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These factors have kept trader consensus tightly clustered, reflecting the even early-game dynamics between the two clubs.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-31T18:28:09.483Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"20260801C4221877","opticOddsGameId":"14818-36174-2026-08-01-16","opticOddsNumericalId":594205},"version":"v1"},{"id":"777447","ticker":"mlb-nyy-chc-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","slug":"mlb-nyy-chc-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","title":"New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs - First 5 Innings Winner","description":"In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 1 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to \"New York Yankees\" if the New York Yankees is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to \"Chicago Cubs\" if the Chicago Cubs is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to \"Draw\". 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However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.","resolutionSource":"https://www.mlb.com/scores","startDate":"2026-07-31T18:05:58Z","creationDate":"2026-07-31T18:08:02.446403Z","endDate":"2026-08-01T23:15:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/MLB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/MLB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":4783.8204,"createdAt":"2026-07-31T18:05:43.091207Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9957927755234136,"parentEventId":761278,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":4783.8204,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xa929b6b1c4dfb2058a087c90059e11cb84392959bc80dcde5fe364bb7477ad00","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"1","label":"Sports","slug":"sports","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:47:16.461062Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100639","label":"Games","slug":"games","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-09-23T22:41:37.670714Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.358133Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100381","label":"MLB","slug":"mlb","createdAt":"2024-08-27T16:42:20.841409Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:23:34.251722Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"678","label":"baseball","slug":"baseball","publishedAt":"2023-12-08 16:24:40.695+00","createdAt":"2023-12-08T16:24:40.771Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:56.084941Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-08-01","startTime":"2026-08-01T23:15:00Z","eventWeek":19,"seriesSlug":"mlb","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-31T18:05:43.467989Z","gameId":10078949,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Both teams enter this interleague matchup with nearly identical records around .560, reflecting comparable overall strength and recent form. The Yankees arrive with key lineup absences on the injured list, while the Cubs benefit from home-field advantage at Wrigley Field and a slightly stronger recent offensive stretch. Starting pitching sets up evenly for the first five innings, with Shota Imanaga’s control facing Will Warren’s strikeout potential in a low-scoring environment typical of early-game dynamics. These balanced elements—roster depth, situational factors, and historical interleague trends—support the tight trader consensus across the three outcomes.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-31T18:28:06.261Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"20260801C86A8E87","opticOddsGameId":"40548-54558-2026-08-01-16","opticOddsNumericalId":594198},"version":"v1"},{"id":"777448","ticker":"mlb-ari-cle-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","slug":"mlb-ari-cle-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","title":"Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians - First 5 Innings Winner","description":"In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 1 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to \"Arizona Diamondbacks\" if the Arizona Diamondbacks is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to \"Cleveland Guardians\" if the Cleveland Guardians is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to \"Draw\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. 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The Diamondbacks continue to manage multiple starting-pitcher absences, including elbow and glute issues for key arms, which has forced reliance on a patchwork rotation and taxed the bullpen early. The Guardians face comparable roster depth questions after recent calf and long-term elbow placements, limiting their ability to dominate early frames on the road or at home. Recent series results show inconsistent run support and bullpen usage for each club, with neither side holding a clear edge in home/away splits or head-to-head history over the past month. These overlapping roster and form challenges sustain trader consensus that the opening five innings remain highly competitive.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-31T18:28:07.811Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"202608011A5556B7","opticOddsGameId":"14412-81005-2026-08-01-16","opticOddsNumericalId":594196},"version":"v1"},{"id":"777449","ticker":"mlb-kc-col-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","slug":"mlb-kc-col-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","title":"Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies - First 5 Innings Winner","description":"In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for August 1 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to \"Kansas City Royals\" if the Kansas City Royals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to \"Colorado Rockies\" if the Colorado Rockies is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to \"Draw\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. 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The Royals (46-64) carry a modest recent edge with a 6-4 mark over their last 10 games and starter Michael Wacha posting a 3.60 ERA, yet significant absences—including Bobby Witt Jr. (back) and Vinnie Pasquantino (wrist)—limit lineup depth. The Rockies (42-67) counter with Tomoyuki Sugano’s 10-4 record despite a higher 4.69 ERA, while their own lengthy injured list hampers rotation stability. High-altitude conditions at the venue typically elevate scoring early, and both bullpens have shown vulnerability, leaving traders viewing any first-five outcome as equally plausible.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-31T18:28:06.405Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"20260802FCB8AE9D","opticOddsGameId":"16196-35183-2026-08-01-17","opticOddsNumericalId":594206},"version":"v1"},{"id":"777450","ticker":"mlb-bos-lad-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","slug":"mlb-bos-lad-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","title":"Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - First 5 Innings Winner","description":"In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 1 at 9:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to \"Boston Red Sox\" if the Boston Red Sox is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to \"Los Angeles Dodgers\" if the Los Angeles Dodgers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to \"Draw\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.","resolutionSource":"https://www.mlb.com/scores","startDate":"2026-07-31T18:06:14Z","creationDate":"2026-07-31T18:08:02.661269Z","endDate":"2026-08-02T01:10:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/MLB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/MLB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":6890.9884,"createdAt":"2026-07-31T18:06:02.685107Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":1,"parentEventId":761282,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":6890.9884,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xb139749e5e6e5af68eff8663e9f9d275fd5192662d2a856c0e9dd8af60635f00","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"1","label":"Sports","slug":"sports","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:47:16.461062Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100639","label":"Games","slug":"games","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-09-23T22:41:37.670714Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.358133Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100381","label":"MLB","slug":"mlb","createdAt":"2024-08-27T16:42:20.841409Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:23:34.251722Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"678","label":"baseball","slug":"baseball","publishedAt":"2023-12-08 16:24:40.695+00","createdAt":"2023-12-08T16:24:40.771Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:56.084941Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-08-01","startTime":"2026-08-02T01:10:00Z","eventWeek":19,"seriesSlug":"mlb","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-31T18:06:03.594146Z","gameId":10078951,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The balanced 50% implied probabilities across Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles Dodgers, and draw outcomes for the first five innings stem from comparable starting pitching depth and offensive production entering the matchup. Both clubs feature lineups capable of early scoring bursts alongside starters who limit damage in the opening frames, with recent form showing limited separation in run prevention or timely hitting. Home or away factors, rest advantages, and head-to-head patterns in abbreviated segments add to the even contest, while the inherent variability of five-inning segments—where ties remain common—supports the tight trader consensus without clear edges in confirmed roster or situational details.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-31T18:28:11.434Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"20260802562A9CE5","opticOddsGameId":"39506-34048-2026-08-01-18","opticOddsNumericalId":594208},"version":"v1"},{"id":"777451","ticker":"mlb-mil-laa-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","slug":"mlb-mil-laa-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","title":"Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels - First 5 Innings Winner","description":"In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 1 at 9:38 PM ET: This market will resolve to \"Milwaukee Brewers\" if the Milwaukee Brewers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to \"Los Angeles Angels\" if the Los Angeles Angels is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to \"Draw\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.","resolutionSource":"https://www.mlb.com/scores","startDate":"2026-07-31T18:06:20Z","creationDate":"2026-07-31T18:08:02.554687Z","endDate":"2026-08-02T01:38:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/MLB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/MLB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":4739.9646,"createdAt":"2026-07-31T18:06:08.87281Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9964129135113591,"parentEventId":761283,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":4739.9646,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xa6d1a03d335502a988a008673bc9c5ed41f183dd9049003d92a20623f4abe700","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"1","label":"Sports","slug":"sports","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:47:16.461062Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100639","label":"Games","slug":"games","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-09-23T22:41:37.670714Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.358133Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100381","label":"MLB","slug":"mlb","createdAt":"2024-08-27T16:42:20.841409Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:23:34.251722Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"678","label":"baseball","slug":"baseball","publishedAt":"2023-12-08 16:24:40.695+00","createdAt":"2023-12-08T16:24:40.771Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:56.084941Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-08-01","startTime":"2026-08-02T01:38:00Z","eventWeek":19,"seriesSlug":"mlb","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-31T18:06:09.616548Z","gameId":10078952,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The Brewers enter this interleague series with a dominant 67-41 record and NL Central lead, while the Angels sit at 42-67 amid a rebuilding year. Starting pitchers for the first five innings create balanced uncertainty, with neither staff posting dominant recent form or clear edge in run prevention. Low early-game scoring trends common to MLB, combined with the road favorite's modest home/away splits and the home underdog's occasional early bursts, keep first-five run totals suppressed. Traders price the draw near 50 percent and both sides just under that mark because historical first-five data and current roster health show no decisive advantage, leaving outcomes tightly clustered around even implied probabilities.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-31T18:28:08.644Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"20260802EB55345D","opticOddsGameId":"26495-37337-2026-08-01-18","opticOddsNumericalId":594209},"version":"v1"},{"id":"777452","ticker":"mlb-det-oak-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","slug":"mlb-det-oak-2026-08-01-first-five-winner","title":"Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics - First 5 Innings Winner","description":"In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Athletics, scheduled for August 1 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to \"Detroit Tigers\" if the Detroit Tigers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to \"Athletics\" if the Athletics is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to \"Draw\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. 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2023.","resolutionSource":"https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm","startDate":"2023-02-14T00:00:00Z","creationDate":"2023-02-14T00:00:00Z","endDate":"2023-03-14T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/Inflation.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/Inflation.png","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":6597.67,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","published_at":"2023-02-14 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Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12 month period ending in March 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-03-12T15:26:34.063384Z","creationDate":"2025-03-12T15:26:34.063381Z","endDate":"2025-04-10T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/january-inflation-annual-vp5qkgK2R7Et.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/january-inflation-annual-vp5qkgK2R7Et.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":236397.176755,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2025-03-12T13:47:39.404583Z","updatedAt":"2025-04-12T00:30:53.276534Z","volume1wk":87492.173877,"volume1mo":236397.17675499996,"volume1yr":236397.17675499996,"enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x382970e59dd90277c7ba200c89d38fc7e25cd939b7075214a9fabd33518b7300","commentCount":39,"tags":[{"id":"702","label":"Inflation","slug":"inflation","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-12-11 19:05:53.075+00","createdAt":"2023-12-11T19:05:53.105Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.167106Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101249","label":"Macro Inflation","slug":"macro-inflation","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-11-13T01:35:48.569144Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:35:15.80454Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102000","label":"Macro Indicators","slug":"macro-indicators","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-26T21:57:53.430333Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:16:07.641202Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2025-04-10T16:31:46Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"us-inflation","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":12,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"}],"commentCount":35,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"35","ticker":"fomc","slug":"fomc","title":"FOMC","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powel+stern.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powel+stern.png","layout":"default","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"publishedAt":"2023-03-22 19:17:35.835+00","createdBy":"15","updatedBy":"15","createdAt":"2023-02-03T22:02:38.864Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:28.503307Z","commentsEnabled":false,"competitive":"0","volume24hr":1122662.5996239996,"volume":10598600.616936998,"liquidity":2880762.20407,"startDate":"2021-01-01T17:00:00Z","events":[{"id":"35090","ticker":"fed-decision-in-december","slug":"fed-decision-in-december","title":"Fed decision in December?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2025 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 9 - 10, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-07-31T19:48:22.854077Z","creationDate":"2025-07-31T19:48:22.854073Z","endDate":"2025-12-10T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":393905949.377453,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2025-07-31T19:28:07.156399Z","updatedAt":"2026-05-14T01:38:49.096291Z","volume1wk":143233654.1934507,"volume1mo":321198664.08063287,"volume1yr":393905949.3774577,"enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x8d9540f4caef531e7065998ff291ba9038588cfe647d8f4822f892112df86f00","commentCount":1893,"tags":[{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100196","label":"Fed Rates","slug":"fed-rates","forceShow":true,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101800","label":"Economic Policy","slug":"economic-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100328","label":"Economy","slug":"economy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101550","label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell","createdAt":"2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"159","label":"Fed","slug":"fed","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100478","label":"fomc","slug":"fomc","createdAt":"2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2025-12-10T22:18:48Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fed-interest-rates","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":5,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-31T19:44:10.019969Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"},{"id":"45883","ticker":"fed-decision-in-january","slug":"fed-decision-in-january","title":"Fed decision in January?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 27 - 28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-09-17T19:05:35.801589Z","creationDate":"2025-09-17T19:05:35.801585Z","endDate":"2026-01-28T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":659499548.531115,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2025-09-17T16:22:33.947135Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-10T09:38:14.368221Z","volume1wk":207826133.82839143,"volume1mo":581627249.1208935,"volume1yr":659499548.5311205,"enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x0d97e25f1830a3f18d5b4d43e6e1648d3b8b781e3c254a0b9d2c07a62f505100","commentCount":1369,"tags":[{"id":"100196","label":"Fed Rates","slug":"fed-rates","forceShow":true,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100328","label":"Economy","slug":"economy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101800","label":"Economic Policy","slug":"economic-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101550","label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell","createdAt":"2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"159","label":"Fed","slug":"fed","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"120","label":"Finance","slug":"finance","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:17:43.066649Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100478","label":"fomc","slug":"fomc","createdAt":"2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-01-28T23:04:04Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fed-interest-rates","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-17T18:52:00.781802Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"},{"id":"67284","ticker":"fed-decision-in-march-885","slug":"fed-decision-in-march-885","title":"Fed decision in March?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17 - 18, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-10-29T19:04:39.05113Z","creationDate":"2025-10-29T19:04:39.051126Z","endDate":"2026-03-18T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":260075340.35964626,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2025-10-28T20:58:03.141871Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:26:24.304486Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xfabe717b4c1799d917420cf834a4f1b76b77e90cc0cf6739b7f19b8016c20a00","commentCount":418,"tags":[{"id":"100328","label":"Economy","slug":"economy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100196","label":"Fed Rates","slug":"fed-rates","forceShow":true,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101550","label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell","createdAt":"2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101800","label":"Economic Policy","slug":"economic-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"159","label":"Fed","slug":"fed","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"103123","label":"Parent For Derivative","slug":"parent-for-derivative","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2026-01-12T20:27:39.944278Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:19:23.13258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100478","label":"fomc","slug":"fomc","createdAt":"2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-03-18T21:19:03Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fomc","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-29T18:51:42.034149Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a no-change Federal Reserve decision in March at 100% implied probability, driven by resilient U.S. economic data and Chair Powell's recent testimony emphasizing a data-dependent pause after 2024's 100 basis points of cumulative cuts to the 4.25-4.50% fed funds range. Sticky core PCE inflation near 2.7%—above the 2% target—paired with robust November nonfarm payrolls adding 227,000 jobs and unemployment steady at 4.2%, reinforces the view that policy remains appropriately restrictive without urgent easing needs. This positioning could face challenges from hotter-than-expected CPI prints in January or February, or sudden labor market deterioration signaling recession risks, potentially reviving cut odds above the current negligible 0.2% combined for decreases.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-03-18T21:25:31.086Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"75478","ticker":"fed-decision-in-april","slug":"fed-decision-in-april","title":"Fed decision in April?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-11-13T00:40:50.267805Z","creationDate":"2025-11-13T00:40:50.267799Z","endDate":"2026-04-29T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":284224765.2922818,"openInterest":40244109.208365,"createdAt":"2025-11-07T16:55:39.270105Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T03:56:47.354235Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b100","commentCount":4,"tags":[{"id":"101800","label":"Economic Policy","slug":"economic-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100328","label":"Economy","slug":"economy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101550","label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell","createdAt":"2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"159","label":"Fed","slug":"fed","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100196","label":"Fed Rates","slug":"fed-rates","forceShow":true,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100478","label":"fomc","slug":"fomc","createdAt":"2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-04-29T21:24:38Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fomc","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T00:11:00.340264Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The Federal Open Market Committee's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%—a unanimous consensus among traders reflected in Polymarket's 100% implied probability for no change—stems from elevated inflation pressures, with March 2026 CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year amid a 10.9% energy surge driven by Middle East tensions, offsetting modest labor market softening evidenced by 4.3% unemployment and low jobless claims near 219,000. Solid economic expansion further supported holding steady, despite internal dissent including one vote for a 25 bps cut and three opposing an easing bias. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC meeting could signal shifts if data deviates sharply.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-04-29T21:16:25.796Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"101772","ticker":"fed-decision-in-june-825","slug":"fed-decision-in-june-825","title":"Fed Decision in June?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-12-10T21:50:37.376667Z","creationDate":"2025-12-10T21:50:37.376662Z","endDate":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":164640886.54780918,"openInterest":2732148.7414179994,"createdAt":"2025-12-10T16:57:51.452117Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:30:36.696121Z","volume1mo":15524.95,"volume1yr":15524.95,"enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xa8a8ccaceb3e11706b62f5bb6a040665c1ebc14312abcf7430c7114095406a00","commentCount":1,"tags":[{"id":"101800","label":"Economic Policy","slug":"economic-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101550","label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell","createdAt":"2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100196","label":"Fed Rates","slug":"fed-rates","forceShow":true,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"159","label":"Fed","slug":"fed","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100328","label":"Economy","slug":"economy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100478","label":"fomc","slug":"fomc","createdAt":"2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-06-17T21:20:46Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fomc","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-10T21:35:11.481159Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The June 2026 FOMC meeting's near-certain hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range reflects persistent inflation pressures, including a recent spike tied to geopolitical tensions, alongside a still-resilient labor market that has kept the Fed from easing. Recent data releases and prior communications have reinforced trader consensus that monetary policy remains appropriately restrictive, with CME FedWatch pricing a hold above 96% and no material shift in expectations over the past week. The dot plot and updated projections will likely signal a higher median rate path for year-end, underscoring caution on cuts. While the decision itself faces minimal uncertainty, unexpected weakness in upcoming employment or inflation prints could theoretically reopen debate, though such outcomes appear remote given current conditions.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-17T21:15:44.632Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"287395","ticker":"fed-decision-in-july-181","slug":"fed-decision-in-july-181","title":"Fed Decision in July?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-20T00:12:28.430927Z","creationDate":"2026-03-20T00:13:40.941223Z","endDate":"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":143954093.78149703,"openInterest":41980818.845668,"createdAt":"2026-03-19T20:51:46.126657Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:38:54.128138Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x40fd26ada6f086ebd83f34012327c0914d56154faf3fa36d912468c2532f3400","commentCount":1,"tags":[{"id":"100478","label":"fomc","slug":"fomc","createdAt":"2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101800","label":"Economic Policy","slug":"economic-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100328","label":"Economy","slug":"economy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101550","label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell","createdAt":"2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"159","label":"Fed","slug":"fed","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100196","label":"Fed Rates","slug":"fed-rates","forceShow":true,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"105614","label":"CPI Release","slug":"cpi-release","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2026-07-13T16:21:39.23125Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-13T16:25:05.4713Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-29T20:06:41Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fomc","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-20T00:08:25.356671Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Persistent inflation pressures from the May 2026 CPI report, which showed a 4.2% year-over-year rise driven by a 23.5% surge in energy costs amid Middle East tensions, have anchored trader expectations for the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the June decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh, market-implied odds heavily favor no change at 79.5%, reflecting caution as June CPI data arrives July 14. Modest 19.4% pricing for a 25 basis point hike incorporates dot-plot signals that nine officials anticipate at least one increase this year, while negligible probabilities for cuts underscore limited downside risks given resilient labor markets and elevated Treasury yields. Geopolitical and data-dependent factors remain key swing elements before resolution.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:31.891Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"481717","ticker":"fed-decision-in-september-762","slug":"fed-decision-in-september-762","title":"Fed Decision in September?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-13T21:23:09.737806Z","creationDate":"2026-05-13T21:27:12.597909Z","endDate":"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1935173.70592,"volume":10163362.000408,"openInterest":3281931.99085,"createdAt":"2026-05-13T17:23:04.366042Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9910557221079755,"volume24hr":1104369.4528269996,"volume1wk":5841954.802223999,"volume1mo":9130440.110867,"volume1yr":10162963.000407998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1935173.70592,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x128d7d75905674954c484aa559fd18435376720a91f4614a2a5c2b60aa94c900","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"100478","label":"fomc","slug":"fomc","createdAt":"2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101800","label":"Economic Policy","slug":"economic-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101550","label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell","createdAt":"2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100196","label":"Fed Rates","slug":"fed-rates","forceShow":true,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"159","label":"Fed","slug":"fed","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100328","label":"Economy","slug":"economy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fomc","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":1,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-13T21:09:38.867713Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Persistent inflationary pressures above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by energy prices and recent CPI readings near 3.5%, combined with a stable labor market and resilient growth, underpin the 59.5% trader-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike at the September FOMC. The July 29 decision to hold rates at 3.50–3.75% featured three dissents favoring an increase, highlighting divided but hawkish sentiment under Chair Kevin Warsh. Upcoming August CPI and employment data, plus the Jackson Hole symposium, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities between the leading hike outcome and the 38.5% chance of no change.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-01T04:31:00.195Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"606422","ticker":"fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","slug":"fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","title":"Fed Decision in October?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-06-17T23:34:28.470106Z","creationDate":"2026-06-18T00:35:28.062505Z","endDate":"2026-10-28T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":484693.29394,"volume":427955.423216,"openInterest":81278.591712,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-06-17T23:05:56.720885Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9669075878072954,"volume24hr":12764.596009,"volume1wk":98310.628831,"volume1mo":306264.16055000003,"volume1yr":427955.423216,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":484693.29394,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x09ac0b2770dbcad3f2e4f5356a68af57cb8ca7502b02645a07b0290d46026a00","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"103176","label":"Global Rates","slug":"Global-Rates","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2026-01-16T22:01:30.899064Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:21:01.178149Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101800","label":"Economic Policy","slug":"economic-policy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"126","label":"Trump","slug":"trump","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:14.206724Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"104088","label":"Kevin Warsh","slug":"kevin-warsh","createdAt":"2026-03-04T18:35:08.832648Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:46:16.097266Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100478","label":"fomc","slug":"fomc","createdAt":"2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102000","label":"Macro Indicators","slug":"macro-indicators","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-03-26T21:57:53.430333Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:16:07.641202Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"159","label":"Fed","slug":"fed","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100328","label":"Economy","slug":"economy","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"100196","label":"Fed Rates","slug":"fed-rates","forceShow":true,"updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101550","label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell","createdAt":"2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fomc","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-17T23:06:30.543358Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Elevated June 2026 CPI at 3.5% year-over-year, down from 4.2% in May but still well above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market showing modest job gains and unemployment near 4.4%, anchors trader consensus around no change at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting. 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No confirmed injuries or lineup changes have surfaced.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-01T01:33:09.866Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"202608084A0577BA","opticOddsGameId":"11127-29657-2026-08","opticOddsNumericalId":1004170},"version":"v1"},{"id":"769909","ticker":"ufc-mjanic-ngugno-2026-08-01","slug":"ufc-mjanic-ngugno-2026-08-01","title":"UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Milos Janicic\" if Milos Janicic is officially declared the winner of the fight against Noah Gugnon at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Noah Gugnon\" if Noah Gugnon is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the 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The 26-year-old southpaw brings a 6'2\" frame and 77.5-inch reach advantage over the shorter Billy Ray Goff, who holds a 9-4 mark but sits at 1-2 in the Octagon with limited recent success against top competition. Miller's strong finish rate and momentum from Dana White's Contender Series appearances shape trader consensus around his superior athletic profile and current form, while Goff's veteran status offers limited counterbalance given the stylistic and experience gaps heading into the Apex matchup.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-01T03:06:18.771Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"202608083E1CCE80","opticOddsGameId":"74747-36385-2026-08","opticOddsNumericalId":1029062},"version":"v1"},{"id":"774401","ticker":"ufc-dar3-yad-2026-08-08","slug":"ufc-dar3-yad-2026-08-08","title":"UFC Fight Night: Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Darren Elkins\" if Darren Elkins is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yadier del Valle at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Yadier del Valle\" if Yadier del Valle is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","resolutionSource":"https://www.ufc.com/events","startDate":"2026-07-30T22:00:33Z","creationDate":"2026-07-30T22:02:18.329398Z","endDate":"2026-08-09T03:59:59.999Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":4700.5098,"createdAt":"2026-07-30T22:00:21.481439Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.8936350841134023,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":4700.5098,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"100639","label":"Games","slug":"games","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2024-09-23T22:41:37.670714Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.358133Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1","label":"Sports","slug":"sports","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:47:16.461062Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"279","label":"UFC","slug":"ufc","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:47:41.588+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:47:41.595Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:47.520377Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-08-08","startTime":"2026-08-08T18:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"ufc","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":10649,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Darren Elkins returns from a 16-month layoff for what he has described as his retirement bout against unbeaten Cuban prospect Yadier del Valle at UFC Vegas 120 on August 8. 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pairs.","resolutionSource":"https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT","startDate":"2026-07-29T16:07:16Z","creationDate":"2026-07-30T16:00:00Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":62957.584744,"openInterest":47114.329522,"createdAt":"2026-07-29T16:07:06.488239Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:21.902157Z","volume24hr":50978.37351799999,"volume1wk":62957.58474399999,"volume1mo":62957.58474399999,"volume1yr":62957.58474399999,"enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"39","label":"Ethereum","slug":"ethereum","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 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pairs.","resolutionSource":"https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT","startDate":"2026-07-29T16:07:15Z","creationDate":"2026-07-30T16:00:00Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":229053.76601400008,"openInterest":90313.363078,"createdAt":"2026-07-29T16:07:00.180269Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:21.902157Z","volume24hr":164512.21153400003,"volume1wk":229053.76601400005,"volume1mo":229053.76601400005,"volume1yr":229053.76601400005,"enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"102127","label":"Up or Down","slug":"up-or-down","forceShow":true,"createdAt":"2025-05-09T20:56:58.880785Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:38.505979Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102133","label":"Today 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Down","slug":"up-or-down","forceShow":true,"createdAt":"2025-05-09T20:56:58.880785Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:38.505979Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-up-or-down-daily","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"25849","ticker":"archbitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-6","slug":"archbitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-6","title":"archBitcoin Up or Down on June 6?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT Jun 5, 25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jun 6, 25 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT Jun 5, 25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jun 6, 25 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot 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Down","slug":"up-or-down","forceShow":true,"createdAt":"2025-05-09T20:56:58.880785Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:38.505979Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-up-or-down-daily","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"26034","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-7-984","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-7-984","title":"archBitcoin Up or Down on June 7?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT Jun 6, 25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jun 7, 25 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT Jun 6, 25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jun 7, 25 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final 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21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-up-or-down-daily","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"26340","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-11-224","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-11-224","title":"archBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 10 Jun '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the 11 Jun '25 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 10 Jun '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the 11 Jun '25 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot 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22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-up-or-down-daily","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"26345","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-11-365","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-11-365","title":"archBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 11 Jun '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the 11 Jun '25 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 11 Jun '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the 11 Jun '25 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.","resolutionSource":"https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT","endDate":"2025-06-11T05:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-06-08T16:27:36.412895Z","updatedAt":"2025-06-08T16:27:52.723953Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":7469,"tags":[{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 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The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant \"1H\" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets","resolutionSource":"https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT","endDate":"2025-06-11T06:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":true,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-06-08T16:30:58.023138Z","updatedAt":"2025-06-09T09:21:06.913498Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":7469,"tags":[{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102127","label":"Up or Down","slug":"up-or-down","forceShow":true,"createdAt":"2025-05-09T20:56:58.880785Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:33:38.505979Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-up-or-down-daily","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"}],"commentCount":6893,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"42","ticker":"ethereum-multi-strikes-weekly","slug":"ethereum-multi-strikes-weekly","title":"Ethereum Multi Strikes Weekly","subtitle":"ETH","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eth+icon.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH.png","layout":"default","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"publishedAt":"2023-03-23 23:53:38.897+00","createdBy":"15","updatedBy":"17","createdAt":"2023-03-23T23:44:07.798Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:28.503307Z","commentsEnabled":false,"competitive":"0","volume24hr":276114.08347199997,"volume":199164.542462,"liquidity":683363.07087,"startDate":"2021-01-01T17:00:00Z","pythTokenID":"0xff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace","cgAssetName":"ethereum","events":[{"id":"725768","ticker":"ethereum-above-on-july-27-2026","slug":"ethereum-above-on-july-27-2026","title":"Ethereum above ___ on July 27?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-28T16:02:41Z","creationDate":"2026-07-28T16:04:17.583655Z","endDate":"2026-08-04T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":128913.64083,"volume":14645.039276,"openInterest":12996.778976000001,"createdAt":"2026-07-28T16:00:01.369412Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9719117504130625,"volume24hr":10608.042844,"volume1wk":12567.227095,"volume1mo":12567.227095,"volume1yr":12567.227095,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":128913.64083,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102516","label":"Multi Strikes","slug":"multi-strikes","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-25T15:12:27.701606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:56:31.782258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"39","label":"Ethereum","slug":"ethereum","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:08:15.934+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:08:15.95Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:49:04.26767Z","forceHide":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"ethereum-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"768324","ticker":"ethereum-above-on-august-5-2026","slug":"ethereum-above-on-august-5-2026","title":"Ethereum above ___ on August 5?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:18Z","creationDate":"2026-07-29T16:04:15.818785Z","endDate":"2026-08-05T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":105656.11218,"volume":2547.344826,"openInterest":2372.974826,"createdAt":"2026-07-29T16:00:01.764554Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9807767752059631,"volume24hr":1753.559434,"volume1wk":2547.344826,"volume1mo":2547.344826,"volume1yr":2547.344826,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":105656.11218,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"39","label":"Ethereum","slug":"ethereum","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:08:15.934+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:08:15.95Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:49:04.26767Z","forceHide":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102516","label":"Multi Strikes","slug":"multi-strikes","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-25T15:12:27.701606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:56:31.782258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"ethereum-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"772845","ticker":"ethereum-above-on-august-6-2026","slug":"ethereum-above-on-august-6-2026","title":"Ethereum above ___ on August 6?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-31T16:10:19Z","creationDate":"2026-07-31T16:12:04.031734Z","endDate":"2026-08-07T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":86029.76531,"createdAt":"2026-07-31T16:10:03.980075Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9880446596186148,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":86029.76531,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"39","label":"Ethereum","slug":"ethereum","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:08:15.934+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:08:15.95Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:49:04.26767Z","forceHide":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102516","label":"Multi Strikes","slug":"multi-strikes","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-25T15:12:27.701606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:56:31.782258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"ethereum-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"24648","ticker":"ethereum-above-2700-on-may-23","slug":"ethereum-above-2700-on-may-23","title":"archEthereum above $2,700 on May 23?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 23 May '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 2,700.01 or higher. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-21T17:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":true,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2025-12-14T17:00:00.786705Z","updatedAt":"2025-12-15T15:08:21.081132Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"ethereum-multi-strikes-weekly","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"225827","ticker":"ethereum-above-on-march-2","slug":"ethereum-above-on-march-2","title":"Ethereum above ___ on March 2?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-25T16:00:29Z","creationDate":"2026-07-25T16:03:03.430275Z","endDate":"2026-08-01T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":661694.2866,"volume":1051249.053473,"openInterest":693735.361894,"createdAt":"2026-07-25T16:00:08.255928Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.8200134113193421,"volume24hr":864475.484456,"volume1wk":1052249.053473,"volume1mo":1052249.053473,"volume1yr":1052249.053473,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":661694.2866,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"102516","label":"Multi Strikes","slug":"multi-strikes","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-25T15:12:27.701606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:56:31.782258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"761866","ticker":"bitcoin-above-on-august-4-2026","slug":"bitcoin-above-on-august-4-2026","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on August 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-28T16:02:37Z","creationDate":"2026-07-28T16:04:17.584007Z","endDate":"2026-08-04T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":255145.86851,"volume":150558.070797,"openInterest":89673.706652,"createdAt":"2026-07-28T16:00:08.700355Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9577626664112633,"volume24hr":79852.866301,"volume1wk":150558.070797,"volume1mo":150558.070797,"volume1yr":150558.070797,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":255145.86851,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102516","label":"Multi Strikes","slug":"multi-strikes","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-25T15:12:27.701606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:56:31.782258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"768364","ticker":"bitcoin-above-on-august-5-2026","slug":"bitcoin-above-on-august-5-2026","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on August 5?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:44Z","creationDate":"2026-07-29T16:04:15.744078Z","endDate":"2026-08-05T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":198386.32321,"volume":60272.428555,"openInterest":51434.994838,"createdAt":"2026-07-29T16:00:17.221607Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9719117504130625,"volume24hr":45453.719316,"volume1wk":60272.428555000006,"volume1mo":60272.428555000006,"volume1yr":60272.428555000006,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":198386.32321,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102516","label":"Multi Strikes","slug":"multi-strikes","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-25T15:12:27.701606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:56:31.782258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"772879","ticker":"bitcoin-above-on-august-6-2026","slug":"bitcoin-above-on-august-6-2026","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on August 6?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-30T16:00:41Z","creationDate":"2026-07-30T16:02:22.006047Z","endDate":"2026-08-06T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":166974.58796,"volume":27739.656633,"openInterest":19035.182301,"createdAt":"2026-07-30T16:00:12.326459Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9765386587241522,"volume24hr":27561.01668,"volume1wk":27739.656633000002,"volume1mo":27739.656633000002,"volume1yr":27739.656633000002,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":166974.58796,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102516","label":"Multi Strikes","slug":"multi-strikes","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-25T15:12:27.701606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:56:31.782258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"777105","ticker":"bitcoin-above-on-august-7-2026","slug":"bitcoin-above-on-august-7-2026","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on August 7?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-31T16:10:24Z","creationDate":"2026-07-31T16:12:04.03266Z","endDate":"2026-08-07T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":131713.95988,"volume":6781.771495,"openInterest":6404.411297,"createdAt":"2026-07-31T16:10:10.962572Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9807767752059631,"volume24hr":6781.771495,"volume1wk":6781.771495,"volume1mo":6781.771495,"volume1yr":6781.771495,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":131713.95988,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102516","label":"Multi Strikes","slug":"multi-strikes","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-08-25T15:12:27.701606Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:56:31.782258Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"23058","ticker":"archbitcoin-above-85000-on-april-25","slug":"archbitcoin-above-85000-on-april-25","title":"archBitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 25 Apr '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 85,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-04-25T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bitcoin-above-95000-on-january-10-4jOs9mhmaKi0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bitcoin-above-95000-on-january-10-4jOs9mhmaKi0.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":true,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2025-04-18T14:33:59.553117Z","updatedAt":"2025-04-18T15:15:11.524443Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"commentCount":2621,"tags":[{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"101757","label":"Recurring","slug":"recurring","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-weeklies","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"29367","ticker":"bitcoin-above-106000-on-july-4","slug":"bitcoin-above-106000-on-july-4","title":"archBitcoin above $106,000 on July 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-07-04T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":true,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2025-06-27T15:00:37.17774Z","updatedAt":"2025-06-27T15:03:08.654089Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":2621,"tags":[{"id":"102264","label":"Weekly","slug":"weekly","createdAt":"2025-06-11T21:22:54.932516Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:38:54.189121Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"235","label":"Bitcoin","slug":"bitcoin","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1312","label":"Crypto Prices","slug":"crypto-prices","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00","createdBy":15,"updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"102169","label":"Hide From New","slug":"hide-from-new","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-weeklies","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"73887","ticker":"bitcoin-above-on-november-12","slug":"bitcoin-above-on-november-12","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on November 12?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","endDate":"2025-11-12T17:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2025-11-05T17:00:02.037284Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":1,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"225820","ticker":"archbitcoin-above-on-march-2","slug":"archbitcoin-above-on-march-2","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on March 2?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-02T17:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":true,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2026-02-23T16:31:22.285845Z","updatedAt":"2026-02-23T16:31:45.640662Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"225825","ticker":"araahcbitcoin-above-on-march-2","slug":"araahcbitcoin-above-on-march-2","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on March 2?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-02T17:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"createdAt":"2026-02-23T16:32:37.907924Z","updatedAt":"2026-02-23T16:32:57.914184Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"21","label":"Crypto","slug":"crypto","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"225826","ticker":"bitcoin-above-on-march-2","slug":"bitcoin-above-on-march-2","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on March 2?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. 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The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","startDate":"2026-07-17T02:16:57.071526Z","creationDate":"2026-07-17T02:19:07.492576Z","endDate":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/toy-story-5-opening-weekend-box-office-446-f_Kv6jNQJMCC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/toy-story-5-opening-weekend-box-office-446-f_Kv6jNQJMCC.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":18369.876187,"openInterest":3554.457599,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-17T02:13:36.703939Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T23:02:40.215639Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xfab285ce2bf495da07939b44c7b77bbf49d7cfc09edcdbb698f361aa4d287200","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-21T06:25:42Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-17T14:36:00Z","seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-17T02:13:53.256957Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Toy Story 5’s fifth-weekend performance hinges on its ability to sustain family audience interest amid typical post-opening drops for animated sequels. Strong critical reception, franchise nostalgia, and a robust $160 million domestic debut have supported better-than-average holds so far, pushing the Pixar title toward a $410 million domestic total. However, summer competition, shifting theater counts, and the natural decline curve for broad-appeal animation create uncertainty around whether the film clears $14 million or settles in the lower teens. Traders are weighing these factors closely, with recent chart trajectories and per-screen averages serving as the key swing indicators ahead of the July 17–19 frame.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-17T03:00:25.046Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"712169","ticker":"minions-monsters-3rd-weekend-box-office-20260716160114801","slug":"minions-monsters-3rd-weekend-box-office-20260716160114801","title":"\"Minions & Monsters\" 3rd Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Minions & Monsters\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","startDate":"2026-07-17T02:22:37.993664Z","creationDate":"2026-07-17T02:25:23.063529Z","endDate":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/minions-monsters-opening-weekend-box-office-P14peP5OBB7I.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/minions-monsters-opening-weekend-box-office-P14peP5OBB7I.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":24658.143566999996,"openInterest":5524.300363,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-17T02:19:27.967442Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T18:04:49.949741Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x259a5a277a61c0d52c59bfc365cb3067064bf70634dff9382291b69f06ad8e00","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-21T06:25:42Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-17T14:36:00Z","seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-17T02:19:34.021338Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Minions & Monsters posted a franchise-low opening of roughly $36M over the July 4 holiday frame amid stiff competition from Toy Story 5, America 250 events, and signs of Despicable Me fatigue, then fell 43% to about $21M in its second weekend. With the film now in its third frame, traders see a tight race across the $11M–$14M+ buckets because holdover multipliers for family animation remain unpredictable this summer, especially with ongoing platform competition and variable audience turnout. Positive word-of-mouth and strong international legs provide some cushion, yet any sharper drop could push the result below $11M while a modest rebound from holiday spillover or school schedules could lift it into the higher bins. The market’s even pricing reflects this uncertainty around typical post-holiday decay patterns for the Illumination title.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-17T03:00:19.743Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"726189","ticker":"the-odyssey-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260720175402816","slug":"the-odyssey-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260720175402816","title":"\"The Odyssey\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"The Odyssey\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","startDate":"2026-07-20T18:16:32.369276Z","creationDate":"2026-07-20T18:19:15.976056Z","endDate":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/the-odyssey-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260720175402816-oU1vJQTXR3zG.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/the-odyssey-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260720175402816-oU1vJQTXR3zG.png","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":328616.3513559999,"openInterest":100319.340244,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-20T18:13:10.64602Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T02:36:27.442904Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x9b734049786304fafb75299f7d192df7bb1d4da2fe9dc04b68a9579727b53000","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"105659","label":"The Odyssey","slug":"the-odyssey","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2026-07-17T17:38:37.465611Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-17T17:40:11.810242Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-27T23:17:42Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-24T19:43:00Z","seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-20T18:13:25.771886Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” stormed to a $124.5 million domestic opening—the year’s biggest live-action debut—fueled by premium IMAX and PLF sales, strong star power including Matt Damon, and an “A” CinemaScore that signals robust word-of-mouth for the three-hour epic. With minimal direct competition through its second frame and repeat-viewing potential from spectacle-driven audiences, traders see the film holding in the mid-to-high 50% range, producing second-weekend results clustered tightly between roughly $70 million and $100 million. Key swing factors include how quickly premium screens shift to the incoming Spider-Man title, the impact of its extended runtime on repeat business, and whether the film sustains its early critical and audience momentum heading into the July 24–26 weekend.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-20T19:00:27.601Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"735781","ticker":"spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-day-box-office-20260721175610879","slug":"spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-day-box-office-20260721175610879","title":"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Opening Day Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","startDate":"2026-07-23T00:52:11.454654Z","creationDate":"2026-07-23T04:26:32.760805Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-20260618144048824-8zjvXwRLMdzN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-20260618144048824-8zjvXwRLMdzN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":230526.85854,"volume":24274.738361,"openInterest":12282.318596,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-23T00:21:22.656726Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.8038352587867232,"volume24hr":3766.2196860000004,"volume1wk":19997.918547,"volume1mo":22532.399188000003,"volume1yr":22532.399188000003,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":230526.85854,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x25a16f2251559799e69ed55f6ea523d030ec7fa4fffc917617e2c304c37b0d00","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1493","label":"Spider-Man","slug":"spider-man","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2024-02-27 19:31:50.152+00","createdAt":"2024-02-27T19:31:50.171Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-30T20:00:03.053632Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-15T14:50:23.469Z","seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-23T00:21:51.405061Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day's opening day is tracking toward a record-shattering 152 million-plus domestically, driven by unprecedented early preview earnings of 72 million that already topped Avengers: Endgame's benchmark and surging pre-sales across 4,300 theaters. Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, combined with renewed MCU momentum after No Way Home, has fueled aggressive projections from 230 million to over 300 million for the full weekend, overwhelming any lingering superhero fatigue concerns. Traders see little room for deviation given the franchise's historical legs and international strength. An upset below 152 million would require dramatically softer walk-up business than anticipated or major last-minute shifts in audience turnout, scenarios that appear remote based on current data.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-01T04:33:10.918Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"745760","ticker":"moana-2026-3rd-weekend-box-office-20260724013131414","slug":"moana-2026-3rd-weekend-box-office-20260724013131414","title":"\"Moana (2026)\" 3rd Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Moana (2026)\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. 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Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-25T01:00:13.445Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"745759","ticker":"spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-higher-strikes-20260723205025357","slug":"spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-higher-strikes-20260723205025357","title":"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","startDate":"2026-07-25T00:35:44.43099Z","creationDate":"2026-07-25T00:39:13.645238Z","endDate":"2026-08-02T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-20260618144048824-8zjvXwRLMdzN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-20260618144048824-8zjvXwRLMdzN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":243247.84296,"volume":237225.184165,"openInterest":110291.82815999999,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-25T00:28:17.496014Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9633679342983069,"volume24hr":119922.59972400003,"volume1wk":237225.184165,"volume1mo":237225.184165,"volume1yr":237225.184165,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":243247.84296,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xa10345351bff6ca84409be8870cc7508de0635cb1b580677ac4482efe5eb6f00","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1493","label":"Spider-Man","slug":"spider-man","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2024-02-27 19:31:50.152+00","createdAt":"2024-02-27T19:31:50.171Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-30T20:00:03.053632Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-18T15:37:37.276Z","seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-25T00:28:33.614903Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Strong pre-sales momentum and record-setting previews—already topping $74 million domestically with first-day estimates exceeding $167 million—have propelled trader consensus toward a 350 million-plus opening weekend for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*. Industry trackers now project a domestic debut in the $280–300 million range, with some optimistic forecasts eyeing second-highest all-time status behind *Avengers: Endgame*, fueled by Tom Holland’s established franchise draw, a 91% Rotten Tomatoes score aligning with prior entries, and comparisons to *No Way Home*’s $260 million start. Modest studio guidance around $195 million contrasts with bullish external data, underscoring upside potential amid summer blockbuster positioning. Actuals this weekend will test whether the film clears the 330–350 million threshold or settles closer to recent tracking.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-01T04:17:04.734Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"745767","ticker":"minions-monsters-4th-weekend-box-office-20260724013221560","slug":"minions-monsters-4th-weekend-box-office-20260724013221560","title":"\"Minions & Monsters\" 4th Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Minions & Monsters\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","startDate":"2026-07-25T00:36:33.084537Z","creationDate":"2026-07-25T00:39:13.645751Z","endDate":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/minions-monsters-opening-weekend-box-office-P14peP5OBB7I.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/minions-monsters-opening-weekend-box-office-P14peP5OBB7I.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":13897.302026,"openInterest":6074.245751,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-25T00:30:35.000553Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T21:21:00.78483Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xfd42b8dbb9575d9ee059ce5cd13770505906b659e123dcf0c7b58b9dcc4a1800","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-27T23:19:43Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-24T02:22:00Z","seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-25T00:30:53.548936Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Minions & Monsters entered its fourth weekend with domestic totals near $145 million after a franchise-low $36.4 million opening that was hampered by proximity to Toy Story 5 and broader family-film fatigue. Positive critical reception (91% on Rotten Tomatoes) and an A- CinemaScore have supported steadier holds than some trackers expected, yet theater counts continue to decline and competition from holdovers plus anticipation for upcoming titles like Moana keeps per-screen averages under pressure. With the $85 million production already assured profitability through strong overseas performance, trader sentiment remains split across narrow gross bands because weekend-to-weekend drops for animated sequels in this range often hinge on last-minute family turnout and exact playtime adjustments.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-25T01:00:21.458Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"758897","ticker":"the-odyssey-3rd-weekend-box-office-20260727183019017","slug":"the-odyssey-3rd-weekend-box-office-20260727183019017","title":"\"The Odyssey\" 3rd Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"The Odyssey\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","startDate":"2026-07-28T02:14:30.048049Z","creationDate":"2026-07-28T02:16:28.622052Z","endDate":"2026-08-02T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/the-odyssey-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260720175402816-oU1vJQTXR3zG.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/the-odyssey-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260720175402816-oU1vJQTXR3zG.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":17409.71573,"volume":32719.517698999996,"openInterest":7755.581489,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-28T02:11:06.736334Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9996001599360256,"volume24hr":16420.195172,"volume1wk":32719.517699,"volume1mo":32719.517699,"volume1yr":32719.517699,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":17409.71573,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x7d02cd8133ede44b2e5d3275655f65e63ef8fd6242ff39e5f26fac6c8707c700","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"105659","label":"The Odyssey","slug":"the-odyssey","forceShow":false,"createdAt":"2026-07-17T17:38:37.465611Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-17T17:40:11.810242Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-31T18:16:00Z","seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-28T02:11:22.355396Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Strong word-of-mouth and premium-format holds have positioned Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” for a solid third-weekend frame despite the arrival of “Spider-Man: Brand New Day.” After a $123.5 million domestic opening and a 27% second-weekend drop to roughly $90 million, traders see a 45–50% decline as the base case, placing the most likely outcome in the $47–57 million range. The R-rated epic’s legs, adult-skewing audience, and IMAX retention provide a buffer against screen cannibalization, while comparable Nolan titles and recent big-budget holds support resilience. The market assigns the highest implied probability to the $47–52 million bucket, reflecting these dynamics ahead of the August 7–9 frame.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-01T04:32:49.234Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"777040","ticker":"spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-day-box-office-higher-strikes-20260730230311470","slug":"spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-day-box-office-higher-strikes-20260730230311470","title":"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Opening Day Box Office (Higher Strikes)","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","startDate":"2026-07-31T15:57:03.460954Z","creationDate":"2026-07-31T16:00:03.524253Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-20260618144048824-8zjvXwRLMdzN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-20260618144048824-8zjvXwRLMdzN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":4891.23286,"volume":832.04262,"openInterest":361.160118,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-31T15:53:46.85503Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9558173433056943,"volume24hr":832.04262,"volume1wk":832.04262,"volume1mo":832.04262,"volume1yr":832.04262,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":4891.23286,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xd0460abb4e1d2886364e392ce97f3bb31a173184c35b95515a62957b43479e00","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1493","label":"Spider-Man","slug":"spider-man","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2024-02-27 19:31:50.152+00","createdAt":"2024-02-27T19:31:50.171Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-30T20:00:03.053632Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-30T18:02:00Z","seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-31T15:54:04.665412Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** is driving trader sentiment toward the 167-172 million opening-day range through record-setting Thursday previews that topped 72 million domestically, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling rapid upward revisions in final tracking. Strong presales, a 91 percent Rotten Tomatoes score, and franchise momentum have pushed weekend forecasts into the 280-300 million zone, with some analysts eyeing potential records. This positions the mid-160s million bucket as the clearest consensus outcome ahead of the first full day of sales.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-01T03:34:10.959Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"778535","ticker":"spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-even-higher-strikes-20260731203418","slug":"spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-even-higher-strikes-20260731203418","title":"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes)","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-31T20:45:21.179797Z","creationDate":"2026-07-31T20:51:08.739597Z","endDate":"2026-08-02T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-20260618144048824-8zjvXwRLMdzN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spider-man-brand-new-day-opening-weekend-box-office-20260618144048824-8zjvXwRLMdzN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":4918.3034,"volume":1189.8725000000002,"openInterest":74.19120000000001,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-31T20:41:00.895881Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:10.088073Z","competitive":0.9919650828290844,"volume24hr":1189.8725,"volume1wk":1189.8725,"volume1mo":1189.8725,"volume1yr":1189.8725,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":4918.3034,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x60ae0bf51dd15a342763438a630e4fbae0cdc5d0d52c620e1ca673f305ed4900","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"1493","label":"Spider-Man","slug":"spider-man","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2024-02-27 19:31:50.152+00","createdAt":"2024-02-27T19:31:50.171Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-30T20:00:03.053632Z","isCarousel":false,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-31T20:41:30.28415Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day's opening weekend market is being driven by record-shattering preview grosses that already set new all-time highs, fueling trader expectations for a potential domestic debut near or above Avengers: Endgame's benchmark. Strong critical reception near 91% on Rotten Tomatoes, combined with Tom Holland's established franchise draw and broad cultural anticipation for the fourth solo outing, have amplified bullish sentiment toward the 350-360M range as the consensus leader. Recent tracking updates from exhibitors and analysts, showing momentum toward 280-300M with upside scenarios, reinforce the elevated ranges in trader pricing. With the wide release imminent, any last-minute social buzz or early audience scores could further shift the tightly contested higher brackets.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-01T04:35:01.319Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"45595","ticker":"httpsmmedia-amazoncomimagesmmv5byza5ztmymwytmwewzs00mtu4ltgwmjktyte5otu1yzfjmgrixkeyxkfqcgc-v1-jpg-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"httpsmmedia-amazoncomimagesmmv5byza5ztmymwytmwewzs00mtu4ltgwmjktyte5otu1yzfjmgrixkeyxkfqcgc-v1-jpg-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"Arch","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BYzA5ZTMyMWYtMWEwZS00MTU4LTgwMjktYTE5OTU1YzFjMGRiXkEyXkFqcGc@._V1_.jpg\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 26 - September 28) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-09-29T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/httpsmmedia-amazoncomimagesmmv5byza5ztmymwytmwewzs00mtu4ltgwmjktyte5otu1yzfjmgrixkeyxkfqcgc-v1-jpg-opening-weekend-box-office-w6RapNbLV-hi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/httpsmmedia-amazoncomimagesmmv5byza5ztmymwytmwewzs00mtu4ltgwmjktyte5otu1yzfjmgrixkeyxkfqcgc-v1-jpg-opening-weekend-box-office-w6RapNbLV-hi.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-09-16T17:20:08.3286Z","updatedAt":"2025-09-16T17:20:44.401721Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":123,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"48379","ticker":"ff-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"ff-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"\"ff\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"ff\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (September 22 - September 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-09-26T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Fhow-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg&w=96&q=100","icon":"https://polymarket.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Fhow-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg&w=96&q=100","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-09-22T22:05:34.473123Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":114,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"48380","ticker":"dfd-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"dfd-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"\"dfd\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"dfd\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (September 22 - September 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-09-26T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/september-brazil-inflation-monthly-lxxxDuRSAVCb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/september-brazil-inflation-monthly-lxxxDuRSAVCb.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-09-22T22:13:43.109762Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":114,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"48381","ticker":"dfd-opening-weekend-box-office-342","slug":"dfd-opening-weekend-box-office-342","title":"arch \"dfd\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"dfd\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (September 22 - September 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-09-26T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/september-brazil-inflation-monthly-lxxxDuRSAVCb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/september-brazil-inflation-monthly-lxxxDuRSAVCb.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-09-22T22:13:45.364808Z","updatedAt":"2025-09-22T22:14:36.789512Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":114,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"56028","ticker":"roofman-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"roofman-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"\"Roofman\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Roofman\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 10 - October 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-10-13T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/roofman-opening-weekend-box-office-ZK99EB_iOBbC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/roofman-opening-weekend-box-office-ZK99EB_iOBbC.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-10-07T20:32:17.335335Z","updatedAt":"2025-10-07T22:28:36.357892Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":74,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"59784","ticker":"arch-mama-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"arch-mama-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"ARch \"arch\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"arch mama\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. 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The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 2-day opening weekend (October 24 - October 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 2-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is no final data available by November 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-10-27T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ntrs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-23-2025-2pt24-lQ2riapjlEdt.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ntrs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-23-2025-2pt24-lQ2riapjlEdt.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-10-16T20:54:21.135935Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":62,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"60615","ticker":"scarface-exx-opening-weekend-box-office-358","slug":"scarface-exx-opening-weekend-box-office-358","title":"\"scarface exx\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"scarface exx\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 2-day opening weekend (October 24 - October 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 2-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is no final data available by November 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-10-27T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ntrs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-23-2025-2pt24-lQ2riapjlEdt.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ntrs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-23-2025-2pt24-lQ2riapjlEdt.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-10-16T20:55:05.963223Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":62,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"60616","ticker":"scarface-exx-opening-weekend-box-office-795","slug":"scarface-exx-opening-weekend-box-office-795","title":"\"scarface exx\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"scarface exx\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 2-day opening weekend (October 24 - October 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 2-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is no final data available by November 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-10-27T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ntrs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-23-2025-2pt24-lQ2riapjlEdt.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ntrs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-23-2025-2pt24-lQ2riapjlEdt.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-10-16T20:55:06.966249Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":62,"tags":[{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"},{"id":"60618","ticker":"scarface-exx-opening-weekend-box-office-245","slug":"scarface-exx-opening-weekend-box-office-245","title":"\"scarface exx\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"scarface exx\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 2-day opening weekend (October 24 - October 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 2-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is no final data available by November 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","resolutionSource":"https://www.the-numbers.com/","endDate":"2025-10-27T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ntrs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-23-2025-2pt24-lQ2riapjlEdt.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ntrs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-23-2025-2pt24-lQ2riapjlEdt.jpg","active":false,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":0,"volume":0,"openInterest":0,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2025-10-16T20:55:11.037692Z","competitive":0,"volume24hr":0,"volume1wk":0,"volume1mo":0,"volume1yr":0,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityAmm":0,"liquidityClob":0,"negRisk":true,"commentCount":62,"tags":[{"id":"51","label":"box office","slug":"box-office","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:38.309+00","updatedBy":15,"createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:38.316Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:34.563494Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"53","label":"Movies","slug":"movies","forceShow":true,"publishedAt":"2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00","createdAt":"2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"seriesSlug":"box-office-openings","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"}],"commentCount":5597,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"10000","ticker":"elon-tweets","slug":"elon-tweets","title":"Elon Tweets","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"weekly","image":"https://cdn.britannica.com/05/236505-050-17B6E34A/Elon-Musk-2022.jpg","icon":"https://cdn.britannica.com/05/236505-050-17B6E34A/Elon-Musk-2022.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"publishedAt":"2024-06-14 18:57:17.756574+00","createdAt":"2024-06-14T18:57:17.756574Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:39:28.503307Z","commentsEnabled":false,"competitive":"0","volume24hr":1604491.765509,"volume":1805723.119682,"liquidity":1448731.77144,"startDate":"2024-06-14T18:57:17.756574Z","events":[{"id":"639340","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-30-july-7","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-30-july-7","title":"Elon Musk # tweets June 30 - July 7, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 30 12:00 PM ET to July 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","resolutionSource":"https://x.com/elonmusk","startDate":"2026-06-27T04:13:45.59599Z","creationDate":"2026-06-27T04:28:04.065796Z","endDate":"2026-07-07T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":4666992.944933998,"openInterest":657978.148991,"createdAt":"2026-06-27T04:00:01.694408Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-08T18:03:45.105345Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x7191923f1e08ed3cd30baa000b452cee446cfc262ceb1b21e082918abe91c200","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"972","label":"Tweet Markets","slug":"tweets-markets","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2024-02-06 19:19:25.344+00","createdAt":"2024-02-06T19:19:25.37Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:34:18.711987Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-07T18:06:58Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"elon-tweets","negRiskAugmented":false,"tweetCount":63,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-27T04:00:24.176531Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"},{"id":"649968","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-3-july-10","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-3-july-10","title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla earnings updates, SpaceX launches, or political commentary, which can spike replies and threads, while the July 4 holiday weekend may dampen momentum. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating with news intensity rather than fixed schedules, keeping higher bands like 300+ at lower implied probabilities due to the absence of confirmed major events. Traders weigh these dynamics against recent weekly totals near 200-220, noting that breaking news or sustained viral moments could shift resolution toward the upper end of the frontrunning clusters.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:00:43.111Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"664768","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-7-july-14","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-7-july-14","title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-04T05:00:28.170Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"675376","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-10-july-17","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-10-july-17","title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 10 12:00 PM ET to July 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","resolutionSource":"https://x.com/elonmusk","startDate":"2026-07-07T04:00:32Z","creationDate":"2026-07-07T04:01:45.493483Z","endDate":"2026-07-17T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":3739568.4221980004,"openInterest":442080.349134,"createdAt":"2026-07-07T04:00:02.059093Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-22T09:21:40.513337Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x85162b0badc1aa44d1b23e007f9e03c901d7331f1140eef5500090739a948000","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"972","label":"Tweet Markets","slug":"tweets-markets","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2024-02-06 19:19:25.344+00","createdAt":"2024-02-06T19:19:25.37Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:34:18.711987Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-17T18:21:30Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-10T16:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"elon-tweets","negRiskAugmented":false,"tweetCount":69,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-07T04:00:09.905523Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"},{"id":"690177","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-14-july-21","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-14-july-21","title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 14 - July 21, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","resolutionSource":"https://x.com/elonmusk","startDate":"2026-07-11T04:10:58Z","creationDate":"2026-07-11T04:12:32.856752Z","endDate":"2026-07-21T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":2953703.6935499995,"openInterest":439317.47199000005,"createdAt":"2026-07-11T04:00:01.759337Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:07:23.422541Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x213df8689865db37283778dc85d1ee091d7562895af2d7d1bc9f4a135c69ca00","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"972","label":"Tweet Markets","slug":"tweets-markets","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2024-02-06 19:19:25.344+00","createdAt":"2024-02-06T19:19:25.37Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:34:18.711987Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-21T18:13:13Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-14T16:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"elon-tweets","negRiskAugmented":false,"tweetCount":109,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-11T04:00:08.975454Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-11T05:00:31.248Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"701422","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-17-july-24","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-17-july-24","title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 17 12:00 PM ET to July 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","resolutionSource":"https://x.com/elonmusk","startDate":"2026-07-18T04:06:00Z","creationDate":"2026-07-18T04:07:20.719895Z","endDate":"2026-07-28T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":true,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"volume":4039063.330192,"openInterest":463978.967627,"createdAt":"2026-07-18T04:00:01.869541Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-01T04:35:15.439455Z","enableOrderBook":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x529fa4bdcff37fc7a34c71064bc2d7e41effd5fb25d65ae1ebefbbed42319800","commentCount":0,"tags":[{"id":"2","label":"Politics","slug":"politics","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00","updatedBy":13,"createdAt":"2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z","forceHide":true,"requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"972","label":"Tweet Markets","slug":"tweets-markets","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2024-02-06 19:19:25.344+00","createdAt":"2024-02-06T19:19:25.37Z","updatedAt":"2026-03-09T22:34:18.711987Z","requiresTranslation":false},{"id":"596","label":"Culture","slug":"pop-culture","forceShow":false,"publishedAt":"2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00","createdAt":"2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z","updatedAt":"2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z","requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"closedTime":"2026-07-28T18:32:11Z","showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"automaticallyResolved":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-21T16:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"elon-tweets","negRiskAugmented":false,"tweetCount":178,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-18T04:00:13.281421Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Elon Musk’s elevated posting cadence on X drives the current market, with recent weekday averages of 35–44 tweets and lower weekend rates pointing toward totals clustering in the 380–500 range or higher for the eight-day window. Traders price 500+ at 40% because his volume has trended upward historically and can spike on business, political, or SpaceX developments, yet the tight grouping of probabilities across 380–499 bins reflects uncertainty around weekend slowdowns and any sudden quiet periods. The closely matched mid-range outcomes highlight how daily fluctuations and event-driven bursts create overlapping implied probabilities, with lower brackets discounted due to his established baseline activity. No major scheduled catalysts appear imminent for late July, leaving the resolution dependent on his typical engagement patterns.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-18T05:00:35.901Z"},"version":"v1"},{"id":"727682","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-24-july-31","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-24-july-31","title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 24 12:00 PM ET to July 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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