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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. 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Multiple postponements—from a vague 2025 window to May and then November 2026—have intensified gamer anticipation and positioned the title as gaming's biggest cultural event, driving Polymarket trader sentiment toward bets on pre-release milestones like Trailer 3 or marketing surges. 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Multiple postponements—from a vague 2025 window to May and then November 2026—have intensified gamer anticipation and positioned the title as gaming's biggest cultural event, driving Polymarket trader sentiment toward bets on pre-release milestones like Trailer 3 or marketing surges. With summer 2026 marketing kicks off imminent, alongside fan speculation on planetary alignments hinting at reveals, positions hinge on Rockstar's radio silence amid peaking hype, though PC port timing adds uncertainty.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-06T07:46:43.904Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9993753903810119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.21,"lastTradePrice":0.53,"bestBid":0.52,"bestAsk":0.53,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"22323.4306","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.565\", \"0.435\"]","volume":"732298.3135329477","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:06:24.136443Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-06T07:50:22.325444Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Playboi Carti Album ","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x6ec4702f0a5bb188f0dd498647641f2aa13a871953a7f15fa3413939ad68144c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":732298.3135329477,"liquidityNum":22323.4306,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":14.77,"volume1wk":509.21000699999996,"volume1mo":15905.508642000163,"volume1yr":631285.8313230033,"clobTokenIds":"[\"88275040060084773376557187972215267513049848642895776801789297917961077894224\", \"94376205816022955542979635542279932967359915765455578534002478996104754801969\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":14.77,"volume1wkClob":509.21000699999996,"volume1moClob":15905.508642000163,"volume1yrClob":631285.8313230033,"volumeClob":732298.3135329477,"liquidityClob":22323.4306,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":768693.12368,"volume":21598621.65813954,"openInterest":728778.612122,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-06T07:51:40.509251Z","competitive":0.9999277552196854,"volume24hr":12380.650724000001,"volume1wk":134891.31177399986,"volume1mo":934703.0204460013,"volume1yr":21166717.97688873,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":768693.12368,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":823,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Grand Theft Auto VI remains firmly scheduled for its console launch on November 19, 2026, for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S, as reaffirmed by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick in recent earnings calls, emphasizing Rockstar's console-first strategy and dismissing further delays. Multiple postponements—from a vague 2025 window to May and then November 2026—have intensified gamer anticipation and positioned the title as gaming's biggest cultural event, driving Polymarket trader sentiment toward bets on pre-release milestones like Trailer 3 or marketing surges. With summer 2026 marketing kicks off imminent, alongside fan speculation on planetary alignments hinting at reveals, positions hinge on Rockstar's radio silence amid peaking hype, though PC port timing adds uncertainty.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-06T07:46:43.904Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9957927755234136,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.03,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":0.035,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.035,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.02,"oneYearPriceChange":0.365,"lastTradePrice":0.56,"bestBid":0.55,"bestAsk":0.58,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"371294.5606","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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Multiple postponements—from a vague 2025 window to May and then November 2026—have intensified gamer anticipation and positioned the title as gaming's biggest cultural event, driving Polymarket trader sentiment toward bets on pre-release milestones like Trailer 3 or marketing surges. 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Multiple postponements—from a vague 2025 window to May and then November 2026—have intensified gamer anticipation and positioned the title as gaming's biggest cultural event, driving Polymarket trader sentiment toward bets on pre-release milestones like Trailer 3 or marketing surges. With summer 2026 marketing kicks off imminent, alongside fan speculation on planetary alignments hinting at reveals, positions hinge on Rockstar's radio silence amid peaking hype, though PC port timing adds uncertainty.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-06T07:46:43.904Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999277552196854,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0015,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.004,"oneYearPriceChange":0.3565,"lastTradePrice":0.492,"bestBid":0.491,"bestAsk":0.492,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540881","question":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","conditionId":"0xcccb7e7613a087c132b69cbf3a02bece3fdcb824c1da54ae79acc8d4a562d902","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"71573.18292","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:26.233Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]","volume":"14024707.895514052","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:35.469183Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-06T07:50:17.061661Z","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xd8d82bd063da64aea9f8a0c10f7e0b1510d15cefb2468bccc94c0572336095a2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":14024707.895514052,"liquidityNum":71573.18292,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":37394.772252,"volume1wk":138048.82738899993,"volume1mo":819885.4949430001,"volume1yr":14011590.126567978,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8441400852834915183759801017793514978104486628517653995211751018945988243154\", \"109289569086508934142323222102974769075074494425163878721602922903101062859033\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":37394.772252,"volume1wkClob":138048.82738899993,"volume1moClob":819885.4949430001,"volume1yrClob":14011590.126567978,"volumeClob":14024707.895514052,"liquidityClob":71573.18292,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23792","ticker":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","title":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269386Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269383Z","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":71573.23292,"volume":14024707.895514052,"openInterest":228188.006737,"createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:34.884115Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-06T07:50:37.205249Z","competitive":0.8035160254240507,"volume24hr":37394.772252,"volume1wk":138048.82738899993,"volume1mo":819885.4949430001,"volume1yr":14011590.126567978,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":71573.23292,"commentCount":30,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors \"No\" for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, with a 99.5% implied probability reflecting Rockstar Games' official confirmation of a November 19, 2026 console launch date—pushed back from May 26 via a November 2025 announcement to prioritize polish on this blockbuster sequel. Recent Take-Two Interactive CEO statements, including those from the past week, reaffirm the delayed timeline, emphasizing consoles-first strategy and intentional PC postponement, aligning with Rockstar's perfectionist history seen in GTA V and Red Dead Redemption 2. No new trailers or pre-release indicators suggest acceleration, solidifying trader confidence amid the upcoming May 21 earnings call. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented surprise drop or earnings bombshell advancing the date, though AAA development cycles make this highly improbable.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-06T07:33:41.524Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T17:00:01Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8035160254240507,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.006,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.006,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.6995,"lastTradePrice":0.005,"bestBid":0.005,"bestAsk":0.006,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T16:59:24.952285Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"544092","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-no-prison-time","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"1097.1108","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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