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GTA VI remains locked for November 19, 2026 release on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, following Rockstar's November 2025 delay from May and Take-Two's recent reaffirmation amid no further slippage signals from insiders calling it the \"final stretch.\" Marketing ramps up this summer, potentially with Trailer 2, heightening anticipation. 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GTA VI remains locked for November 19, 2026 release on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, following Rockstar's November 2025 delay from May and Take-Two's recent reaffirmation amid no further slippage signals from insiders calling it the \"final stretch.\" Marketing ramps up this summer, potentially with Trailer 2, heightening anticipation. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. 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GTA VI remains locked for November 19, 2026 release on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, following Rockstar's November 2025 delay from May and Take-Two's recent reaffirmation amid no further slippage signals from insiders calling it the \"final stretch.\" Marketing ramps up this summer, potentially with Trailer 2, heightening anticipation. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.486\", \"0.514\"]","volume":"3855746.482125576","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:24:45.04244Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-04T17:23:13.489347Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Bitcoin hits $1m","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x7e4ff7b7fdfe7d1fbc6c0e2a7626ae4fc8d62f3848a5e601d511a51bdfa51f09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":3855746.482125576,"liquidityNum":408689.78572,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":7152.158382000002,"volume1wk":57688.07427400031,"volume1mo":450493.50986299553,"volume1yr":3855746.482125735,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105267568073659068217311993901927962476298440625043565106676088842803600775810\", \"91863162118308663069733924043159186005106558783397508844234610341221325526200\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":7152.158382000002,"volume1wkClob":57688.07427400031,"volume1moClob":450493.50986299553,"volume1yrClob":3855746.482125735,"volumeClob":3855746.482125576,"liquidityClob":408689.78572,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1732571.06697,"volume":19624836.369737625,"openInterest":999036.9386919999,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-04T17:24:38.445531Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":359691.20280600025,"volume1wk":508356.54809100035,"volume1mo":1774209.077002995,"volume1yr":19624836.369738854,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1732571.06697,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":796,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Drake releasing his long-teased Iceman album before GTA VI, with an 87% implied probability, fueled by Drake's March 29 confirmation that the project is \"coming soon\" while undergoing final tweaks—his latest in a year-long rollout. GTA VI remains locked for November 19, 2026 release on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, following Rockstar's November 2025 delay from May and Take-Two's recent reaffirmation amid no further slippage signals from insiders calling it the \"final stretch.\" Marketing ramps up this summer, potentially with Trailer 2, heightening anticipation. Close challengers like new Playboi Carti or Rihanna albums (both 61%) and GPT-6 release (57%) depend on swift drops amid GTA's firm timeline.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-04T17:16:34.550Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9998040384084719,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.006,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.003,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.002,"lastTradePrice":0.483,"bestBid":0.483,"bestAsk":0.489,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"540881","question":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","conditionId":"0xcccb7e7613a087c132b69cbf3a02bece3fdcb824c1da54ae79acc8d4a562d902","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"74070.44567","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:26.233Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]","volume":"13158805.372225974","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:35.469183Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-04T17:23:02.086867Z","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xd8d82bd063da64aea9f8a0c10f7e0b1510d15cefb2468bccc94c0572336095a2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":13158805.372225974,"liquidityNum":74070.44567,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":67622.797227,"volume1wk":224658.9890680001,"volume1mo":3728112.657726012,"volume1yr":13158805.372225977,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8441400852834915183759801017793514978104486628517653995211751018945988243154\", \"109289569086508934142323222102974769075074494425163878721602922903101062859033\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":67622.797227,"volume1wkClob":224658.9890680001,"volume1moClob":3728112.657726012,"volume1yrClob":13158805.372225977,"volumeClob":13158805.372225974,"liquidityClob":74070.44567,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23792","ticker":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","title":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269386Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269383Z","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":75179.33022,"volume":13158805.372225974,"openInterest":184244.652255,"createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:34.884115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-04T17:24:38.275318Z","competitive":0.8092511978435074,"volume24hr":67836.587227,"volume1wk":224663.9890680001,"volume1mo":3728238.872089012,"volume1yr":13158805.372225977,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":75179.33022,"commentCount":24,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors \"No\" at 98.6% implied probability for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, driven by Rockstar Games' official announcement setting the launch for November 19, 2026 on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S—firmly after the market deadline. This follows multiple delays from an initial Fall 2025 target, first to May 2026 and then November, as reaffirmed in Take-Two Interactive's February 2026 earnings call, with no subsequent updates signaling acceleration. Recent fiscal year kickoff highlights marketing ramp-up planned for summer 2026, underscoring steady progress toward the late-year debut amid GTA's history of polished, large-scale launches. Realistic upsets like a surprise early digital drop remain improbable given development scale and radio silence on Trailer 3, though last-minute platform optimizations could theoretically shift timelines.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-04T16:01:12.999Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T17:00:01Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8092511978435074,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"91133","conditionId":"0xcccb7e7613a087c132b69cbf3a02bece3fdcb824c1da54ae79acc8d4a562d902","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.008,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.007,"lastTradePrice":0.014,"bestBid":0.014,"bestAsk":0.015,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T16:59:24.952285Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"544092","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-no-prison-time","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"3100.02079","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.286\", \"0.714\"]","volume":"304502.0302920004","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-12T22:26:22.665665Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-04T17:24:08.826735Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"No Prison Time","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":304502.0302920004,"liquidityNum":3100.02079,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3979.157276999999,"volume1wk":12095.193505,"volume1mo":256771.9939610001,"volume1yr":304502.030292,"clobTokenIds":"[\"24327803960645909378149041810697343640752122608192367041827900158592826352552\", \"86488478623677188352872801318507143761188967461168408688159600382919967378486\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3979.157276999999,"volume1wkClob":12095.193505,"volume1moClob":256771.9939610001,"volume1yrClob":304502.030292,"volumeClob":304502.0302920004,"liquidityClob":3100.02079,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","negRiskRequestID":"0x568eb63b725b4f413c514498165e6383f25612ac8a278bee67fd629cef2ce519","events":[{"id":"24383","ticker":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","slug":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","title":"Harvey Weinstein prison time?","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091151Z","creationDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091148Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":27303.85403,"volume":737725.5042470009,"openInterest":38221.39731,"createdAt":"2025-05-12T22:26:22.013988Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-04T17:24:27.608023Z","competitive":0.9562094328148129,"volume24hr":22405.851526000002,"volume1wk":53912.461811,"volume1mo":412997.24592200003,"volume1yr":737725.504247,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":27303.85403,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","commentCount":12,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:46:49.174275Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time edging out at 29.1% implied probability amid his deteriorating health at age 73—detailed in a March 10 Rikers Island interview where he described conditions as \"hell\"—and ongoing appeals challenging his 16-year California rape conviction from 2022. The 21.8% on 20-30 years reflects potential stacking from his upheld 2025 New York criminal sex act conviction, while lower brackets account for time served nearing six years. Key differentiators include the April 14 start of his third New York rape retrial, possible plea resolutions floated in January, and unresolved California appeal outcomes, all fueling uncertainty in this high-stakes #MeToo legacy case as traders weigh judicial precedents favoring retrials over finality.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-04T17:19:13.035Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:50:14Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9562094328148129,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"103363","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.008,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.074,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0055,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0275,"lastTradePrice":0.3,"bestBid":0.282,"bestAsk":0.29,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:47:20.560458Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null},{"id":"544093","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?","conditionId":"0xe2b48e3b44de9658ee9c8b37354301763e33c0b502fd966839d644b4c0a9dea8","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-less-than-5-years-in-prison","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"6564.00888","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:42.117Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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