[{"id":"540816","question":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x9c1a953fe92c8357f1b646ba25d983aa83e90c525992db14fb726fa895cb5763","slug":"russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"65493.2554","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:00.174Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if  if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. 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Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's April 29 reaffirmation of GTA VI's November 19, 2026 console launch—following prior delays—cements the timeline, elevating other music bets like a new Rihanna album (58%) and Playboi Carti project (52%) while geopolitical outcomes (Russia-Ukraine ceasefire at 58%, China-Taiwan invasion at 51%) and Bitcoin hitting $1M (49%) reflect volatile sentiment. 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Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's April 29 reaffirmation of GTA VI's November 19, 2026 console launch—following prior delays—cements the timeline, elevating other music bets like a new Rihanna album (58%) and Playboi Carti project (52%) while geopolitical outcomes (Russia-Ukraine ceasefire at 58%, China-Taiwan invasion at 51%) and Bitcoin hitting $1M (49%) reflect volatile sentiment. Watch Drake's drop confirmation and Rockstar's post-May earnings marketing ramp for momentum shifts.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-30T18:16:20.191Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9975062344139651,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.035,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.095,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.095,"lastTradePrice":0.59,"bestBid":0.54,"bestAsk":0.56,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"20694.716","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's April 29 reaffirmation of GTA VI's November 19, 2026 console launch—following prior delays—cements the timeline, elevating other music bets like a new Rihanna album (58%) and Playboi Carti project (52%) while geopolitical outcomes (Russia-Ukraine ceasefire at 58%, China-Taiwan invasion at 51%) and Bitcoin hitting $1M (49%) reflect volatile sentiment. Watch Drake's drop confirmation and Rockstar's post-May earnings marketing ramp for momentum shifts.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-30T18:16:20.191Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9996001599360256,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneHourPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.065,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.53,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"344277.5635","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. 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Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's April 29 reaffirmation of GTA VI's November 19, 2026 console launch—following prior delays—cements the timeline, elevating other music bets like a new Rihanna album (58%) and Playboi Carti project (52%) while geopolitical outcomes (Russia-Ukraine ceasefire at 58%, China-Taiwan invasion at 51%) and Bitcoin hitting $1M (49%) reflect volatile sentiment. 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Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.4885\", \"0.5115\"]","volume":"4087940.0273905336","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:24:45.04244Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-30T18:24:35.981262Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Bitcoin hits $1m","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x7e4ff7b7fdfe7d1fbc6c0e2a7626ae4fc8d62f3848a5e601d511a51bdfa51f09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":4087940.0273905336,"liquidityNum":122623.62768,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":4133.860789,"volume1wk":71609.16383400027,"volume1mo":283057.14749199874,"volume1yr":4087940.027390778,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105267568073659068217311993901927962476298440625043565106676088842803600775810\", \"91863162118308663069733924043159186005106558783397508844234610341221325526200\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":4133.860789,"volume1wkClob":71609.16383400027,"volume1moClob":283057.14749199874,"volume1yrClob":4087940.027390778,"volumeClob":4087940.0273905336,"liquidityClob":122623.62768,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":734712.63256,"volume":21567356.21005557,"openInterest":723100.1077940001,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-30T18:25:04.153572Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":48758.99591699998,"volume1wk":247716.1108320005,"volume1mo":1792307.9699980207,"volume1yr":21567356.210056636,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":734712.63256,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":823,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Drake releasing his Iceman album before GTA VI, with Yes shares at 98¢ implying near-certainty, propelled by the rapper's April 21 announcement of a May 15 rollout backed by recent singles like \"What Did I Miss?\" and promotional video episodes fueling streaming hype in rap's rapid release cycles. Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's April 29 reaffirmation of GTA VI's November 19, 2026 console launch—following prior delays—cements the timeline, elevating other music bets like a new Rihanna album (58%) and Playboi Carti project (52%) while geopolitical outcomes (Russia-Ukraine ceasefire at 58%, China-Taiwan invasion at 51%) and Bitcoin hitting $1M (49%) reflect volatile sentiment. Watch Drake's drop confirmation and Rockstar's post-May earnings marketing ramp for momentum shifts.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-30T18:16:20.191Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9998677674877497,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.006,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0005,"lastTradePrice":0.488,"bestBid":0.488,"bestAsk":0.489,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540881","question":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","conditionId":"0xcccb7e7613a087c132b69cbf3a02bece3fdcb824c1da54ae79acc8d4a562d902","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"55716.39268","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:26.233Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0115\", \"0.9885\"]","volume":"13960128.857780041","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:35.469183Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-30T18:24:48.859927Z","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xd8d82bd063da64aea9f8a0c10f7e0b1510d15cefb2468bccc94c0572336095a2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":13960128.857780041,"liquidityNum":55716.39268,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":28728.251969999994,"volume1wk":230067.90613499953,"volume1mo":1000985.4427929998,"volume1yr":13960128.857779982,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8441400852834915183759801017793514978104486628517653995211751018945988243154\", \"109289569086508934142323222102974769075074494425163878721602922903101062859033\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":28728.251969999994,"volume1wkClob":230067.90613499953,"volume1moClob":1000985.4427929998,"volume1yrClob":13960128.857779982,"volumeClob":13960128.857780041,"liquidityClob":55716.39268,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23792","ticker":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","title":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269386Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269383Z","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":55720.08368,"volume":13960128.857780041,"openInterest":218186.646725,"createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:34.884115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-30T18:25:02.458259Z","competitive":0.8073421308059757,"volume24hr":28728.251969999994,"volume1wk":230067.90613499953,"volume1mo":1000985.4427929998,"volume1yr":13960128.857779982,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":55720.08368,"commentCount":29,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors \"No\" at 98.9% implied probability for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, driven by Rockstar Games' official November 19, 2026 launch date announced after multiple delays from the original Fall 2025 window. This reflects the publisher's commitment to polish, echoing historical patterns with titles like Red Dead Redemption 2, amid Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's recent April 29 reaffirmation of the timeline during earnings discussions, with no pre-release indicators like beta tests or marketing surges signaling an acceleration. Summer 2026 promotional activity, including potential trailers, looms as the next catalyst, but realistic upsets—such as an improbable surprise digital drop or leak-forced early access—face massive barriers given Rockstar's tight control and certification timelines.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-30T18:16:55.152Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T17:00:01Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8073421308059757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.009,"lastTradePrice":0.011,"bestBid":0.011,"bestAsk":0.012,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T16:59:24.952285Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"544092","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-no-prison-time","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"1676.54364","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.412\", \"0.588\"]","volume":"325673.20352300146","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-12T22:26:22.665665Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-30T18:24:35.631049Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"No Prison Time","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":325673.20352300146,"liquidityNum":1676.54364,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":914.8862350000002,"volume1wk":3662.653666,"volume1mo":32429.92585699997,"volume1yr":325673.20352299983,"clobTokenIds":"[\"24327803960645909378149041810697343640752122608192367041827900158592826352552\", \"86488478623677188352872801318507143761188967461168408688159600382919967378486\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":914.8862350000002,"volume1wkClob":3662.653666,"volume1moClob":32429.92585699997,"volume1yrClob":325673.20352299983,"volumeClob":325673.20352300146,"liquidityClob":1676.54364,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","negRiskRequestID":"0x568eb63b725b4f413c514498165e6383f25612ac8a278bee67fd629cef2ce519","events":[{"id":"24383","ticker":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","slug":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","title":"Harvey Weinstein prison time?","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091151Z","creationDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091148Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":9478.25768,"volume":899913.4379650016,"openInterest":48948.740535000004,"createdAt":"2025-05-12T22:26:22.013988Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-30T18:25:06.691172Z","competitive":0.9924019227787254,"volume24hr":8101.134166999999,"volume1wk":31280.057907999995,"volume1mo":211580.86265000005,"volume1yr":899913.4379649999,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":9478.25768,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","commentCount":14,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:46:49.174275Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus favors No Prison Time at 41.3% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped industry accountability, driven by his track record of overturned New York convictions—including the 2024 appeals court reversal—and a 2025 mistrial on the key rape charge now in its third trial. Jury selection began April 14, with opening statements April 21 and accuser Jessica Mann's pivotal testimony wrapping up this week amid intense cross-examination, injecting fresh uncertainty into resolution timelines expected within weeks. A skeptical California appellate panel last week bolstered odds for 20-30 years (24.9%) by likely upholding his 16-year sentence there, while his age-74 health crises and six years served fuel no-additional-time bets despite the partial 2025 sexual assault conviction pending sentencing.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-30T18:03:53.299Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:50:14Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9923155087006224,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"103363","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.016,"oneDayPriceChange":0.107,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.071,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.13,"lastTradePrice":0.401,"bestBid":0.404,"bestAsk":0.42,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:47:20.560458Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"544093","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?","conditionId":"0xe2b48e3b44de9658ee9c8b37354301763e33c0b502fd966839d644b4c0a9dea8","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-less-than-5-years-in-prison","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"3149.69391","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:42.117Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. 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