{"$schema":"https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/schemas/Market.json","id":"5458389","question":"Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xff489738d1301774d9913566fb97c1a8a02a09a3e5f9cb3f87c078c2c2ab3323","slug":"moodys-or-sp-downgrades-france-by-october-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","liquidity":"629.3452","startDate":"2026-10-09T15:02:06Z","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term sovereign credit rating for the Republic of France, at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying downgrade by either agency is sufficient for this market to resolve \"Yes.\" A downgrade by both agencies is not required.\n\nFor purposes of this market, “long-term sovereign credit rating” means any of the following: S&P Global Ratings’ long-term foreign-currency sovereign credit rating or long-term local-currency sovereign credit rating on France; or Moody’s Ratings’ long-term issuer rating or senior unsecured rating on the Government of France. A lowering of any of these qualifies.\n\nA change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade), an affirmation of an existing rating, a withdrawal of a rating, or a change to a short-term rating will not qualify. Only a lowering of a long-term sovereign credit rating itself will qualify.\n\nRating actions by any agency other than Moody's Ratings and S&P Global Ratings — including Fitch Ratings, Scope Ratings and DBRS Morningstar — will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings), together with the Agence France Trésor published ratings page (https://www.aft.gouv.fr/en/frances-credit-ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.6\", \"0.4\"]","volume":"3750.5826359999996","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-10-09T15:01:53.835676Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-18T13:47:15.080261Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xAC9930b2AE455a671b62dE86876A7e8587825294","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"October 31","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x2e9b4af0a85e406dc567d49f0a93bef2c7f012748912a9c4d06059cf11ffc957","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":3750.5826359999996,"liquidityNum":629.3452,"endDateIso":"2026-11-01","startDateIso":"2026-10-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":341.776985,"volume1wk":1011.651223,"volume1mo":3750.5826359999996,"volume1yr":3750.5826359999996,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22414653865772883038466778925488148503433137858959148916487798852457357270122\", \"33945139940248350172418948046362409191085442282267812144021333436604903899248\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":341.776985,"volume1wkClob":1011.651223,"volume1moClob":3750.5826359999996,"volume1yrClob":3750.5826359999996,"volumeClob":3750.5826359999996,"liquidityClob":629.3452,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-10-09T15:02:06Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9900990099009901,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"3389646","conditionId":"0xff489738d1301774d9913566fb97c1a8a02a09a3e5f9cb3f87c078c2c2ab3323","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-10-12","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.04,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.1,"oneHourPriceChange":0.02,"lastTradePrice":0.57,"bestBid":0.58,"bestAsk":0.62,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-10-09T15:02:00.654933Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"economics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","version":"v1"}