[{"id":"678783","question":"Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?","conditionId":"0xa9433e26ddb6e037fd5c7c7451f77829740822fa12e2bdf82406624661434ba0","slug":"will-the-us-strike-14-countries-in-2026","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"14100.19138","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:18:47.318166Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-pops-off-iosplqP2axN2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-pops-off-iosplqP2axN2.png","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]","volume":"154179.75875100002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-12T18:51:18.097525Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:02.47067Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"14","groupItemThreshold":"14","questionID":"0xbc09193293f1f169344a6f6b5d81f6513511a6d231d8b38bf6b8eaf08435730e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"disputed","volumeNum":154179.75875100002,"liquidityNum":14100.19138,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"43662629442676959677405804059038142071301669726653435926232668919830294739811\", 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embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source 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Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.1575\", \"0.8425\"]","volume":"183123.760743","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-15T17:33:24.5514Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:02.47067Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Max Martin","groupItemThreshold":"10","questionID":"0x9cb52a4d20d31ff6f71ab91173536154e678d95afb999227986a5f99db8bfb5f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"disputed","volumeNum":183123.760743,"liquidityNum":1039.8569,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-16","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":455.4,"volume1wk":620.8700000000001,"volume1mo":1729.8467349999999,"volume1yr":183123.76074300002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"92475931596782945146254699011735173472915347020881266584722910703960042383470\", \"84757069138724396818581274701074784361163393091931604367444695649588726494517\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":455.4,"volume1wkClob":620.8700000000001,"volume1moClob":1729.8467349999999,"volume1yrClob":183123.76074300002,"volumeClob":183123.760743,"liquidityClob":1039.8569,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"106016","ticker":"who-will-attend-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelces-wedding","slug":"who-will-attend-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelces-wedding","title":"Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?","description":"This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.\n\nIf no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nthe resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nSuch a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market.\n\nIf capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a \"Yes\" resolution for this market.\n\nIf the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of when it takes effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]","volume":"33921.94717199999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-30T21:41:24.728779Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:04:02.313154Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x872bc572bdcc177bcb2acf724b802f3925b28a2691f9454e8e6ea6cd6429426f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"disputed","volumeNum":33921.94717199999,"liquidityNum":722.66075,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-12-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"38577956202894813911522423295759441226459985692799781876715891336671282746369\", \"31239779091556707685216681559343622450417987997527657281659332570836878668226\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":33921.94717199999,"liquidityClob":722.66075,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"25487","ticker":"trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025","slug":"trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025","title":"Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nSuch a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market.\n\nIf capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a \"Yes\" resolution for this market.\n\nIf the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of when it takes effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-05-29T21:52:33.385047Z","creationDate":"2025-05-29T21:52:33.385045Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025-_d4c7AqsRTXO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025-_d4c7AqsRTXO.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":722.66075,"volume":118182.34128499999,"openInterest":7391.929933,"createdAt":"2025-05-29T21:34:25.737735Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:06:14.629206Z","competitive":0.8215873725307192,"volume1wk":2762.894748,"volume1mo":10046.666829,"volume1yr":84260.39411300003,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":722.66075,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":19,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-30T21:42:17Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8215873725307192,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"96122","conditionId":"0x3e685c84773bd018fff4219185b904b2ef194671320f47648121d07d2ae2cc17","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-07","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.014,"oneDayPriceChange":0.003,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0055,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0155,"lastTradePrice":0.023,"bestBid":0.027,"bestAsk":0.041,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-30T21:41:47.647372Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"zero_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","version":"v1"},{"id":"1176221","question":"U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with \"Taiwan\" before 2027?","conditionId":"0x42520d88b4fa9d58ea74d3579b14398e76873a88c09bbfc9e0e801694a547d5c","slug":"us-agrees-to-a-new-trade-deal-with-taiwan-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"4586.11547","startDate":"2026-01-13T17:10:23.510568Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-agrees-to-a-new-trade-deal-with-taiwan-before-2027-ud6qEBw5Jrym.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-agrees-to-a-new-trade-deal-with-taiwan-before-2027-ud6qEBw5Jrym.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.099\", \"0.901\"]","volume":"35219.796944","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-13T17:01:45.148635Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:02.47067Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Taiwan","groupItemThreshold":"16","questionID":"0x3fe0ace604335021d277e3c1fb8c30264d8971a254074c7deb3d553eaa103952","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"disputed","volumeNum":35219.796944,"liquidityNum":4586.11547,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-01-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5,"volume1wk":5,"volume1mo":38.7,"volume1yr":35219.796944,"clobTokenIds":"[\"103294174795653683118239356510534457955953974065821669749578173376102346574561\", \"38901095313057624359602187430190064793204555828316254995892773786986630299396\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5,"volume1wkClob":5,"volume1moClob":38.7,"volume1yrClob":35219.796944,"volumeClob":35219.796944,"liquidityClob":4586.11547,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"73951","ticker":"which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921","slug":"which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921","title":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-11-05T22:03:17.622116Z","creationDate":"2025-11-05T22:15:00.659274Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-new-trade-deals-with-in-2025-6zSB5DZvDr7T.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-new-trade-deals-with-in-2025-6zSB5DZvDr7T.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":132539.95717,"volume":404520.358258,"openInterest":55958.179191,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-11-05T18:55:26.932155Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:15.189804Z","competitive":0.8908685968819599,"volume24hr":424.87573399999997,"volume1wk":641.39372,"volume1mo":3685.085873,"volume1yr":119695.464942,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":132539.95717,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10542","ticker":"trump-trade-deal-countries","slug":"trump-trade-deal-countries","title":"Trump Trade Deal Countries","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-11-05T19:57:26.293847Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:30.689414Z","volume24hr":424.87573399999997,"volume":404520.358258,"liquidity":132539.95717,"commentCount":117}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"trump-trade-deal-countries","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-13T17:10:01Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8614741027962588,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.068,"oneDayPriceChange":0.001,"oneHourPriceChange":0.009,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0005,"lastTradePrice":0.093,"bestBid":0.065,"bestAsk":0.133,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-13T17:03:05.183676Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"zero_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","version":"v1"},{"id":"1192824","question":"Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?","conditionId":"0xf6ff23d1b778198b1a08aad06da1d98f1af8be5da343b84e1b4d7f4d1300cdef","slug":"will-chinas-2026-annual-gdp-growth-yy-be-between-8pt0-and-9pt0","resolutionSource":"https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/","endDate":"2027-01-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"21106.92666","startDate":"2026-01-21T23:24:03.403984Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.\n\nThe relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]","volume":"54862.42872199999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-15T17:13:38.255562Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:02.47067Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"8.0–9.0%","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0x8c16c7e09312f321b8de1c5076195b34acdb49fe4354126c69be2788e677bc08","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"disputed","volumeNum":54862.42872199999,"liquidityNum":21106.92666,"endDateIso":"2027-01-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"44374519103990823389532841408337756038807636307068026545895725947471626576647\", \"70850271678356411827371233638536863038030128468348235759280449744641616446804\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":54862.42872199999,"liquidityClob":21106.92666,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x8c16c7e09312f321b8de1c5076195b34acdb49fe4354126c69be2788e677bc00","negRiskRequestID":"0x7c3b022d8367c763b49113ef757bdeed3b75c16a0d877c23a19048adc9b12d2c","events":[{"id":"166383","ticker":"china-annual-gdp-growth-2026","slug":"china-annual-gdp-growth-2026","title":"China Annual GDP Growth 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.\n\nThe relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-01-21T23:23:59.733753Z","creationDate":"2026-01-21T23:27:03.066727Z","endDate":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":123302.39803,"volume":943930.146171,"openInterest":95438.23850899999,"createdAt":"2026-01-15T17:13:33.2725Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:15.189804Z","competitive":0.8234729312095417,"volume24hr":309.98,"volume1wk":349.36,"volume1mo":4201.89,"volume1yr":168060.791789,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":123302.39803,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x8c16c7e09312f321b8de1c5076195b34acdb49fe4354126c69be2788e677bc00","commentCount":17,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-21T23:13:53.108303Z","eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-21T23:23:42Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8015991903848178,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.003,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0035,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestBid":0.001,"bestAsk":0.004,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-21T23:18:52.688528Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"zero_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","version":"v1"},{"id":"1192826","question":"Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?","conditionId":"0x827e8d5590195f18458406b7a5a38bf53234eff69cbb5a33fe4a4deee63162e0","slug":"will-chinas-2026-annual-gdp-growth-yy-be-9-or-higher","resolutionSource":"https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/","endDate":"2027-01-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"3797.07715","startDate":"2026-01-21T23:24:03.911197Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.\n\nThe relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]","volume":"117669.01344399998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-15T17:13:39.25962Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:02.47067Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"9.0%+","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x8c16c7e09312f321b8de1c5076195b34acdb49fe4354126c69be2788e677bc09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"disputed","volumeNum":117669.01344399998,"liquidityNum":3797.07715,"endDateIso":"2027-01-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"48253710483127123230190092543597986957305420770673760579556149009536587476784\", \"37851204105631987539279544661891487452263587639205363954184366804755029585067\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":117669.01344399998,"liquidityClob":3797.07715,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x8c16c7e09312f321b8de1c5076195b34acdb49fe4354126c69be2788e677bc00","negRiskRequestID":"0x5621bbd947037c8331f62c5014aa7b3f15d3bf7a3a228932173657c1e7db96a3","events":[{"id":"166383","ticker":"china-annual-gdp-growth-2026","slug":"china-annual-gdp-growth-2026","title":"China Annual GDP Growth 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.\n\nThe relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-01-21T23:23:59.733753Z","creationDate":"2026-01-21T23:27:03.066727Z","endDate":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":123302.39803,"volume":943930.146171,"openInterest":95438.23850899999,"createdAt":"2026-01-15T17:13:33.2725Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-28T04:34:15.189804Z","competitive":0.8234729312095417,"volume24hr":309.98,"volume1wk":349.36,"volume1mo":4201.89,"volume1yr":168060.791789,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":123302.39803,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x8c16c7e09312f321b8de1c5076195b34acdb49fe4354126c69be2788e677bc00","commentCount":17,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-21T23:13:53.108303Z","eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-21T23:23:42Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8015991903848178,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.003,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.007,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestBid":0.001,"bestAsk":0.004,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-21T23:18:52.689769Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"zero_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","version":"v1"},{"id":"1281165","question":"Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?","conditionId":"0x81b62acedd2d998cc342ac5502d737c892664934a88520a534a122db4a256635","slug":"will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-34-house-seat","resolutionSource":"https://www.fec.gov/","endDate":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"16777.12766","startDate":"2026-01-28T06:29:55.893622Z","description":"This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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