{"$schema":"https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/schemas/Market.json","id":"1323083","question":"Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?","conditionId":"0xf724d37268560ac54688062ff8b1c0411004135e82d1dd6ad00531cc4d985550","slug":"will-hezbollah-disarm-by-december-31-632-848","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"15862.3587","startDate":"2026-02-03T00:03:57.432Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-hezbollah-to-disarm-before-in-2025-n_fB929bMx99.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-hezbollah-to-disarm-before-in-2025-n_fB929bMx99.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Hezbollah officially announces it will disarm in Lebanon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly announcements supported by the Secretary-General of Hezbollah (currently Naim Qassem), a direct successor, or, if the position of Secretary-General of Hezbollah is vacant, the widely acknowledged leadership of Hezbollah will qualify. \n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"disarm\" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in Lebanon.\n\nAnnouncements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.\n\nOnly official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.\n\nPrimary resolution sources will include official statements from Hezbollah leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]","volume":"2087043.760962","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-03T00:01:11.653806Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-18T12:03:14.088044Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x1de3e3c279070d337f24a6d0615b1a6b5809813f6010566ed239ff39d6b8b8ff","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2087043.760962,"liquidityNum":15862.3587,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-02-03","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2.150528,"volume1wk":4535.254358,"volume1mo":11806.146552,"volume1yr":2087043.7609620001,"clobTokenIds":"[\"70891730332783983754038097068699855156768797388773323020505706651244066459609\", \"90889737043160931419301279329265177627640070265027926085121655690919696428047\"]","positionIds":["480610530797265930631047976139022392695309123280617675931347130693126717440","480610530797265930631047976139022392695309123280617675931347130693126717441"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2.150528,"volume1wkClob":4535.254358,"volume1moClob":11806.146552,"volume1yrClob":2087043.7609620001,"volumeClob":2087043.760962,"liquidityClob":15862.3587,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-03T00:02:52Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8439530762089628,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"88887","conditionId":"0xf724d37268560ac54688062ff8b1c0411004135e82d1dd6ad00531cc4d985550","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-02-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.025,"lastTradePrice":0.08,"bestBid":0.06,"bestAsk":0.08,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-03T00:01:38.306376Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"feeType":null,"fallbackResolutionType":"none","version":"v1"}