715350186\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":459.41638100000006,"volume1wkClob":3082.1870200000008,"volume1moClob":18515.124879000014,"volume1yrClob":628778.681755,"volumeClob":628778.6817549984,"liquidityClob":39715.308,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:21:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9765386587241522,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.045,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.06,"lastTradePrice":0.66,"bestBid":0.65,"bestAsk":0.66,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:20:42.400176Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"1117522","question":"Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","slug":"will-drake-release-iceman-before-gta-vi","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"20477.81004","startDate":"2026-01-06T00:20:15.433097Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Drake officially releases Iceman before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nIceman refers to the upcoming studio album by Drake of that title, which has been promoted through videos released with the titles “Iceman Episode (1-4)”, and the singles “What Did I Miss”, “Which One”, and “Dog House.”\n\nOfficially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nThe full Iceman studio album must be released in order to resolve this market. Further singles or Iceman video episodes will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. A consensus of credible reporting that a released album is the Iceman project may be used if Drake releases the album under a different name.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.9635\", \"0.0365\"]","volume":"134224.45879400015","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-05T23:40:27.656833Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:14.772166Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Drake releases Iceman","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0xa1c2c3e248f048170f13cfd40bbf64d1d62b01416239fbd00840f60a0fe6bda2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":134224.45879400015,"liquidityNum":20477.81004,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-06","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":184.809006,"volume1wk":3282.9275059999995,"volume1mo":20867.509385000016,"volume1yr":134224.4587940002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"40694415003591202786878279287884766002429923551809555441858630935269489320071\", \"31737648224640860538361785861700072557227859645060732743904381890720199497279\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":184.809006,"volume1wkClob":3282.9275059999995,"volume1moClob":20867.509385000016,"volume1yrClob":134224.4587940002,"volumeClob":134224.45879400015,"liquidityClob":20477.81004,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-06T00:19:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8231589176201076,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.033,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.017,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.011,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0065,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0525,"lastTradePrice":0.984,"bestBid":0.947,"bestAsk":0.98,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-06T00:19:21.850657Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}}],"tags":[{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100215","label":"All","slug":"all","forceShow":false,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:23:54.340488Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102109","label":"GTA VI","slug":"gta-vi","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-06T18:59:54.453812Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:58.598479Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","eventCreators":[{"id":"35","creatorName":"Complex","creatorHandle":"Complex","creatorUrl":"https://www.instagram.com/complex/?dub_id=uufP7v9XO0yJTJxj#","creatorImage":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1616533296770416655/AumWVpWu_400x400.jpg","createdAt":"2025-06-17T16:52:15.706551Z"}],"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Drake's official announcement last week of a May 15 rollout for his long-awaited Iceman album has surged its implied probability to 98% in trader consensus, far outpacing other outcomes like GPT-6 release (66%) or a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire (54%), as these hinge on uncertain timelines before GTA VI's locked-in November 19 console launch. Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick reaffirmed the date today, quashing delay rumors amid speculation of an imminent Trailer 3 this summer to kick off marketing, following prior postponements from 2025. With $21 million in volume reflecting skin-in-the-game bets, the market underscores music drops' predictability versus geopolitical or crypto volatility, though rapid shifts remain possible ahead of July resolution if no frontrunner triggers first.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T16:35:03.434Z"}},{"id":"23792","ticker":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","title":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269386Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269383Z","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":51839.80202,"volume":13893909.779124029,"openInterest":216701.753263,"createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:34.884115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:37:45.096942Z","competitive":0.8079787905567479,"volume24hr":17967.010854999993,"volume1wk":187009.51483899986,"volume1mo":948323.8154,"volume1yr":13893909.779123988,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":51839.80202,"commentCount":29,"markets":[{"id":"540881","question":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","conditionId":"0xcccb7e7613a087c132b69cbf3a02bece3fdcb824c1da54ae79acc8d4a562d902","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"51883.86199","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:26.233Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]","volume":"13893909.779124029","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:35.469183Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:38:57.972915Z","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xd8d82bd063da64aea9f8a0c10f7e0b1510d15cefb2468bccc94c0572336095a2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":13893909.779124029,"liquidityNum":51883.86199,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":15981.240854999993,"volume1wk":187009.51483899986,"volume1mo":948323.8154,"volume1yr":13893909.779123988,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8441400852834915183759801017793514978104486628517653995211751018945988243154\", \"109289569086508934142323222102974769075074494425163878721602922903101062859033\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":15981.240854999993,"volume1wkClob":187009.51483899986,"volume1moClob":948323.8154,"volume1yrClob":13893909.779123988,"volumeClob":13893909.779124029,"liquidityClob":51883.86199,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T17:00:01Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8079787905567479,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"oneHourPriceChange":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0085,"lastTradePrice":0.012,"bestBid":0.012,"bestAsk":0.013,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T16:59:24.952285Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}}],"tags":[{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102109","label":"GTA VI","slug":"gta-vi","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-06T18:59:54.453812Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:58.598479Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"198","label":"Breaking News","slug":"breaking-news","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:34:44.43+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:34:44.447Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:30.073845Z","forceHide":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors \"No\" at 99% implied probability for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, driven by Rockstar Games' official November 19, 2026 launch date—confirmed in their November 2025 announcement after prior delays from Fall 2025 and May 2026. Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick doubled down on this timeline during recent earnings commentary on April 29, 2026, signaling imminent marketing ramp-up while predicting massive launch-day hype, with no indications of acceleration amid Rockstar's history of prioritizing polish over rushed releases for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, requiring an unprecedented early drop or surprise certification leaks, as development trajectories and fiscal guidance show no momentum toward a pre-June theatrical-equivalent premiere.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T16:19:54.473Z"}},{"id":"24383","ticker":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","slug":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","title":"Harvey Weinstein prison time?","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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Court filings in February 2026 confirmed shipment slippage to 2027 amid design hurdles, compute shortages, and supply chain shifts from Luxshare to Foxconn. Recent April reports highlight exploratory work on an AI-native smartphone with MediaTek and Qualcomm chips—envisioning app-less interfaces via on-device large language models—but mass production targets 2028. Traders eye upcoming prototype demos or earnings calls for resolution clues, as competitive flops like Rabbit R1 underscore execution risks in AI hardware.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T14:07:35.092Z"}},{"id":"25036","ticker":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by","title":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?","description":"This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:22:27.724651Z","creationDate":"2025-05-22T21:22:27.724648Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":66093.72295,"volume":5967586.3869680045,"openInterest":320955.799768,"createdAt":"2025-05-22T21:05:50.676357Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:37:35.964409Z","competitive":0.9818398894055549,"volume24hr":21639.686195,"volume1wk":351928.240991,"volume1mo":2064794.8858389996,"volume1yr":5001785.435045001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":66093.72295,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":432,"markets":[{"id":"546805","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?","conditionId":"0x5fa63a3f820801f6bab4f95a9fc4453c004ab1881b6be2c2cb26c812f7efb997","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-august-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-08-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:21:03.317115Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"820505.02216","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-22T21:06:55.225812Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.114772Z","closedTime":"2025-09-01 06:28:52+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x4ea006a4454c2dc79c9738e820ff965175fc2c8845d358a0384a03c2533a5bcf","umaEndDate":"2025-09-01T06:28:52Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":820505.02216,"endDateIso":"2025-08-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":53283.02003999999,"volume1mo":472014.95997800014,"volume1yr":820505.0221599991,"clobTokenIds":"[\"52764520351434119047034479962184961804730800614485355573059721230866709386316\", \"50939339576833016698573110949129257192038949921900247130555235008970489450900\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":53283.02003999999,"volume1moClob":472014.95997800014,"volume1yrClob":820505.0221599991,"volumeClob":820505.02216,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-22T21:20:34Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0145,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.051,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-22T21:19:57.13184Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"546806","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?","conditionId":"0x1df6862b69a47872e75864cac21b9ae9ea0cb552884d38aea9170c5fe5321bc6","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-266-839-138","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-22T21:21:03.57Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. 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If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"701057.717926","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"0x39A73aAeed8871C1D36016eAc519Aa625726e59F","createdAt":"2025-07-07T03:32:12.542705Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.015004Z","closedTime":"2025-11-01 06:29:10+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"October 31","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb33562b43a7fb9bc0621bb509adbf1629e1ab5268c0381f420843f3ec6139a01","umaEndDate":"2025-11-01T06:29:10Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":701057.717926,"endDateIso":"2025-10-31","startDateIso":"2025-07-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":41283.20729600001,"volume1mo":230393.0779559998,"volume1yr":701057.7179259998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"57509386515638203409676353122070128915263312270689905975542272900147217912507\", \"56204317272716953593028494650753841280461771658055690484625859869098941695564\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":41283.20729600001,"volume1moClob":230393.0779559998,"volume1yrClob":701057.7179259998,"volumeClob":701057.717926,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-07T04:00:50Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0275,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0645,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-07T04:00:12.638623Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"575194","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?","conditionId":"0x8f7c60f27f0b885531538bad8e3cf66f74e2ecdb084f9f3662043d69127bfc8c","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-september-30-111","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-08-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-08-12T17:13:05.395865Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"163807.773962","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"0x00A284A28628922529c2088924E5Ad0A739dA66d","createdAt":"2025-08-12T17:00:50.147184Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.121552Z","closedTime":"2025-10-01 06:14:45+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xe87c96013e0837dc32d6962f3ef0c59dba229da671ac9be20bc41e758e03617c","umaEndDate":"2025-10-01T06:14:45Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":163807.773962,"endDateIso":"2025-08-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":13236.180385,"volume1mo":99637.15513099995,"volume1yr":163807.77396199995,"clobTokenIds":"[\"114381589136409215143279241982285449157407779193398667940575043679964367420662\", \"7226328177805702284817831455077713195078779803101002290052645015901358643638\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":13236.180385,"volume1moClob":99637.15513099995,"volume1yrClob":163807.77396199995,"volumeClob":163807.773962,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-12T17:12:45Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.008,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1645,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-12T17:12:15.382866Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"642526","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?","conditionId":"0xd6b3dba9eefc9b556c3bb0f140e7d530759e70ed1283caeb162c31df477c1e1a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-november-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-10-21T19:29:11.125714Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by November 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"229509.128995","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-21T13:45:37.581566Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.062849Z","closedTime":"2025-12-01 07:33:40+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"November 30","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x8f07e517a304c886955497ce5e7a791f5dd80ec5484c0f1ef59e5166d8401f98","umaEndDate":"2025-12-01T07:33:40Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":229509.128995,"endDateIso":"2025-10-31","startDateIso":"2025-10-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":21704.066098,"volume1mo":166077.9794079999,"volume1yr":229509.1289949998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"26340281514116361739177694696142465392610507254614159065410861117730143622187\", \"77445434236199640828285894610915168465113925137412738738677921101339333881186\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":21704.066098,"volume1moClob":166077.9794079999,"volume1yrClob":229509.1289949998,"volumeClob":229509.128995,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-21T19:28:49Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.004,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0035,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.031,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2705,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-21T19:28:22.128044Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"898678","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?","conditionId":"0xa65fe234ac3808801290874c631e55bcfee30e437c78239808729a89d9f2de22","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-january-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-09T00:38:09.352Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by January 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"496558.346575","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-09T00:01:55.362849Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.076803Z","closedTime":"2026-02-01 08:00:46+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"January 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xcae03d68faf92abe5d7b9f83c772caf7ee3a4c5de9b36898b61e0c4e58149984","umaEndDate":"2026-02-01T08:00:46Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":496558.346575,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":67052.53479200003,"volume1mo":379685.8219830001,"volume1yr":496558.3465750002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"37281046158137671889895383499164526727881692321679587626659940834369685019496\", \"11132544244839265378732084165256379227175677028258955804895976429843086532411\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":67052.53479200003,"volume1moClob":379685.8219830001,"volume1yrClob":496558.3465750002,"volumeClob":496558.346575,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-09T00:37:47Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.003,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0945,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2195,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-09T00:37:17.372882Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677361","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?","conditionId":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-march-31-872-578","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:23:45.868Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by March 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"965800.9519230045","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:26:22.455602Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:29.992716Z","closedTime":"2026-04-01 06:22:17+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"March 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x960b8fe78b127652ed8e5b0f895137f7d30226dea710d57a1313d3d93a1d5cb0","umaEndDate":"2026-04-01T06:22:17Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":965800.9519230045,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"94521268801533640253484626268475643884882213091508756864952897781498391313602\", \"63761293627321054794056701530662561252253979399794304476663814039986928052742\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":965800.9519230045,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:24Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.045,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.48,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:22:55.343944Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677366","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-2026-936-942-271-276-578-687","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"41863.3949","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:24:05.994Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.8\", \"0.2\"]","volume":"364361.8363540005","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:27:09.238172Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:41.216837Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"11","questionID":"0xb4756d4c88a97988c3aa438fcec0b0b77634e7cfc85f4cbfe3db83572c976aae","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":364361.8363540005,"liquidityNum":41863.3949,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1442.3666620000001,"volume1wk":14030.426952,"volume1mo":80693.371196,"volume1yr":364361.8363540002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"83552904656813968939383082097054433404653657244784709614448703928529504455469\", \"47029152085101973226255505664149277121974669906212969183902148537312535402801\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1442.3666620000001,"volume1wkClob":14030.426952,"volume1moClob":80693.371196,"volume1yrClob":364361.8363540002,"volumeClob":364361.8363540005,"liquidityClob":41863.3949,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9174311926605505,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.02,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.08,"lastTradePrice":0.8,"bestBid":0.79,"bestAsk":0.81,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:15.444123Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"956942","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?","conditionId":"0x5f33f46fa571836f090ef8f3e62caee237f8f73c36a711e757a6f71bf8ef9c6a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-february-28","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-17T20:53:32.04Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by February 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"486173.461815","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-17T20:51:51.563238Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.001394Z","closedTime":"2026-03-01 07:26:23+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"February 28, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0xbe5e1a505622dc16b022e647aaf4d449fac6135286abd159a0e761efdf2faebe","umaEndDate":"2026-03-01T07:26:23Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":486173.461815,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-17","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":38520.792045,"volume1mo":176247.5126260001,"volume1yr":486173.4618150009,"clobTokenIds":"[\"3464795463763108108909057219187376740735691886447931192725079515654033695019\", \"96229871085374132303116376471322311695842738677806841162553339355812305824040\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":38520.792045,"volume1moClob":176247.5126260001,"volume1yrClob":486173.4618150009,"volumeClob":486173.461815,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-17T20:53:09Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.018,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.3315,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-17T20:52:40.03807Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1397260","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?","conditionId":"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-june-30-382-954-769","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"4563.41453","startDate":"2026-02-19T12:24:20.546Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.364\", \"0.636\"]","volume":"232799.9655939999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-19T12:19:32.163641Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:16.009478Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"10","questionID":"0x9477316f1c03d7b60a44c6de7ea6c5d2d6fedbaf947e1f8ae451e840be053f5a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":232799.9655939999,"liquidityNum":4563.41453,"endDateIso":"2026-06-30","startDateIso":"2026-02-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":9033.013611999999,"volume1wk":25981.027467000007,"volume1mo":113445.5536989997,"volume1yr":232799.96559399986,"clobTokenIds":"[\"92557339599379991257792137259949406096653890374419429974555855496093508422916\", \"43321630833125241017427912676100747595457556487829359498141771278458547970943\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":9033.013611999999,"volume1wkClob":25981.027467000007,"volume1moClob":113445.5536989997,"volume1yrClob":232799.96559399986,"volumeClob":232799.9655939999,"liquidityClob":4563.41453,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:23:14Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9818398894055549,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"277501","conditionId":"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":30,"startDate":"2026-04-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.012,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.052,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.081,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.261,"lastTradePrice":0.37,"bestBid":0.358,"bestAsk":0.37,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:21:59.737659Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1397301","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?","conditionId":"0x19f4555bdaf83d0d433f62013c005a73de4787ed737550f81a6d265fa28d976c","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-april-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-04-30T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"17018.5465","startDate":"2026-02-19T12:52:38.015Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by April 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]","volume":"192046.86301299994","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-19T12:49:37.685922Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:15.696829Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"April 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0xe399f5f86f0a33219c28e6b780ebb419c8dc2392b48ceeeed825884d53617fc4","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":192046.86301299994,"liquidityNum":17018.5465,"endDateIso":"2026-04-30","startDateIso":"2026-02-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":9876.4202,"volume1wk":22625.991291000002,"volume1mo":89571.41166900005,"volume1yr":192046.863013,"clobTokenIds":"[\"91598277451888833943457869299081344513189737907823485218592748863763321112699\", \"53831658761992660262271167425488866803302305236549476786294052519241195037228\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":9876.4202,"volume1wkClob":22625.991291000002,"volume1moClob":89571.41166900005,"volume1yrClob":192046.863013,"volumeClob":192046.86301299994,"liquidityClob":17018.5465,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:51:32Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8067051720490372,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.005,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0085,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0495,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2095,"lastTradePrice":0.01,"bestBid":0.008,"bestAsk":0.013,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:50:20.355087Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2047653","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?","conditionId":"0xc13c31b0e5d48e978cc5c66318659ecab10e9882543e87a5f4eea5a5f889bdc2","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-may-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"2694.5822","startDate":"2026-04-21T22:11:39.521371Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. 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Over the past week, Moscow captured nearby Illinivka on April 27 and made limited tactical advances into the southwestern outskirts of Kostyantynivka amid heavy shelling and infiltrations on eastern and southern flanks, though Ukrainian defenders report repelling attacks and striking Russian positions with drones. No confirmed full seizure of the town has occurred despite nearly a year of pressure, with Institute for the Study of War assessments noting stalled mechanized gains. Traders watch for geolocated map changes, potential Ukrainian reinforcements, or escalation in aerial/drone strikes that could tip the attritional frontline balance.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T16:20:43.297Z"}},{"id":"25391","ticker":"spain-snap-election-called-by","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-by","title":"Spain snap election called by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:29.141223Z","creationDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:29.14122Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":14896.5129,"volume":145099.03975899998,"openInterest":16455.467483,"createdAt":"2025-05-28T17:17:11.280439Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:37:38.884452Z","competitive":0.8470089994706194,"volume24hr":67.419147,"volume1wk":10023.395621,"volume1mo":28737.597928,"volume1yr":145099.03975899995,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":14896.5129,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":1,"markets":[{"id":"547957","question":"Spain snap election called in 2025?","conditionId":"0x90146e4df214d10dc20b7f60ff0ce966bfa09546978a4a4059d06f3cd6ddf577","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:02.886Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]","volume":"51600.73773499999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-22T15:42:59.06638Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:39:14.650478Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x281e67a95c130130a06a7047bbb59aaaf24733887d36ddc5cf436ad7dc6c4d0e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":51600.73773499999,"liquidityNum":14896.5129,"startDateIso":"2025-10-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":67.419147,"volume1wk":5509.924621,"volume1mo":15042.011407,"volume1yr":51600.73773499998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22727676348515372003751667928661129938953357934816532759741382381194930135311\", \"113257680533063586788985346494216055424581457988687762525815116425152066513696\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":67.419147,"volume1wkClob":5509.924621,"volume1moClob":15042.011407,"volume1yrClob":51600.73773499998,"volumeClob":51600.73773499999,"liquidityClob":14896.5129,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-22T15:44:18Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8470089994706194,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"90084","conditionId":"0xb935ba8bc67b99825f2d7e4759d5d619f9c2beea0b799cc6f444d48c8cdf6149","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-03-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.045,"lastTradePrice":0.08,"bestBid":0.07,"bestAsk":0.08,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-22T15:43:50.11555Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}}],"series":[{"id":"11293","ticker":"spain-snap-election","slug":"spain-snap-election","title":"Spain Snap Election","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-05T16:06:40.345104Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:07:18.284426Z","volume24hr":607.11721,"volume":162313.420914,"liquidity":33650.0981,"commentCount":45,"requiresTranslation":false}],"tags":[{"id":"366","label":"world affairs","slug":"world-affairs","publishedAt":"2023-11-02 22:05:44.425+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T22:05:44.48Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:47:56.524437Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101970","label":"World","slug":"world","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"144","label":"Elections","slug":"elections","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:24:31.008+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:24:31.198Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:22:31.696566Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1597","label":"Global Elections","slug":"global-elections","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-03-07 20:44:01.258+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-03-07T20:41:56.773Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:08:23.096987Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"spain-snap-election","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez firmly rejected calls for snap elections during a Congress address on April 28, 2026, declaring Spain needs eight more years of progressive governance through the scheduled 2027 general election no later than August 22. This stance counters mounting pressure from opposition leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the People's Party (PP), who demands early polls amid PSOE's recent regional setbacks, including defeats in Extremadura (December 2025) and Aragón (February 2026). The minority PSOE-led coalition grapples with tensions alongside partners like Junts over immigration regularization and funding shortfalls, plus ongoing corruption probes. Traders monitor parliamentary stability, potential no-confidence votes, and budget negotiations that could force dissolution of the Cortes Generales.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T14:10:14.298Z"}},{"id":"25410","ticker":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by","slug":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by","title":"US x Russia military clash by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. \n\nIntentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage. \n\nMilitary contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-28T22:16:59.907765Z","creationDate":"2025-05-28T22:16:59.907763Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-otSB7i0OGwYM.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-otSB7i0OGwYM.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":26928.8405,"volume":602255.996468,"openInterest":14500.153416999998,"createdAt":"2025-05-28T21:26:39.80768Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-29T16:38:08.132272Z","competitive":0.8709094471902284,"volume24hr":104.833332,"volume1wk":36341.012048000004,"volume1mo":203066.07658199998,"volume1yr":593376.2863189973,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":26928.8405,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":16,"markets":[{"id":"548080","question":"US x Russia military clash by December 31?","conditionId":"0x0d82012de5e3275b934dcf446b1cce93705b37e9ffe22470fd6caf7411d1d1f6","slug":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by-december-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-28T22:16:01.648Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-otSB7i0OGwYM.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-otSB7i0OGwYM.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Recent escalatory rhetoric includes Kremlin warnings three days ago against potential US Tomahawk missile supplies to Kyiv as a \"dramatic\" risk, Foreign Minister Lavrov's claim five days prior that the West has declared open war via Ukraine, and Russia's scaling back of its May 9 Victory Day parade hours ago due to equipment shortages and Ukrainian drone threats. Counterbalancing this, US-Russia military-to-military dialogue resumed in February 2026, while NATO intelligence notes Russia could challenge the alliance post-Ukraine but lacks capacity now. Watch for long-range weapon transfers or Victory Day incidents as potential catalysts.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T15:42:33.254Z"}}]