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Recent Take-Two earnings calls and official statements confirm the polished final push, shifting focus to what could land first—such as major music drops, AI model launches, or geopolitical shifts—before the Vice City return. Traders weigh streaming surges, album cycles, and tech announcements against the game's marketing ramp-up, with historical precedent showing how last-minute releases or viral moments can reorder priorities. Key catalysts ahead include summer chart updates, potential trailer drops, and industry events that could sway implied probabilities in this high-volume entertainment market.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-24T17:45:55.359Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9996001599360256,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.04,"oneHourPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.02,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.135,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.205,"lastTradePrice":0.53,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.53,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"13734.2644","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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Recent Take-Two earnings calls and official statements confirm the polished final push, shifting focus to what could land first—such as major music drops, AI model launches, or geopolitical shifts—before the Vice City return. Traders weigh streaming surges, album cycles, and tech announcements against the game's marketing ramp-up, with historical precedent showing how last-minute releases or viral moments can reorder priorities. Key catalysts ahead include summer chart updates, potential trailer drops, and industry events that could sway implied probabilities in this high-volume entertainment market.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-24T17:45:55.359Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9991008092716555,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"384670","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.015,"oneYearPriceChange":0.055,"lastTradePrice":0.52,"bestBid":0.52,"bestAsk":0.54,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"410075.0543","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]","volume":"11464360.485480802","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:08:16.157823Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-24T17:43:39.664899Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Jesus Christ returns","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x9e84e9020884d3e603df981dc049bed477b64acfc623a739a7c51fed8de6cc5c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":11464360.485480802,"liquidityNum":410075.0543,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5182.563092000001,"volume1wk":84959.6681859998,"volume1mo":335716.6840110014,"volume1yr":11006449.930269908,"clobTokenIds":"[\"90435811253665578014957380826505992530054077692143838383981805324273750424057\", \"92388629082681805622801622703528982922543286352927708208755887536971583436902\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5182.563092000001,"volume1wkClob":84959.6681859998,"volume1moClob":335716.6840110014,"volume1yrClob":11006449.930269908,"volumeClob":11464360.485480802,"liquidityClob":410075.0543,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":760466.04988,"volume":22239015.676177386,"openInterest":766924.471202,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-24T17:45:55.736067Z","competitive":1,"volume24hr":17252.413043000004,"volume1wk":267703.87985999987,"volume1mo":777726.2085850015,"volume1yr":19298055.790132783,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":760466.04988,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":874,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Rockstar Games' latest delay of Grand Theft Auto VI to November 19, 2026, has extended the window for competing cultural milestones, fueling active trading on Polymarket's multi-outcome market. Recent Take-Two earnings calls and official statements confirm the polished final push, shifting focus to what could land first—such as major music drops, AI model launches, or geopolitical shifts—before the Vice City return. Traders weigh streaming surges, album cycles, and tech announcements against the game's marketing ramp-up, with historical precedent showing how last-minute releases or viral moments can reorder priorities. Key catalysts ahead include summer chart updates, potential trailer drops, and industry events that could sway implied probabilities in this high-volume entertainment market.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-24T17:45:55.359Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9997750506136119,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.36,"lastTradePrice":0.48,"bestBid":0.48,"bestAsk":0.49,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.72195Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540820","question":"Trump out as President before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","slug":"trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"42751.2294","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.107Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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Recent Take-Two earnings calls and official statements confirm the polished final push, shifting focus to what could land first—such as major music drops, AI model launches, or geopolitical shifts—before the Vice City return. Traders weigh streaming surges, album cycles, and tech announcements against the game's marketing ramp-up, with historical precedent showing how last-minute releases or viral moments can reorder priorities. Key catalysts ahead include summer chart updates, potential trailer drops, and industry events that could sway implied probabilities in this high-volume entertainment market.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-24T17:45:55.359Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"350879","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.02,"oneYearPriceChange":0.36,"lastTradePrice":0.5,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.726154Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540843","question":"Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","slug":"will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716-644","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"45029.4239","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.6Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. 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Recent Take-Two earnings calls and official statements confirm the polished final push, shifting focus to what could land first—such as major music drops, AI model launches, or geopolitical shifts—before the Vice City return. Traders weigh streaming surges, album cycles, and tech announcements against the game's marketing ramp-up, with historical precedent showing how last-minute releases or viral moments can reorder priorities. 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Recent Take-Two earnings calls and official statements confirm the polished final push, shifting focus to what could land first—such as major music drops, AI model launches, or geopolitical shifts—before the Vice City return. Traders weigh streaming surges, album cycles, and tech announcements against the game's marketing ramp-up, with historical precedent showing how last-minute releases or viral moments can reorder priorities. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]","volume":"14880207.142204026","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:35.469183Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-24T17:44:27.341939Z","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xd8d82bd063da64aea9f8a0c10f7e0b1510d15cefb2468bccc94c0572336095a2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":14880207.142204026,"liquidityNum":48913.45732,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":90375.77092499999,"volume1wk":523689.783482,"volume1mo":1129929.7011980002,"volume1yr":14858261.321161984,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8441400852834915183759801017793514978104486628517653995211751018945988243154\", \"109289569086508934142323222102974769075074494425163878721602922903101062859033\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":90375.77092499999,"volume1wkClob":523689.783482,"volume1moClob":1129929.7011980002,"volume1yrClob":14858261.321161984,"volumeClob":14880207.142204026,"liquidityClob":48913.45732,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23792","ticker":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","title":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Recent earnings calls confirm the date as firm, with forward guidance projecting over $8 billion in net bookings for fiscal 2027 explicitly tied to the release, creating strong disincentives for further slips. This timeline places the title well after the June 2026 threshold, driving the market's overwhelming \"No\" consensus. 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