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The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2024-12-31T19:05:45.901363Z","creationDate":"2024-12-31T19:05:45.901361Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":4233.4431,"volume":1584470.3785470019,"openInterest":49455.194088000004,"createdAt":"2024-12-31T18:18:36.692417Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.9433739770288437,"volume24hr":1185.7068689999999,"volume1wk":22483.204580999998,"volume1mo":137755.19964599994,"volume1yr":1036199.8955879994,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":4233.4431,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":43,"markets":[{"id":"516950","question":"Kraken IPO in 2025?","conditionId":"0x5b70123b2c37355840b38bc60752919dae7ca5fe11d5e5184aa69be01b9db458","slug":"kraken-ipo-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2024-12-31T19:05:03.54Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"545638.9248109999","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-12T19:15:58.849459Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-28T11:03:47.827628Z","closedTime":"2026-04-01 08:25:09+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"March 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x47fcdd597ecb28eedd232bd26886b902f9a49b77d563c028867032905f7974f5","umaEndDate":"2026-04-01T08:25:09Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":545638.9248109999,"endDateIso":"2026-04-01","startDateIso":"2025-11-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"33799186820745984796925628555218896548353763534512103584425851114581900224385\", \"103693433518125527001416636574099415821922498558487623412396163292963814003978\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":545638.9248109999,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-12T19:19:37Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.03,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.085,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-12T19:19:08.394939Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"691547","question":"Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xced0cb8725bad43d78fda0cd0e5fa9e31804625cb3502b2c7897f8e8f7fa9e1f","slug":"kraken-ipo-by-december-31-2026-513","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"4224.4529","startDate":"2025-11-19T15:49:34.522Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. 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Persistent calls for early resignation or snap presidential elections peaked during the 2025 government crises involving multiple prime ministerial resignations and a fragmented National Assembly, yet Macron rejected these demands and maintained office. Impeachment proceedings under Article 68 remain procedurally demanding and have not advanced successfully. As of mid-2026, Macron continues active diplomacy, including at the G7 summit, with no verified developments indicating an imminent departure. 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Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, the prime minister retains full discretion to call a general election at any time before the automatic deadline around mid-August 2029. Traders watch polling trends, internal party dynamics, and economic indicators for signs of an opportunistic early contest, though the recent fragmentation of voter support across multiple parties makes timing highly uncertain. Upcoming by-elections and further polling will likely shape near-term expectations.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:32:16.064Z"}},{"id":"17526","ticker":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31","slug":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31","title":"China x India military clash by...?","description":"This is a market on the likelihood of a military clash between China and India occurring by December 31.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-01-30T21:29:15.866418Z","creationDate":"2025-01-30T21:29:15.866415Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":15545.0223,"volume":300736.18118899973,"openInterest":13417.461059,"createdAt":"2025-01-30T19:15:09.756401Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.8408837688410519,"volume24hr":106.127658,"volume1wk":14192.242658,"volume1mo":70830.94187100005,"volume1yr":300736.18118899944,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":15545.0223,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":13,"markets":[{"id":"521029","question":"China x India military clash by December 31?","conditionId":"0x689a77ca28cf59efae262fd37d07aa787194d52b13bbe009a223de15bf5c62af","slug":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-01-30T21:29:11.808Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however the Indian Coast Guard (ICG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"73185.754279","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-01-30T19:15:12.055523Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-15T23:31:07.159334Z","closedTime":"2026-01-01 09:34:37+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x21a57e5bd440a2fa423cdaeffd795ec4dc3a6a7ed297f9fc630f59fcbabfd1fd","umaEndDate":"2026-01-01T09:34:37Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":73185.754279,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-01-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":1986.7765,"volume1mo":8221.565354,"volume1yr":73185.75427899958,"gameStartTime":"2025-09-10 02:17:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"62499647704758013801224496519154801919449219197687180369505612744147504118777\", \"89667254973027475163940771416019167537897714895546880163448338769528535684137\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":1986.7765,"volume1moClob":8221.565354,"volume1yrClob":73185.75427899958,"volumeClob":73185.754279,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-01-30T21:28:00Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.003,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0215,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"521028","question":"China x India military clash by June 30?","conditionId":"0x69eecc28e594a1c524ea95f095d6e86eb1bfd8a67277eda3010413e9edf68e03","slug":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-june-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-01-30T21:29:01.73Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however the Indian Coast Guard (ICG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"37693.17445","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-01-30T19:15:10.907371Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-15T23:31:07.162286Z","closedTime":"2025-07-01 22:05:08.339341+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xaaee7c59ddcc8acf258c7524aab4bb8737c76d3bd12e603d572ac881f7e79bbb","umaEndDate":"2025-07-01 22:05:08.339341+00","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":37693.17445,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-01-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":11207.9985,"volume1mo":14173.342340000005,"volume1yr":37693.174450000006,"gameStartTime":"2025-09-10 02:17:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"82814855654672504061247670166274349069234747344604118638495723199148512283270\", \"28181983066814192341972022528872656900287488784777109397388022150121214816984\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":11207.9985,"volume1moClob":14173.342340000005,"volume1yrClob":37693.174450000006,"volumeClob":37693.17445,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-01-30T21:27:50Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0075,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0175,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677404","question":"China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x6e6851f2698629795fa06869d961c986221a80cedcba10fbaf0ed220607cdada","slug":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"15545.0223","startDate":"2025-11-13T23:10:40.603235Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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The most recent significant escalation occurred in 2020 at Galwan, followed by a 2022 incident in Tawang. A limited October 2024 patrol agreement restored pre-2020 patterns in key friction points such as Depsang and Demchok, enabling resumed local patrols while leaving the broader boundary issue unresolved. Subsequent reporting through mid-2025 described the border situation as stable yet sensitive, with both sides sustaining infrastructure and force levels. Trader pricing for a clash by late 2026 remains low, reflecting the absence of fresh military incidents and continued diplomatic channels, though sudden patrols, infrastructure moves, or leadership signaling could still alter risk assessments ahead of scheduled bilateral talks.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T01:18:37.035Z"}},{"id":"17549","ticker":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025","slug":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025","title":"NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor military personnel to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.\n\nFor military personnel to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. 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Recent developments include UK-French commitments in early 2026 for potential post-ceasefire security forces or \"hubs,\" alongside broader European defense spending increases and coalition discussions, yet no formal announcements or deployments of fighting units have occurred. Russia has repeatedly rejected such presence as unacceptable. With the market resolution window closing at the end of June 2026, trader consensus reflects the absence of imminent triggers like finalized peace agreements or policy shifts, though scheduled NATO-EU coordination meetings and any breakthrough in negotiations could still influence assessments.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:19:04.047Z"}},{"id":"17858","ticker":"ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025","slug":"ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025","title":"Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAn official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.\n\nThe April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-02-06T23:19:09.390407Z","creationDate":"2025-02-06T23:19:09.390405Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":34366.61474,"volume":2631109.2812850005,"openInterest":29232.606608000002,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T22:01:47.648437Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.8316008316008316,"volume24hr":421.226817,"volume1wk":23927.581909999997,"volume1mo":115916.82503799997,"volume1yr":2204214.2343390007,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":34366.61474,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":126,"markets":[{"id":"522057","question":"Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?","conditionId":"0x591f785022238c7ea2563553d93c024e451a18ea74d9bbd79a6126c0267c588a","slug":"ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-02-06T23:17:40.989Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAn official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.\n\nThe April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"426895.04694600054","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-23T22:48:06.9087Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T14:21:01.316821Z","closedTime":"2026-07-01 06:20:52+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x263f1b3477c2089da3d02330254f591e278d17ae34dcc7a97d34d9168ee40e93","umaEndDate":"2026-07-01T06:20:52Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":426895.04694600054,"endDateIso":"2026-06-30","startDateIso":"2025-09-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"3990636992955197269726492696316350470613735002003547307529304314694325536205\", \"96546182602923845565665333214247145480942442058633439074100378407858539142465\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":426895.04694600054,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-23T23:15:05Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.002,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.02,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-23T23:13:50.779738Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1323364","question":"Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x3e4e5225054ad5168e0b249164f643453ba97a8947f84d7aacb4c768275d48e9","slug":"ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-its-territory-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"34128.25708","startDate":"2026-02-03T15:28:27.685198Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. \n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAn official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.\n\nThe April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting 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U.S.-led trilateral talks earlier in 2026 produced no breakthrough on sovereignty recognition, while President Zelenskyy continues to reject ceding UN-recognized territory. At the June 16 G7 summit, U.S. President Trump pressed for a deal and additional sanctions on Russia, yet Moscow maintains its core demand that Kyiv acknowledge control over annexed regions. These dynamics, combined with Ukraine’s incremental battlefield adjustments near Pokrovsk and sustained Western security discussions, shape trader views on the low likelihood of a formal recognition agreement before the June 30, 2026 resolution window.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:06:37.457Z"}},{"id":"18558","ticker":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","slug":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","title":"Ukraine election called by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-02-14T19:30:42.775652Z","creationDate":"2025-02-14T19:30:42.775649Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":41658.3921,"volume":1642011.619599999,"openInterest":12346.143888,"createdAt":"2025-02-13T19:39:15.966366Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.91994204365125,"volume24hr":5614.370518999999,"volume1wk":58541.618527000006,"volume1mo":247160.938028,"volume1yr":1076430.5029740012,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":41658.3921,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":36,"markets":[{"id":"523343","question":"Ukraine election called in 2025?","conditionId":"0xf3d74c153a35436ff82a5f78200104975c5841140ace763f2954adb340cca511","slug":"ukraine-election-called-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-02-14T19:28:26.116Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"982716.694339","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-02-13T19:39:17.849008Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T23:15:57.010175Z","closedTime":"2026-01-01 09:11:37+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2025","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xa094043bf8108d863998270c7f412507cd34679fa71dfb0bdd8e064ce1a92eb6","umaEndDate":"2026-01-01T09:11:37Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":982716.694339,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-02-14","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":51836.18834100001,"volume1mo":165783.746216,"volume1yr":982716.6943390013,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22255463452594162709449800579658835371746668793825841462318307382376621533755\", \"57160884655103428512814247631012981773015723019889832549493437551469480061242\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":51836.18834100001,"volume1moClob":165783.746216,"volume1yrClob":982716.6943390013,"volumeClob":982716.694339,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-02-14T19:27:16Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.009,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.034,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"610380","question":"Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0x707125b175feb87a7d28c1e3b0e8e834f11c0dff65edac8c4fe5d1e12bf8fc33","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-june-30-2026-392","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-06-30T11:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-09-23T23:18:41.037Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"296494.79415599955","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-23T22:49:20.966682Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T14:21:01.316821Z","closedTime":"2026-07-01 06:19:50+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xcd56a2aab3432e062ad2520816476d101047d74039cb6b06eb80997243459e58","umaEndDate":"2026-07-01T06:19:50Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":296494.79415599955,"endDateIso":"2026-06-30","startDateIso":"2025-09-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"46392352440640691691403913163796829338832584619874037984805155658143745393622\", \"38746974225100760605049476871091018825176822620072388068043468416649080453478\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":296494.79415599955,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-23T23:18:19Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.002,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0065,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.025,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.002,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-23T23:17:51.796018Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"734115","question":"Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xdab71ad1d7d7661435f2556eb8e29473d322d9d8af2705a9732c4872629de090","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-march-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-01T12:39:26.304555Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"269086.32246999943","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-28T15:35:34.322846Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T23:15:56.99533Z","closedTime":"2026-04-01 07:36:01+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"March 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xe7aec12e4dc3eb9f723c35cf5898876b7bfa46363bd880b97ce89a25dd03e8c5","umaEndDate":"2026-04-01T07:36:01Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":269086.32246999943,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-01","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"21820831062008538748141247411218227574369608245896609859008771625480147552641\", \"66322896688384299574504337711710693470719761654756732668481875262656827467708\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":269086.32246999943,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-01T12:39:04Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.001,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.04,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-01T12:38:34.177741Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2261102","question":"Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xfaa78bad74daeb6e5296ae5785df7805275d00e84c81dc37954446132595caed","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-december-31-2026-924","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"21450.328","startDate":"2026-05-14T15:50:14.726Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]","volume":"55067.657516","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-14T15:47:25.888438Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0xe95895cfda0599c4b93113ec17faf8d8e5f6c2af88b89687a3de84a3722d1c5f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":55067.657516,"liquidityNum":21450.328,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-14","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5518.251692999999,"volume1wk":6609.311359999999,"volume1mo":42731.040693,"volume1yr":55067.65751600003,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031\", \"50035578024412312502715156279765769139689669299163153792052060268176088979005\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5518.251692999999,"volume1wkClob":6609.311359999999,"volume1moClob":42731.040693,"volume1yrClob":55067.65751600003,"volumeClob":55067.657516,"liquidityClob":21450.328,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-14T15:49:18Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.91994204365125,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"347551","conditionId":"0xfaa78bad74daeb6e5296ae5785df7805275d00e84c81dc37954446132595caed","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-05-14","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.05,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.015,"lastTradePrice":0.21,"bestBid":0.2,"bestAsk":0.21,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-14T15:48:11.152562Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2602067","question":"Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x0bd9ea5ce49559923c2929958afa1c699b0c1ace54cdd6ffa0b56506e9273d56","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-august-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T11:00:00Z","liquidity":"18637.4783","startDate":"2026-06-19T01:12:17.959324Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]","volume":"38646.151118999995","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-19T00:39:13.016754Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x3c1b3521126759f28d31d776b34831d2cb032433a2f813fc95367ddaa03809fb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":38646.151118999995,"liquidityNum":18637.4783,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":96.118826,"volume1wk":96.118826,"volume1mo":38646.151118999995,"volume1yr":38646.151118999995,"clobTokenIds":"[\"93493841580506086301850708011539393401066204405236876763051464421070051891780\", \"83943169380140685038489730889739849898318526088225940815697125664098988909042\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":96.118826,"volume1wkClob":96.118826,"volume1moClob":38646.151118999995,"volume1yrClob":38646.151118999995,"volumeClob":38646.151118999995,"liquidityClob":18637.4783,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-19T01:11:29Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8378016085790885,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.04,"oneDayPriceChange":0.015,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.07,"bestBid":0.04,"bestAsk":0.08,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-19T01:08:46.745724Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null}],"tags":[{"id":"101970","label":"World","slug":"world","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100265","label":"Geopolitics","slug":"geopolitics","forceShow":true,"createdAt":"2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"96","label":"Ukraine","slug":"ukraine","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:11:46.161003Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101794","label":"Foreign Policy","slug":"foreign-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T17:24:29.604203Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:15:51.294685Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102498","label":"Trump-Zelenskyy","slug":"trump-zelenskyy","createdAt":"2025-08-16T20:50:50.502628Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:33:29.987909Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"countryName":"Ukraine","estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Martial law, extended through August 2026, continues to block national elections under Ukraine’s constitution, which prohibits voting during active conflict and requires a stable security environment beforehand. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned any ballot on a prior ceasefire plus international guarantees, while parliamentary groups advance draft rules that could compress timelines or allow wartime voting if hostilities subside. Recent extensions of martial law and the absence of major diplomatic breakthroughs have kept near-term resolution probabilities low in trader assessments, with any shift dependent on verifiable de-escalation steps or formal legislative changes before the next renewal deadline.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T01:53:06.597Z"}},{"id":"18571","ticker":"will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","slug":"will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","title":"Will any country leave NATO by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-02-13T23:08:41.618074Z","creationDate":"2025-02-13T23:08:41.618072Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":39238.91532,"volume":1248474.4965780019,"openInterest":51099.287199000006,"createdAt":"2025-02-13T22:27:42.74491Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.8253549026081215,"volume24hr":8713.477110999998,"volume1wk":50679.152794999995,"volume1mo":86314.383507,"volume1yr":507404.08693800017,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":39238.91532,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":26,"markets":[{"id":"523413","question":"Will any country leave NATO in 2025?","conditionId":"0x1b74c3efe140a09049e0eb6b6a2112e00fa4d199cdc718c1a58af1abf6d9e49d","slug":"will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-02-13T23:07:31.891Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Fact-checks from multiple outlets have consistently debunked doctored photos and fabricated posts, while Swift and her representatives have remained silent. Public appearances, Eras Tour documentary releases, and career updates through mid-2026 showed no signs of maternity leave or related milestones. Trader sentiment reflects this absence of verified confirmation, as entertainment markets resolve on official statements rather than speculation, with any future announcement or continued silence likely to drive further shifts ahead of events like a speculated 2026 wedding.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:18:24.910Z"}},{"id":"22527","ticker":"mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by","slug":"mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by","title":"Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:19:42.415Z"}},{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":769197.90131,"volume":23032585.710640322,"openInterest":753721.997904,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.9999797504100542,"volume24hr":9347.865292,"volume1wk":144192.91540500004,"volume1mo":497325.974881,"volume1yr":19549964.602469843,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":769197.90131,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":908,"markets":[{"id":"540816","question":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x9c1a953fe92c8357f1b646ba25d983aa83e90c525992db14fb726fa895cb5763","slug":"russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:00.174Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if  if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"1\", \"0\"]","volume":"1676301.745145051","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:03:10.397014Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-10T04:32:40.557657Z","closedTime":"2026-05-09 04:29:49+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x74dcd73f29877722e217723e10f2e8f9a888976f7cfc796234b75a3d3214d1c8","umaEndDate":"2026-05-09T04:29:49Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":1676301.745145051,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"gameStartTime":"2026-05-08 20:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"8501497159083948713316135768103773293754490207922884688769443031624417212426\", \"2527312495175492857904889758552137141356236738032676480522356889996545113869\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":1676301.745145051,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:37Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.54,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.275,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.05,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.29,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.265,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.4,"lastTradePrice":0.54,"bestAsk":0.54,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.719613Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540817","question":"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be","slug":"new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"15371.023","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]","volume":"845309.988572015","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:04:43.762151Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Rihanna Album","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb6fd5ea8c21f01471ad673950edd4a1645698946906abb27597e3f3de7bd70f1","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":845309.988572015,"liquidityNum":15371.023,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":773.206773,"volume1wk":9734.456710000013,"volume1mo":53499.800163000065,"volume1yr":655375.8163940007,"clobTokenIds":"[\"98022490269692409998126496127597032490334070080325855126491859374983463996227\", \"53831553061883006530739877284105938919721408776239639687877978808906551086026\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":773.206773,"volume1wkClob":9734.456710000013,"volume1moClob":53499.800163000065,"volume1yrClob":655375.8163940007,"volumeClob":845309.988572015,"liquidityClob":15371.023,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9996001599360256,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.005,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.165,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.53,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"21205.0362","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.515\", \"0.485\"]","volume":"747411.0527549466","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:06:24.136443Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Playboi Carti Album ","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x6ec4702f0a5bb188f0dd498647641f2aa13a871953a7f15fa3413939ad68144c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":747411.0527549466,"liquidityNum":21205.0362,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1097.7216589999998,"volume1wk":3166.9100530000005,"volume1mo":8961.741094000006,"volume1yr":186017.70155100152,"clobTokenIds":"[\"88275040060084773376557187972215267513049848642895776801789297917961077894224\", \"94376205816022955542979635542279932967359915765455578534002478996104754801969\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1097.7216589999998,"volume1wkClob":3166.9100530000005,"volume1moClob":8961.741094000006,"volume1yrClob":186017.70155100152,"volumeClob":747411.0527549466,"liquidityClob":21205.0362,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"384670","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.015,"oneYearPriceChange":0.04,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.52,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"354640.4694","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]","volume":"11746094.92157872","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:08:16.157823Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Jesus Christ returns","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x9e84e9020884d3e603df981dc049bed477b64acfc623a739a7c51fed8de6cc5c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":11746094.92157872,"liquidityNum":354640.4694,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3271.9852519999995,"volume1wk":86816.45076000004,"volume1mo":230640.96552300002,"volume1yr":11059391.023271015,"clobTokenIds":"[\"90435811253665578014957380826505992530054077692143838383981805324273750424057\", \"92388629082681805622801622703528982922543286352927708208755887536971583436902\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3271.9852519999995,"volume1wkClob":86816.45076000004,"volume1moClob":230640.96552300002,"volume1yrClob":11059391.023271015,"volumeClob":11746094.92157872,"liquidityClob":354640.4694,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"459753","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-06-14","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.36,"lastTradePrice":0.5,"bestBid":0.49,"bestAsk":0.5,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.72195Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540820","question":"Trump out as President before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","slug":"trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"47688.9606","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.107Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]","volume":"691961.2445990079","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:15:30.618414Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Trump out as President ","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xedea9101297fbb648d3a2ac06b936f801919660e9514a7ff7fe6c17c40cd8fed","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":691961.2445990079,"liquidityNum":47688.9606,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":583.872334,"volume1wk":2229.3571979999997,"volume1mo":30265.570278000007,"volume1yr":657380.7222560102,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108999723207897941876452935557011604067917389120996960199512481363958770540884\", \"64533579809297525579033609963634939501013332859992608996100633472507000251907\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":583.872334,"volume1wkClob":2229.3571979999997,"volume1moClob":30265.570278000007,"volume1yrClob":657380.7222560102,"volumeClob":691961.2445990079,"liquidityClob":47688.9606,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"350879","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.35,"lastTradePrice":0.49,"bestBid":0.49,"bestAsk":0.5,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.726154Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540843","question":"Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","slug":"will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716-644","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"54461.9585","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.6Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"1894217.0554910658","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:22:02.679893Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"China invades Taiwan ","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x68ac8b4c60870980ae87c3a1da8730f46755c5e66c715032fc6c90b53f2ec4ec","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1894217.0554910658,"liquidityNum":54461.9585,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1187.484303,"volume1wk":15203.907619000003,"volume1mo":44705.33520999994,"volume1yr":1853064.3359820521,"clobTokenIds":"[\"21695138873211375451055566770107682325494206727818897067665810321709249824909\", \"17516427576383382756368467656206258206490015951115433065318503962238754362428\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1187.484303,"volume1wkClob":15203.907619000003,"volume1moClob":44705.33520999994,"volume1yrClob":1853064.3359820521,"volumeClob":1894217.0554910658,"liquidityClob":54461.9585,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"613015","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-06-23","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.32,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.723394Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540844","question":"Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-1m-before-gta-vi-872-424","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"165213.33791","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.361Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final \"High\" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.4955\", \"0.5045\"]","volume":"4554877.585457518","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:24:45.04244Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Bitcoin hits $1m","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0x7e4ff7b7fdfe7d1fbc6c0e2a7626ae4fc8d62f3848a5e601d511a51bdfa51f09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":4554877.585457518,"liquidityNum":165213.33791,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1807.46727,"volume1wk":17929.144787,"volume1mo":108917.01226999999,"volume1yr":4447190.8502657665,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105267568073659068217311993901927962476298440625043565106676088842803600775810\", \"91863162118308663069733924043159186005106558783397508844234610341221325526200\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1807.46727,"volume1wkClob":17929.144787,"volume1moClob":108917.01226999999,"volume1yrClob":4447190.8502657665,"volumeClob":4554877.585457518,"liquidityClob":165213.33791,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999797504100542,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.003,"oneYearPriceChange":0.3605,"lastTradePrice":0.496,"bestBid":0.495,"bestAsk":0.496,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"573647","question":"Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"59671.9652","startDate":"2025-08-07T14:21:34.535Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nTo qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.515\", \"0.485\"]","volume":"671046.5319279982","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0xF572b3B4BE2c67837A206F660cA7b51F0D7e585F","createdAt":"2025-08-07T14:03:41.38976Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"GPT-6 released","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x9c4c41b0d3e1a61764250a0f6f53a26e073df17fe4d892699283fae2fa94eabb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":671046.5319279982,"liquidityNum":59671.9652,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":452.845358,"volume1wk":7922.9441849999985,"volume1mo":14384.90154900001,"volume1yr":671046.5319279992,"clobTokenIds":"[\"71552623345730992280501476931299615437386807576519105089437764117985071980606\", \"48266425622404486484896353767723266081505997963592758694068789352158715350186\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":452.845358,"volume1wkClob":7922.9441849999985,"volume1moClob":14384.90154900001,"volume1yrClob":671046.5319279992,"volumeClob":671046.5319279982,"liquidityClob":59671.9652,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:21:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"374592","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-18","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.035,"lastTradePrice":0.52,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.52,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:20:42.400176Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"1117522","question":"Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","slug":"will-drake-release-iceman-before-gta-vi-355","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2026-01-06T00:20:15.433Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Drake officially releases Iceman before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nIceman refers to the upcoming studio album by Drake of that title, which has been promoted through videos released with the titles “Iceman Episode (1-4)”, and the singles “What Did I Miss”, “Which One”, and “Dog House.”\n\nOfficially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nThe full Iceman studio album must be released in order to resolve this market. Further singles or Iceman video episodes will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. A consensus of credible reporting that a released album is the Iceman project may be used if Drake releases the album under a different name.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"1\", \"0\"]","volume":"184867.9642920002","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-05T23:40:27.656833Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-21T21:05:23.45614Z","closedTime":"2026-05-15 09:40:31+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Drake releases Iceman","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0xa1c2c3e248f048170f13cfd40bbf64d1d62b01416239fbd00840f60a0fe6bda2","umaEndDate":"2026-05-15T09:40:31Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":184867.9642920002,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-06","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"40694415003591202786878279287884766002429923551809555441858630935269489320071\", \"31737648224640860538361785861700072557227859645060732743904381890720199497279\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":184867.9642920002,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-06T00:19:53Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0055,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.012,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.1095,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.999,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-06T00:19:21.850657Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"2325588","question":"Another pandemic before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x71b1cc47f4cfe66e7aefa3705f1e55845a398e61788566463ee73a00f57ab59e","slug":"another-pandemic-before-gta-vi","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"54134.2196","startDate":"2026-05-21T21:10:08.125Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and Grand Theft Auto VI's officially release in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. 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This timeline intensifies attention on high-profile milestones such as OpenAI’s expected GPT-6 launch, Drake’s rumored Iceman album, and any Russia-Ukraine ceasefire developments, all of which markets are pricing with strong or near-certain implied probabilities. Summer 2026 marketing campaigns and potential new trailers could also shift visibility and indirectly influence sentiment around ancillary pop-culture releases. Traders weigh historical patterns of Rockstar’s final marketing pushes and real-world news cycles against the hard cutoff, recognizing that any breakthrough in AI, music charts, or geopolitics before mid-November would resolve specific outcomes in this multi-outcome market.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:32.208Z"}},{"id":"24383","ticker":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","slug":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","title":"Harvey Weinstein prison time?","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z","creationDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091148Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":25853.97064,"volume":1103369.5508340017,"openInterest":58713.811417000004,"createdAt":"2025-05-12T22:26:22.013988Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.8041544225779221,"volume24hr":81.9,"volume1wk":11100.519981000001,"volume1mo":35035.400957,"volume1yr":941852.9430709996,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":25853.97064,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","commentCount":23,"markets":[{"id":"544092","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-no-prison-time","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"2303.21912","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. 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If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"701057.717926","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"0x39A73aAeed8871C1D36016eAc519Aa625726e59F","createdAt":"2025-07-07T03:32:12.542705Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.015004Z","closedTime":"2025-11-01 06:29:10+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"October 31","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb33562b43a7fb9bc0621bb509adbf1629e1ab5268c0381f420843f3ec6139a01","umaEndDate":"2025-11-01T06:29:10Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":701057.717926,"endDateIso":"2025-10-31","startDateIso":"2025-07-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":41283.20729600001,"volume1mo":230393.0779559998,"volume1yr":701057.7179259998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"57509386515638203409676353122070128915263312270689905975542272900147217912507\", \"56204317272716953593028494650753841280461771658055690484625859869098941695564\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":41283.20729600001,"volume1moClob":230393.0779559998,"volume1yrClob":701057.7179259998,"volumeClob":701057.717926,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-07T04:00:50Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"428109","conditionId":"0x19848149723bbd00545b98f45aa239864d8afd2194fec522af4dd2cb222f9766","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-06-10","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0275,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0645,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-07T04:00:12.638623Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"575194","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?","conditionId":"0x8f7c60f27f0b885531538bad8e3cf66f74e2ecdb084f9f3662043d69127bfc8c","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-september-30-111","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-08-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-08-12T17:13:05.395865Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"163807.773962","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"0x00A284A28628922529c2088924E5Ad0A739dA66d","createdAt":"2025-08-12T17:00:50.147184Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.121552Z","closedTime":"2025-10-01 06:14:45+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xe87c96013e0837dc32d6962f3ef0c59dba229da671ac9be20bc41e758e03617c","umaEndDate":"2025-10-01T06:14:45Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":163807.773962,"endDateIso":"2025-08-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":13236.180385,"volume1mo":99637.15513099995,"volume1yr":163807.77396199995,"clobTokenIds":"[\"114381589136409215143279241982285449157407779193398667940575043679964367420662\", \"7226328177805702284817831455077713195078779803101002290052645015901358643638\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":13236.180385,"volume1moClob":99637.15513099995,"volume1yrClob":163807.77396199995,"volumeClob":163807.773962,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-12T17:12:45Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.008,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1645,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-12T17:12:15.382866Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"642526","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?","conditionId":"0xd6b3dba9eefc9b556c3bb0f140e7d530759e70ed1283caeb162c31df477c1e1a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-november-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-10-21T19:29:11.125714Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by November 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"229509.128995","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-21T13:45:37.581566Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.062849Z","closedTime":"2025-12-01 07:33:40+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"November 30","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x8f07e517a304c886955497ce5e7a791f5dd80ec5484c0f1ef59e5166d8401f98","umaEndDate":"2025-12-01T07:33:40Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":229509.128995,"endDateIso":"2025-10-31","startDateIso":"2025-10-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":21704.066098,"volume1mo":166077.9794079999,"volume1yr":229509.1289949998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"26340281514116361739177694696142465392610507254614159065410861117730143622187\", \"77445434236199640828285894610915168465113925137412738738677921101339333881186\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":21704.066098,"volume1moClob":166077.9794079999,"volume1yrClob":229509.1289949998,"volumeClob":229509.128995,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-21T19:28:49Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"39140","conditionId":"0xd6b3dba9eefc9b556c3bb0f140e7d530759e70ed1283caeb162c31df477c1e1a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-06-10","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.004,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0035,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.031,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2705,"lastTradePrice":1,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-21T19:28:22.128044Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"898678","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?","conditionId":"0xa65fe234ac3808801290874c631e55bcfee30e437c78239808729a89d9f2de22","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-january-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-09T00:38:09.352Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by January 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"496558.346575","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-09T00:01:55.362849Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.076803Z","closedTime":"2026-02-01 08:00:46+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"January 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xcae03d68faf92abe5d7b9f83c772caf7ee3a4c5de9b36898b61e0c4e58149984","umaEndDate":"2026-02-01T08:00:46Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":496558.346575,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":67052.53479200003,"volume1mo":379685.8219830001,"volume1yr":496558.3465750002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"37281046158137671889895383499164526727881692321679587626659940834369685019496\", \"11132544244839265378732084165256379227175677028258955804895976429843086532411\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":67052.53479200003,"volume1moClob":379685.8219830001,"volume1yrClob":496558.3465750002,"volumeClob":496558.346575,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-09T00:37:47Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"428015","conditionId":"0xa65fe234ac3808801290874c631e55bcfee30e437c78239808729a89d9f2de22","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-06-10","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.003,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0945,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2195,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-09T00:37:17.372882Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677361","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?","conditionId":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-march-31-872-578","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:23:45.868Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by March 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"965800.9519230045","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:26:22.455602Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:29.992716Z","closedTime":"2026-04-01 06:22:17+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"March 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x960b8fe78b127652ed8e5b0f895137f7d30226dea710d57a1313d3d93a1d5cb0","umaEndDate":"2026-04-01T06:22:17Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":965800.9519230045,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"94521268801533640253484626268475643884882213091508756864952897781498391313602\", \"63761293627321054794056701530662561252253979399794304476663814039986928052742\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":965800.9519230045,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:24Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"428018","conditionId":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-06-10","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.045,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.48,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:22:55.343944Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"677366","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-2026-936-942-271-276-578-687-312","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"96258.9268","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:24:05.994Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.83\", \"0.17\"]","volume":"637347.7248870003","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:27:09.238172Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"13","questionID":"0xb4756d4c88a97988c3aa438fcec0b0b77634e7cfc85f4cbfe3db83572c976aae","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":637347.7248870003,"liquidityNum":96258.9268,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":10058.724287000001,"volume1wk":29268.143104,"volume1mo":137164.83883999995,"volume1yr":637347.7248870013,"clobTokenIds":"[\"83552904656813968939383082097054433404653657244784709614448703928529504455469\", \"47029152085101973226255505664149277121974669906212969183902148537312535402801\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":10058.724287000001,"volume1wkClob":29268.143104,"volume1moClob":137164.83883999995,"volume1yrClob":637347.7248870013,"volumeClob":637347.7248870003,"liquidityClob":96258.9268,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9017945711966814,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.085,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.065,"lastTradePrice":0.82,"bestBid":0.82,"bestAsk":0.84,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:15.444123Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"956942","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?","conditionId":"0x5f33f46fa571836f090ef8f3e62caee237f8f73c36a711e757a6f71bf8ef9c6a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-february-28","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-12-17T20:53:32.04Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by February 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"486173.461815","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-17T20:51:51.563238Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T22:18:30.001394Z","closedTime":"2026-03-01 07:26:23+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"February 28, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0xbe5e1a505622dc16b022e647aaf4d449fac6135286abd159a0e761efdf2faebe","umaEndDate":"2026-03-01T07:26:23Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":486173.461815,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-17","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume1wk":38520.792045,"volume1mo":176247.5126260001,"volume1yr":486173.4618150009,"clobTokenIds":"[\"3464795463763108108909057219187376740735691886447931192725079515654033695019\", \"96229871085374132303116376471322311695842738677806841162553339355812305824040\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume1wkClob":38520.792045,"volume1moClob":176247.5126260001,"volume1yrClob":486173.4618150009,"volumeClob":486173.461815,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-17T20:53:09Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"428020","conditionId":"0x5f33f46fa571836f090ef8f3e62caee237f8f73c36a711e757a6f71bf8ef9c6a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-06-10","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.018,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.3315,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-17T20:52:40.03807Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1397260","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?","conditionId":"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-june-30-382-954-769","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2026-02-19T12:24:20.546Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"749472.3860839956","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-19T12:19:32.163641Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:01.77334Z","closedTime":"2026-07-01 06:08:40+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"10","questionID":"0x9477316f1c03d7b60a44c6de7ea6c5d2d6fedbaf947e1f8ae451e840be053f5a","umaEndDate":"2026-07-01T06:08:40Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":749472.3860839956,"endDateIso":"2026-06-30","startDateIso":"2026-02-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":17510.159978,"volume1wk":134212.03164099998,"volume1mo":372434.1406220004,"volume1yr":749472.3860839992,"clobTokenIds":"[\"92557339599379991257792137259949406096653890374419429974555855496093508422916\", \"43321630833125241017427912676100747595457556487829359498141771278458547970943\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":17510.159978,"volume1wkClob":134212.03164099998,"volume1moClob":372434.1406220004,"volume1yrClob":749472.3860839992,"volumeClob":749472.3860839956,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:23:14Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.018,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.048,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0075,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.2235,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2775,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.018,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:21:59.737659Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"1397301","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?","conditionId":"0x19f4555bdaf83d0d433f62013c005a73de4787ed737550f81a6d265fa28d976c","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-april-30","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-04-30T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2026-02-19T12:52:38.015Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by April 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"223820.87166499996","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-19T12:49:37.685922Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-02T06:14:04.117098Z","closedTime":"2026-05-01 06:55:42+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"April 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0xe399f5f86f0a33219c28e6b780ebb419c8dc2392b48ceeeed825884d53617fc4","umaEndDate":"2026-05-01T06:55:42Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":223820.87166499996,"endDateIso":"2026-04-30","startDateIso":"2026-02-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"91598277451888833943457869299081344513189737907823485218592748863763321112699\", \"53831658761992660262271167425488866803302305236549476786294052519241195037228\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":223820.87166499996,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:51:32Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"428180","conditionId":"0x19f4555bdaf83d0d433f62013c005a73de4787ed737550f81a6d265fa28d976c","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-06-10","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.067,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1795,"lastTradePrice":0.009,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-19T12:50:20.355087Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2047653","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?","conditionId":"0xc13c31b0e5d48e978cc5c66318659ecab10e9882543e87a5f4eea5a5f889bdc2","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-may-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2026-04-21T22:11:39.521371Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"69850.68151500002","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-21T22:07:27.001781Z","updatedAt":"2026-06-02T07:07:42.265229Z","closedTime":"2026-06-01 06:56:52+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"May 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x735290e65b0f6e19ec03b2db9e34cf0f4d9a569a76145023663481386f85b4cb","umaEndDate":"2026-06-01T06:56:52Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":69850.68151500002,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2026-04-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"29809011696982220732063546542308622474802854943333188643218359463829709235487\", \"25648885101397690756283800036871749844131890020935661811158571426964687277506\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":69850.68151500002,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-21T22:10:36Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"428183","conditionId":"0xc13c31b0e5d48e978cc5c66318659ecab10e9882543e87a5f4eea5a5f889bdc2","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-06-10","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.014,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.008,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0845,"lastTradePrice":0.01,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-21T22:09:22.720893Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2159718","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?","conditionId":"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-september-30-256","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"52532.2751","startDate":"2026-05-04T20:45:49.435Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]","volume":"113656.66473199987","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-04T20:42:57.818734Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"12","questionID":"0x6bbdd2110eb729279f3bc5a99ae1489aef85cfcd27e31c4f6cacb3f5c492f3fd","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":113656.66473199987,"liquidityNum":52532.2751,"endDateIso":"2026-09-30","startDateIso":"2026-05-04","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":15789.44101,"volume1wk":26094.917312,"volume1mo":84435.05351100006,"volume1yr":113656.66473200002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"55628874182306186050631811887515133881663823417535899038376461448048315313936\", \"63712527751974257201038440220031691363508120012860375402898424160848105925111\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":15789.44101,"volume1wkClob":26094.917312,"volume1moClob":84435.05351100006,"volume1yrClob":113656.66473200002,"volumeClob":113656.66473199987,"liquidityClob":52532.2751,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-04T20:44:46Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9669075878072954,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"309744","conditionId":"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":20,"startDate":"2026-07-01","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.07,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.13,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.06,"lastTradePrice":0.68,"bestBid":0.68,"bestAsk":0.69,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-04T20:43:27.503491Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"2608935","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?","conditionId":"0x06c901b3983cd58bec34252a72a74d4a2f2a64e6ad359967a864dc424997967a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-july-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"15516.6176","startDate":"2026-06-19T17:52:41.175502Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by July 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.335\", \"0.665\"]","volume":"20302.628367999958","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-19T17:50:15.338036Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:38:54.973396Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"11","questionID":"0xe2be9fe4b7fb54867fab2acd424dffc624c6a823219db389c557e05d744897d3","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":20302.628367999958,"liquidityNum":15516.6176,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5941.501802,"volume1wk":14249.587239,"volume1mo":20302.628367999976,"volume1yr":20302.628367999976,"clobTokenIds":"[\"74262568044285840417555465910703355991632422692108408453199177956025235702892\", \"27439106235775318645595032971458838971379139916658536272028798702332813745098\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5941.501802,"volume1wkClob":14249.587239,"volume1moClob":20302.628367999976,"volume1yrClob":20302.628367999976,"volumeClob":20302.628367999958,"liquidityClob":15516.6176,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-19T17:51:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9734965562559322,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"633642","conditionId":"0x06c901b3983cd58bec34252a72a74d4a2f2a64e6ad359967a864dc424997967a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-06-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.13,"oneHourPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.285,"lastTradePrice":0.32,"bestBid":0.33,"bestAsk":0.34,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-19T17:50:50.506802Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null}],"tags":[{"id":"96","label":"Ukraine","slug":"ukraine","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:11:46.161003Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101970","label":"World","slug":"world","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100265","label":"Geopolitics","slug":"geopolitics","forceShow":true,"createdAt":"2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102475","label":"Russia Capture","slug":"russia-capture","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-07T21:17:05.925606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:11:46.156489Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102486","label":"Ukraine Map","slug":"ukraine-map","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-12T21:44:08.906337Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.187435Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Russian forces have intensified infiltration and small-unit assaults into Kostyantynivka since late 2025, establishing an estimated 100-250 personnel inside the city by mid-June 2026 and achieving localized tactical gains near the railway station and central districts. This direction remains Moscow’s primary effort in the spring-summer 2026 offensive, supported by elements of multiple combined-arms armies, yet Ukrainian forces continue clearing operations and report stronger countermeasures than in prior sectors such as Pokrovsk. No consolidated Russian control of the urban area or key infrastructure has been confirmed. Analysts note that full seizure remains possible before summer’s end but would require sustained reinforcements amid heavy drone interdiction and would not automatically trigger collapse of the broader Fortress Belt defenses. Upcoming developments hinge on Russian force regeneration and Ukrainian ability to maintain logistics under continued pressure.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T01:35:42.306Z"}},{"id":"25391","ticker":"spain-snap-election-called-by","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-by","title":"Spain snap election called by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:29.141223Z","creationDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:29.14122Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":17645.8017,"volume":182214.13053499997,"openInterest":3686.592345,"createdAt":"2025-05-28T17:17:11.280439Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.8378016085790885,"volume24hr":516.613816,"volume1wk":7521.633272999999,"volume1mo":16703.748794000003,"volume1yr":96506.46429699997,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":17645.8017,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"markets":[{"id":"547957","question":"Spain snap election called in 2025?","conditionId":"0x90146e4df214d10dc20b7f60ff0ce966bfa09546978a4a4059d06f3cd6ddf577","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-in-2025","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-28T18:38:02.886Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0\", \"1\"]","volume":"85707.66623799998","active":true,"closed":true,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-22T15:42:59.06638Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T22:22:44.816741Z","closedTime":"2026-07-01 06:48:35+00","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x281e67a95c130130a06a7047bbb59aaaf24733887d36ddc5cf436ad7dc6c4d0e","umaEndDate":"2026-07-01T06:48:35Z","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"resolved","volumeNum":85707.66623799998,"endDateIso":"2026-06-30","startDateIso":"2025-10-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22727676348515372003751667928661129938953357934816532759741382381194930135311\", \"113257680533063586788985346494216055424581457988687762525815116425152066513696\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":85707.66623799998,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":false,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-22T15:44:18Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"automaticallyResolved":true,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0035,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0385,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.072,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-22T15:43:50.11555Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"2676035","question":"Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xa9cebe2b15436ca65edfdcd7d447a0b7028ae5bc5f70ab8860609cf931ff536c","slug":"spain-snap-election-called-by-august-31-2026-20260624205647682","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"18205.0746","startDate":"2026-06-24T23:12:41.405854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Recent Andalusian and other regional votes in 2026 showed PP gains and reinforced a rightward shift, while polls indicate PP support near 32% compared with PSOE at 27%. Sánchez has repeatedly rejected early elections and committed to serving the full term through the scheduled general election no later than August 2027, citing the prerogative to dissolve parliament only under specific conditions. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over budget negotiations, Junts parliamentary support, and whether scandals could force a no-confidence vote or strategic dissolution before year-end, balanced against the government's stated intent to avoid a snap contest.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T00:17:06.650Z"}},{"id":"25410","ticker":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by","slug":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by","title":"US x Russia military clash by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. \n\nIntentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage. \n\nMilitary contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-28T22:16:59.907765Z","creationDate":"2025-05-28T22:16:59.907763Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-otSB7i0OGwYM.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-otSB7i0OGwYM.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":22883.29706,"volume":1743936.5481950026,"openInterest":17707.449951,"createdAt":"2025-05-28T21:26:39.80768Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-01T23:39:02.486731Z","competitive":0.8381103879382505,"volume24hr":119.28084,"volume1wk":148680.15628300002,"volume1mo":1239457.6301029997,"volume1yr":1743936.5481949965,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":22883.29706,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":18,"markets":[{"id":"548080","question":"US x Russia military clash by December 31?","conditionId":"0x0d82012de5e3275b934dcf446b1cce93705b37e9ffe22470fd6caf7411d1d1f6","slug":"us-x-russia-military-clash-by-december-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","startDate":"2025-05-28T22:16:01.648Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-otSB7i0OGwYM.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-otSB7i0OGwYM.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Russian forces have conducted repeated large-scale missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian cities into mid-June 2026, while Ukrainian long-range attacks have hit Russian infrastructure, prompting Moscow to acknowledge economic strain. US officials continue supplying aid and supporting European security guarantees without committing troops, amid Trump administration efforts at G7-level diplomacy to advance ceasefire talks that Russia has so far rejected in favor of maximalist demands. Russian diplomats have publicly highlighted rising NATO clash risks, and US assessments note sharpened concerns over inadvertent or deliberate escalation spirals. Hybrid operations, airspace incidents, and the expired New START framework add further uncertainty, though both sides have avoided direct confrontation to date. 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