{"$schema":"https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/schemas/Market.json","id":"5458390","question":"Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0x5d7a9badd137aec33c5c7a6ca265ce68cb2def8dbb0c3cfc5b6e61a63c80d513","slug":"moodys-or-sp-downgrades-france-by-november-30-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"632.2559","startDate":"2026-10-09T15:02:06Z","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term sovereign credit rating for the Republic of France, at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying downgrade by either agency is sufficient for this market to resolve \"Yes.\" A downgrade by both agencies is not required.\n\nFor purposes of this market, “long-term sovereign credit rating” means any of the following: S&P Global Ratings’ long-term foreign-currency sovereign credit rating or long-term local-currency sovereign credit rating on France; or Moody’s Ratings’ long-term issuer rating or senior unsecured rating on the Government of France. A lowering of any of these qualifies.\n\nA change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade), an affirmation of an existing rating, a withdrawal of a rating, or a change to a short-term rating will not qualify. Only a lowering of a long-term sovereign credit rating itself will qualify.\n\nRating actions by any agency other than Moody's Ratings and S&P Global Ratings — including Fitch Ratings, Scope Ratings and DBRS Morningstar — will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings), together with the Agence France Trésor published ratings page (https://www.aft.gouv.fr/en/frances-credit-ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.655\", \"0.345\"]","volume":"3145.8507250000002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-10-09T15:01:54.949581Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-18T13:37:15.078446Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xAC9930b2AE455a671b62dE86876A7e8587825294","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"November 30","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x8a218c9f447ae8e4e1e26aa140e4b4182490d735118aa9c386cef02cae1992eb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":3145.8507250000002,"liquidityNum":632.2559,"endDateIso":"2026-12-01","startDateIso":"2026-10-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":65.17499,"volume1wk":1517.335976,"volume1mo":3145.850725,"volume1yr":3145.850725,"clobTokenIds":"[\"38160199475768127298846650553782761147082757198308469176446029555290763982746\", \"22515366471537936183942387486754941813453599286567007447894113400620354754103\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":65.17499,"volume1wkClob":1517.335976,"volume1moClob":3145.850725,"volume1yrClob":3145.850725,"volumeClob":3145.8507250000002,"liquidityClob":632.2559,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-10-09T15:02:06Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9765386587241522,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"3389651","conditionId":"0x5d7a9badd137aec33c5c7a6ca265ce68cb2def8dbb0c3cfc5b6e61a63c80d513","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-10-17","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.17,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.1,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.05,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.06,"lastTradePrice":0.79,"bestBid":0.57,"bestAsk":0.74,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-10-09T15:02:00.854959Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"economics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","version":"v1"}
