{"$schema":"https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/schemas/Market.json","id":"3552741","question":"Will there be a power grid emergency in the Central US before October 1?","conditionId":"0x542142ad49db76e1cc5d0c0d7636ed541489c1c9f60ee6cbfb649bd1233719fc","slug":"will-there-be-a-power-grid-emergency-in-the-central-us-before-october-1-1786552244191","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-10-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"767.29934","startDate":"2026-08-12T21:26:06Z","description":"This market resolves \"Yes\" if the Southwest Power Pool (SPP) — the regional transmission organization serving all or part of 17 states across the central and western U.S. — declares a NERC Energy Emergency Alert at Level 2 (EEA-2) or Level 3 (EEA-3) for any of its balancing authority areas from this market's creation through 11:59 PM CT on September 30, 2026. \"Central US\" in the title is a general label — only an SPP declaration counts, and emergencies in other central-U.S. grid operators do not qualify.\n\nA lower EEA-1 declaration does not qualify. A declaration qualifies as long as it happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. A DOE Section 202(c) emergency order is not a NERC EEA declaration and does not qualify. Because Energy Emergency Alerts are federally reportable, a qualifying declaration is also verifiable through mandatory NERC or U.S. Department of Energy records (DOE Form OE-417, published at https://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/oe417.aspx) even if no other source captures it.\n\nThe declaration will be confirmed by any official SPP communication — its press releases (https://www.spp.org/newsroom/press-releases/), Grid Notices, or its real-time Current Grid Conditions page — or by credible national news reporting. It qualifies as long as the declaration itself happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward.\n\nOtherwise, this market resolves \"No\".","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.1145\", \"0.8855\"]","volume":"2977.668345","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-08-12T21:25:46.147336Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-19T19:10:00.763245Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Central US (SPP)","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x704f63d5a2e3b6a18d0fbf58eab27f46013885842a83aa7cc3655dc3ce592f8d","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2977.668345,"liquidityNum":767.29934,"endDateIso":"2026-10-01","startDateIso":"2026-08-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":203.160964,"volume1wk":522.057624,"volume1mo":2937.668345,"volume1yr":2977.668345,"clobTokenIds":"[\"71234598946002042650807764337342513714730949935758288735310387680777257066955\", \"66893213089190949559441432089832839480612109855208541051436856757485988233394\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":203.160964,"volume1wkClob":522.057624,"volume1moClob":2937.668345,"volume1yrClob":2977.668345,"volumeClob":2977.668345,"liquidityClob":767.29934,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-08-12T21:26:06Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8706173395196499,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"2168744","conditionId":"0x542142ad49db76e1cc5d0c0d7636ed541489c1c9f60ee6cbfb649bd1233719fc","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":17,"startDate":"2026-09-19","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.049,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.3155,"lastTradePrice":0.114,"bestBid":0.114,"bestAsk":0.115,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-12T21:25:53.828884Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"weather_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"}
