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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. 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GPT-6's 66% odds reflect OpenAI's rapid AI roadmap, while meme bets like Jesus Christ's return (49%) and Bitcoin hitting $1 million (49%) draw massive volume amid geopolitical and crypto volatility. Take-Two Interactive's May 21 earnings call looms as the key catalyst, potentially reaffirming or slipping the date further, heightening uncertainty in this high-stakes $21 million volume market.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-01T22:16:13.919Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:37Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9936406995230525,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.055,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.035,"lastTradePrice":0.59,"bestBid":0.57,"bestAsk":0.59,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.719613Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540817","question":"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be","slug":"new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"21803.0577","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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GPT-6's 66% odds reflect OpenAI's rapid AI roadmap, while meme bets like Jesus Christ's return (49%) and Bitcoin hitting $1 million (49%) draw massive volume amid geopolitical and crypto volatility. Take-Two Interactive's May 21 earnings call looms as the key catalyst, potentially reaffirming or slipping the date further, heightening uncertainty in this high-stakes $21 million volume market.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-01T22:16:13.919Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999000099990001,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.145,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.065,"lastTradePrice":0.52,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.52,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"18221.5384","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. 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If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]","volume":"732036.3264399477","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:06:24.136443Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-01T22:17:35.956166Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Playboi Carti Album ","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x6ec4702f0a5bb188f0dd498647641f2aa13a871953a7f15fa3413939ad68144c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":732036.3264399477,"liquidityNum":18221.5384,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":89.71216199999999,"volume1wk":2537.668635000002,"volume1mo":18976.471665000015,"volume1yr":732036.3264400011,"clobTokenIds":"[\"88275040060084773376557187972215267513049848642895776801789297917961077894224\", \"94376205816022955542979635542279932967359915765455578534002478996104754801969\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":89.71216199999999,"volume1wkClob":2537.668635000002,"volume1moClob":18976.471665000015,"volume1yrClob":732036.3264400011,"volumeClob":732036.3264399477,"liquidityClob":18221.5384,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":511503.06291,"volume":21526830.35033956,"openInterest":727363.1385639999,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-01T22:17:58.922832Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":21112.574238,"volume1wk":173007.69513900013,"volume1mo":1699819.626450021,"volume1yr":21526830.350340642,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":511503.06291,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":823,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to Drake releasing his Iceman album before GTA VI's November 19, 2026 console launch, driven by the rapper's post-Kendrick Lamar feud momentum—including recent singles like \"What Did I Miss?\" and \"Dog House\"—contrasting Rockstar Games' protracted silence since the 2023 trailer debut and repeated delays from 2025 targets. GPT-6's 66% odds reflect OpenAI's rapid AI roadmap, while meme bets like Jesus Christ's return (49%) and Bitcoin hitting $1 million (49%) draw massive volume amid geopolitical and crypto volatility. Take-Two Interactive's May 21 earnings call looms as the key catalyst, potentially reaffirming or slipping the date further, heightening uncertainty in this high-stakes $21 million volume market.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-01T22:16:13.919Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9996001599360256,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.005,"oneHourPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.095,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.53,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"184135.4648","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. 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GPT-6's 66% odds reflect OpenAI's rapid AI roadmap, while meme bets like Jesus Christ's return (49%) and Bitcoin hitting $1 million (49%) draw massive volume amid geopolitical and crypto volatility. 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GPT-6's 66% odds reflect OpenAI's rapid AI roadmap, while meme bets like Jesus Christ's return (49%) and Bitcoin hitting $1 million (49%) draw massive volume amid geopolitical and crypto volatility. Take-Two Interactive's May 21 earnings call looms as the key catalyst, potentially reaffirming or slipping the date further, heightening uncertainty in this high-stakes $21 million volume market.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-01T22:16:13.919Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9998677674877497,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0075,"lastTradePrice":0.489,"bestBid":0.488,"bestAsk":0.489,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"540881","question":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","conditionId":"0xcccb7e7613a087c132b69cbf3a02bece3fdcb824c1da54ae79acc8d4a562d902","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"60089.29098","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:26.233Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]","volume":"13926505.914118033","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:35.469183Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-01T22:17:43.439477Z","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xd8d82bd063da64aea9f8a0c10f7e0b1510d15cefb2468bccc94c0572336095a2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":13926505.914118033,"liquidityNum":60089.29098,"endDateIso":"2026-05-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":12643.097181999998,"volume1wk":174490.68711699988,"volume1mo":891670.0047969999,"volume1yr":13926505.914117983,"clobTokenIds":"[\"8441400852834915183759801017793514978104486628517653995211751018945988243154\", \"109289569086508934142323222102974769075074494425163878721602922903101062859033\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":12643.097181999998,"volume1wkClob":174490.68711699988,"volume1moClob":891670.0047969999,"volume1yrClob":13926505.914117983,"volumeClob":13926505.914118033,"liquidityClob":60089.29098,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"23792","ticker":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","slug":"gta-vi-released-before-june-2026","title":"GTA VI released before June 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269386Z","creationDate":"2025-05-02T17:00:29.269383Z","endDate":"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026-igCgZsDMejF1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":60089.29098,"volume":13926505.914118033,"openInterest":220276.826145,"createdAt":"2025-05-02T16:53:34.884115Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-01T22:17:56.562137Z","competitive":0.806067918073675,"volume24hr":14722.027181999998,"volume1wk":174490.68711699988,"volume1mo":891670.0047969999,"volume1yr":13926505.914117983,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":60089.29098,"commentCount":29,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 99.1% that Grand Theft Auto VI will not release before June 2026, anchored by Rockstar Games' official announcement of a November 19, 2026 launch date—following prior delays from fall 2025 to May 2026 amid demands for additional polish on its massive open-world Vice City. Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick recently reaffirmed this timeline during the Interactive Innovation Conference, quipping about mass absenteeism on release day, while marketing ramps up this summer ahead of PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S drops. With Trailer 2 dropped last year and no acceleration signals, historical Rockstar patterns favor quality over haste; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented early-ship announcement, improbable given development scale and upcoming Take-Two earnings calls.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-01T22:01:12.995Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T17:00:01Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.806067918073675,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.002,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.008,"lastTradePrice":0.01,"bestBid":0.009,"bestAsk":0.01,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T16:59:24.952285Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"544092","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-no-prison-time","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"1382.97075","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.3435\", \"0.6565\"]","volume":"325943.5382410014","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-12T22:26:22.665665Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-01T22:17:32.269737Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"No Prison Time","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":325943.5382410014,"liquidityNum":1382.97075,"endDateIso":"2025-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":850.2457150000002,"volume1wk":3651.0835030000003,"volume1mo":30989.329540999977,"volume1yr":325943.5382409998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"24327803960645909378149041810697343640752122608192367041827900158592826352552\", \"86488478623677188352872801318507143761188967461168408688159600382919967378486\"]","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":850.2457150000002,"volume1wkClob":3651.0835030000003,"volume1moClob":30989.329540999977,"volume1yrClob":325943.5382409998,"volumeClob":325943.5382410014,"liquidityClob":1382.97075,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","negRiskRequestID":"0x568eb63b725b4f413c514498165e6383f25612ac8a278bee67fd629cef2ce519","events":[{"id":"24383","ticker":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","slug":"harvey-weinstein-prison-time","title":"Harvey Weinstein prison time?","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091151Z","creationDate":"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091148Z","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":7915.04174,"volume":897230.5725610014,"openInterest":47309.314023,"createdAt":"2025-05-12T22:26:22.013988Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-01T22:17:57.034472Z","competitive":0.9760932793781505,"volume24hr":3533.3899309999997,"volume1wk":25568.033032999992,"volume1mo":199206.37923300016,"volume1yr":897230.5725609999,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":7915.04174,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400","commentCount":14,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:46:49.174275Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, where defense attorneys recently grilled key accuser Jessica Mann on a 2013 note acknowledging their prior consensual relationship, bolstering acquittal hopes and elevating No Prison Time to a 34% implied probability. This edges out 20-30 years at 25%, driven by a pending sentence—up to 25 years—on his upheld 2025 New York sex crime conviction, potentially stacking with his 16-year California rape term under appeal, where a skeptical panel heard arguments last week. Key differentiators include Weinstein's frail health claims from recent prison interviews and historical appeal successes, versus prosecutors' #MeToo momentum; watch for retrial verdict in coming weeks and appellate rulings that could tip the scales.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-05-01T22:03:04.630Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:50:14Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9760932793781505,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"103363","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.081,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.058,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0695,"lastTradePrice":0.303,"bestBid":0.303,"bestAsk":0.384,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-12T22:47:20.560458Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25}},{"id":"544093","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?","conditionId":"0xe2b48e3b44de9658ee9c8b37354301763e33c0b502fd966839d644b4c0a9dea8","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-less-than-5-years-in-prison","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"2107.54908","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:42.117Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. 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